I do do gambling but I understand the stats. Why do bookies have us as less likely than say Burnley and Newcastyle to go down? Our run in is nasty (on paper at least).
We've got one more point and a much better G/D. Fulham have to win all their remaining 4 games, with us not picking up a point (unless we lose heavily) for them to overtake us. They can catch Newcastle and Burnley with 3 wins if N and B don't pick up any points, so although unlikely its not as hard as winning all 4 to catch us.