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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)







The Clamp

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Jan 11, 2016
26,417
West is BEST
Disturbing story in the Sunday Times today about thousands of Ukrainian children abducted by Russia in occupied territory and taken to camps in Russia. No great surprise I suppose: I think we all realise by now that Putin has lost his moral compass, if he ever had one.
Yes, I saw this. Very disturbing. Basically trying to brainwash the younger ones and murder the older ones. Done so that they don’t face any resistance from the next generation of Ukrainians.

How I would love to see Putin and his inner circle hanged in public.
 


A1X

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Sep 1, 2017
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Deepest, darkest Sussex
Reports of Russian troops using shovels as weapons as they have no ammo.
Rather suggests their imminent takeover of Bakhmut might not be quite so imminent as was thought then?
 


peterward

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Nov 11, 2009
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It's not a case of just immediately stopping trading with them. We should make plans where we trade more when they play nicely, and less when they don't. I'd like to see the free world sign a pact where we all deal with these anti-freedom countries together, such that they get hit hard when they decide to wage war etc.

At the moment China is at war with democratic countries, so they see it as in their interest to see places like Ukraine fail. If we allow them to supply Russia with weapons unpunished, then we're heading for a very dark future.
You're right, but I'm not convinced Chinas starting point is to see Ukraine fail. I dont think they really care that much about Ukraine tbh, its the bigger geo political considerations at play.... Even their partnership with Moscow is not ideologically driven but a marriage of convenience as oppostion to US hegemony.

I'm not convinced China is all that happy with where things are at, peaceful world stability is better for the trade they rely on, but now we are where we are and Putin has gone all in, China will see Russia failing and how that US/NATO victory would translate across the globe, as a huge risk to its desires for global supremacy and breaking US hegemony, Especially in places like SE Asia and Africa where China is competing for interests against the US.

Both Russia and China want a muti polar world where US dominance is broken, and Russia losing (which by default is US success), is the thing China wants to prevent.
Don't think they will arm Russia directly, but as they are effectively the only Oxygen for Kim Jong Un and N Korea, I'd expect them to lean on him to supply Russia or to provide certain tech to N Korea which will then end up in Moscow. They will do it, but without their fingerprints on it.
 


Triggaaar

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Oct 24, 2005
53,626
Goldstone
You're right, but I'm not convinced Chinas starting point is to see Ukraine fail

No I don't think that's the starting point. I think they want democracy to fail and autocracy to win. From there, they see it as their interest for Ukraine to fail, as Ukraine succeeding is best for democratic countries.

I'm not convinced China is all that happy with where things are at, peaceful world stability is better for the trade they rely on, but now we are where we are and Putin has gone all in, China will see Russia failing and how that US/NATO victory would translate across the globe, as a huge risk to its desires for global supremacy and breaking US hegemony, Especially in places like SE Asia and Africa where China is competing for interests against the US.

Both Russia and China want a muti polar world where US dominance is broken, and Russia losing (which by default is US success), is the thing China wants to prevent.
Don't think they will arm Russia directly, but as they are effectively the only Oxygen for Kim Jong Un and N Korea, I'd expect them to lean on him to supply Russia or to provide certain tech to N Korea which will then end up in Moscow. They will do it, but without their fingerprints on it.
Yep
 




Triggaaar

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Oct 24, 2005
53,626
Goldstone
Reports of Russian troops using shovels as weapons as they have no ammo.
I don't understand this, because they can't use shovels as weapons unless Ukrainians also don't have guns (because obviously they wouldn't get close enough).
 


The Clamp

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Jan 11, 2016
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West is BEST
I don't understand this, because they can't use shovels as weapons unless Ukrainians also don't have guns (because obviously they wouldn't get close enough).
They’re using sidearms and then shovels in close quarter combat. Several reports in Apple News round up from various sauces.

I’m assuming this would be in urban and built up areas as oppose to open country where, as you say, shovels would be of no use.
 


A1X

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Sep 1, 2017
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So essentially the Russian army are now fighting a war like the early stages of playing GTA when you have a baseball bat and can’t afford to buy guns yet?
 




Triggaaar

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Oct 24, 2005
53,626
Goldstone
They’re using sidearms and then shovels in close quarter combat. Several reports in Apple News round up from various sauces.

