So what you analysis suggests is:Yes, keep him. I don’t think his current style of football is good enough to get him in a Champions League side for another season tbh and I would be surprised if he left for anything less. De Zerbi ball‘ is exciting and has got us so far but there are systemic weaknesses in its DNA imo.
- so I would like him to stay and develop with us further in some key areas:
- De Zerbi’s style of football concedes too many goals still and until he works out how to protect our inside channels from counter attacks when our full backs play a high press on the touchlines (a key component of us playing out from the back) , leaving so much space behind us, we will keep conceding too many goals. This was a problem at Sassuolo too and Shakhtar.
- Another key aspect of RDZ’s DNA is the deep double pivot in our build up - losing Caceido and Mackie together was a blow that I think he felt deeply, it must have been like pulling the rug from under him. I would love RDZ to have time to rebuild that strength with either Baleba or getting in someone new as the double pivot player that sits back if the other moves out to support a high press or regain in midfield (Gilmour’s role now) - when the oppo plays round that high press and cuts inside to the space the double pivot has vacated. Gilmour, despite being technically excellent, is the not player for that deep pivot defensive position that Caciedo held, he‘s the one half of the DP that breaks forward, the position traditionally occupied by Mackie so RDZ is still having to adapt his system to accommodate the loss of Caceido and find a player that can defend the space behind the ball when we press forward.
- RDZ‘s overloads central attacking areas (with his inverted wingers cutting inside to support the strikers and midfielders) which is his preferred line of attack. However, it is a problem when we retain long periods of possession in the oppo half, as teams then have time to drop into a low block - it is our possession based style of football IMO that push teams back into a low block, not a proactive “sussed” tactic on their part as a way of trying to beat us, contrary to what some folk seem to suggest. The only way through that once they do that, is intricate, fast, short passes and stretching the block - both Ferguson, Pedro and Adingra need to improve in these areas - Facu I think gets it as does Welbeck. I would like to see RDZ have time to improve players in these areas because if he can crack the vulnerabilities in a fullback system that leaves us open in the left and right channels behind the ball (and in central back areas if the double pivot pushes forward) and how to stop teams dropping into a low block in response to long periods in possession when pressing high, I think he could crack it at Brighton.
1. We need better players to do that
2. That would require better players, and
3. If we had better players then the third weakness would be less a problem.
I think you're right.