martyn20
Unwell but still smiling
As a transport operator, with some knowledge of the cost of running buses (and hiring in other companies to run them), I've been giving some thought to this question.
Without knowing exactly how much Brighton & Hove Buses were charging the Club to provide the Special Buses, and without knowing exactly how much Seagulls Travel are paying their contractors to run the replacement services, but making an informed guess ... I would estimate that the Club are probably saving themselves something around £50,000 a year by pulling out of the deal with B&H Buses, and transferring a risk to Seagulls Travel (who will pass on most of their costs to supporters).
The Club is quids in, unless ... the effect of the change is to reduce the volume of match ticket sales at the stadium. In round figures, £50,000 worth of ticket sales (allowing for concessions, children, etc) probably amounts to about 100 tickets a game.
Of course, if the replacement buses run with markedly lower numbers of passengers (quite possible if significant numbers of existing Special Bus users switch to B&H network buses), Seagulls Travel will end up losing money.
There are, therefore, three sorts of potential losers from this new arrangement ... Seagulls Travel, the supporters who will be paying more for their travel, and the Club. But the Club's risk is confined to the potential that they might sell fewer match tickets (and that effect is unmeasurable, of course, and will never appear in any statement of accounts).
Outcome ... the Club will be able to claim that "costs have come down".
Obviously the whole figure for travel includes the money paid for the rail as well as bus travel