It's interesting that one thing in that article was a statement that IS were unlikely to mount a huge attack in the West and that even Charlie Hebdo wasn't them but Al Qeada. Obviously Friday proved that wrong. Yet the article was written in March. Much has happened since then including a mass migration and our bombing raids intensifying. The justification so called IS gave for their actions was because of the French bombing.
It would seem to me that the article's suggestion that targetted bombing (rather than vapourising the whole region) is the best of a bad set of options is spot on. The declaration of the Caliphate was the first part of a series of long term aims. If that gets destroyed - effectively if they cannot govern what they have or take more land - then they will be waiting a very long time indeed to enslave us. I'd think an eternity.
Framing the attacks in the context of the last few months it would seem the bombings have been quite successful and that the migration out of Syria has effectively left so called IS with very few people to actually govern. I think they would want an end to migration, hence the false Syrian passport that was deliberately left at one of the attack sites.
I'm still firmly of the belief that it is the people who are GOING TO Syria who we should be worried about, not the ones coming from it.
What I got from the article was how ISIS are a very different organisation to what many people consider (especially in reference to how they are set up). They need confrontation, because without it their ideology starts to fail and given that this is the main driver of ISIS it needs to be undermined.
A US or Western troop on the ground is the best recruiting tool they can get, however, starve them of a crusader army and suddenly things start to look more difficult. Not so easy to justify the existence without it and war-fatigue will set in. Recent reports have indicated that they have had a number of deserters, there have also been locations which initially welcomed their liberation and quickly fell foul of it.
I saw one report where men were interviewed in a border town in Jordan. The men wanted ISIS to take over, one proclaimed this with a cigarette hanging out of his mouth (I'm presuming he'll be giving that up then - ISIS has a nasty way of kicking the habit for those found smoking). Their main grievances were a lack of jobs and various other annoyances. In short they saw ISIS as a way of escaping day-to-day issues. ISIS would therefore wipe the slate clean for them. Horrifically short term thinking.
Muslims killing Muslims isn't a good rallying call for ISIS, the thinking behind any strategy needs to be denying them western targets on the ground. Empires and Caliphates are easier to beat from the inside (apply stress and watch them implode).