I’m assuming this would be in urban and built up areas as oppose to open country where, as you say, shovels would be of no use.
Even in urban areas, a side arm would be a better choice than a shovel.

Of course in any war it's possible for two sides to get close enough to use melee weapons, after shooting at each other and closing the distance, but the suggestion is that the Russians don't have rifles, so they're going in to a gun fight with just a shovel, and managing to use it. That seems unlikely.
 


The Clamp

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Jan 11, 2016
26,417
West is BEST
Even in urban areas, a side arm would be a better choice than a shovel.

Of course in any war it's possible for two sides to get close enough to use melee weapons, after shooting at each other and closing the distance, but the suggestion is that the Russians don't have rifles, so they're going in to a gun fight with just a shovel, and managing to use it. That seems unlikely.
Well, I’m not an expert but if you have a sidearm that then runs out of ammo and you have nowhere to retreat, ie no choice but to fight, you’ll use anything to hand.

Hand to hand combat is a very common occurrence in close quarter combat so I’m not sure why it’s so hard to believe.
There’s a reason the bayonet was utilised in previous wars.

As I say, I’m no expert but it’s not that hard to believe, surely?
 










peterward

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Nov 11, 2009
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They’re using sidearms and then shovels in close quarter combat. Several reports in Apple News round up from various sauces.

I’m assuming this would be in urban and built up areas as oppose to open country where, as you say, shovels would be of no use.
It's true and happening in bakhmut. Russian side starved of ammo is sending men forward with shovels.
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,626
Goldstone
Well, I’m not an expert
Likewise

but if you have a sidearm that then runs out of ammo and you have nowhere to retreat, ie no choice but to fight, you’ll use anything to hand.
Yes of course people will use anything to hand if they have to. But the report is suggesting that they don't have enough weapons/ammo, and therefore the shovel is their main choice of weapon. If they run out of ammo, presumably they won't mount an attack, and if attacked, they'd retreat.

Hand to hand combat is a very common occurrence in close quarter combat so I’m not sure why it’s so hard to believe.
There’s a reason the bayonet was utilised in previous wars.
Bayonets were used on single shot rifles that couldn't be reloaded quickly with another 30 rounds, so there'd be a chance of rushing an enemy, while firing some shots, and closing the distance. In a war where every soldier should have an automatic rifle, I'd expect a melee weapon to only be used on rare occasions, rather than be an option as a primary weapon.

As I say, I’m no expert but it’s not that hard to believe, surely?
It just seems to me like trying to make a headline of 'Russia out of ammo'. If they're really out of ammo, I expect them to retreat. They cannot fight a war against Ukraine with the shovel as their primary weapon (all only IMO obvs)
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,626
Goldstone

Maybe it's all completely true. But I'll highlight these two points:
1) The BBC has been unable to independently verify these reports.

2) In late February, reservists described being ordered to assault a Ukrainian position "armed with only 'firearms and shovels'"
If they're armed with firearms and shovels, then they're armed with firearms. The shovels bit is fairly irrelevant.
 


GT49er

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Feb 1, 2009
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Even in urban areas, a side arm would be a better choice than a shovel.

Of course in any war it's possible for two sides to get close enough to use melee weapons, after shooting at each other and closing the distance, but the suggestion is that the Russians don't have rifles, so they're going in to a gun fight with just a shovel, and managing to use it. That seems unlikely.
Some of the crucial battles in the Falklands were won by British toops bayonetting the Argentines.
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,626
Goldstone
Some of the crucial battles in the Falklands were won by British toops bayonetting the Argentines.
But I imagine the British troops had rifles and ammunition, and used those too. If we only had bayonets I imagine we'd have lost.
 




The Clamp

Well-known member
Jan 11, 2016
26,417
West is BEST
I’m not getting into one of your sentence by sentence analytical debates.

The shovels are very relevant. If you have firearms and not much ammo, you’ll preserve your ammo and fight with other means.

They are being sent into combat with dwindling ammo and shovels. It’s a very common tactic when troops are low on ammo.

I’m open to the possibility that these reports could be propaganda. However, I trust military intelligence.

NB- it’s my understanding that bayonets are still used, long after single shot rifles are used. When I trained with SA80’s in the early 90’s, they had bayonet lugs on them.
 
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