Official 2015/16 Teams That Can't Catch Us/We Can't Catch Thread

[SeagullofMalaysia]

Troublesome, for sure.

Do we have a list of all teams that have been relegated with 65 points or more?

The highest points gathered by a relegated team is Peterborough (54 points, the last Poyet season)

 

[Boro BN1]

Contrary to the retweet from NSC, we are not yet mathematically safe. Still only two teams that can't catch us.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 68 … ( 101 )
2 Middlesbrough 67 … ( 103 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Hull 64 … ( 100 )
4 Brighton 64 … ( 97 )
5 Derby 60 … ( 93 )
6 Sheff Wed 55 … ( 88 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 55 … ( 88 )
8 Birmingham 54 … ( 90 )
9 Ipswich 54 … ( 90 )
10 Preston 49 … ( 82 )
11 QPR 44 … ( 77 )
12 Reading 43 … ( 79 )
13 Brentford 43 … ( 76 )
14 Nottm Forest 42 … ( 78 )
15 Wolves 42 … ( 75 )
16 Leeds 41 … ( 77 )
17 Blackburn 40 … ( 76 )
18 Huddersfield 39 … ( 72 )
19 Fulham 37 … ( 70 )
20 Bristol City 37 … ( 70 )
21 MK Dons 35 … ( 68 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Rotherham 32 … ( 65 )
23 Charlton 28 … ( 61 )
24 Bolton 25 … ( 58 )

 

[GT49er]

Troublesome, for sure.

Do we have a list of all teams that have been relegated with 65 points or more?

Yes. Here you are:






























































.

 

[Acker79]

We are now mathematically safe.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 71 … ( 101 )
2 Middlesbrough 67 … ( 100 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 65 … ( 95 )
4 Hull 64 … ( 100 )
5 Derby 60 … ( 90 )
6 Sheff Wed 56 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 55 … ( 85 )
8 Ipswich 55 … ( 88 )
9 Birmingham 54 … ( 87 )
10 Preston 49 … ( 79 )
11 QPR 47 … ( 77 )
12 Nottm Forest 45 … ( 78 )
13 Wolves 45 … ( 75 )
14 Leeds 44 … ( 77 )
15 Blackburn 43 … ( 76 )
16 Reading 43 … ( 76 )
17 Brentford 43 … ( 76 )
18 Huddersfield 42 … ( 72 )
19 Fulham 37 … ( 67 )
20 Bristol City 37 … ( 67 )
21 MK Dons 36 … ( 66 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Rotherham 35 … ( 65 )
23 Charlton 29 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 56 )

 

[GT49er]

We are now mathematically safe.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 71 … ( 101 )
2 Middlesbrough 67 … ( 100 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 65 … ( 95 )
4 Hull 64 … ( 100 )
5 Derby 60 … ( 90 )
6 Sheff Wed 56 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 55 … ( 85 )
8 Ipswich 55 … ( 88 )
9 Birmingham 54 … ( 87 )
10 Preston 49 … ( 79 )
11 QPR 47 … ( 77 )
12 Nottm Forest 45 … ( 78 )
13 Wolves 45 … ( 75 )
14 Leeds 44 … ( 77 )
15 Blackburn 43 … ( 76 )
16 Reading 43 … ( 76 )
17 Brentford 43 … ( 76 )
18 Huddersfield 42 … ( 72 )
19 Fulham 37 … ( 67 )
20 Bristol City 37 … ( 67 )
21 MK Dons 36 … ( 66 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Rotherham 35 … ( 65 )
23 Charlton 29 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 56 )

Just waiting for the ten point deduction for fielding an ineligible player or something!

 

[Acker79]

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 74 … ( 101 )
2 Middlesbrough 67 … ( 100 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Hull 65 … ( 98 )
4 Brighton 65 … ( 95 )
5 Derby 61 … ( 88 )
6 Sheff Wed 59 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 58 … ( 85 )
8 Ipswich 55 … ( 85 )
9 Birmingham 54 … ( 87 )
10 Preston 52 … ( 79 )
11 QPR 50 … ( 77 )
12 Leeds 47 … ( 77 )
13 Nottm Forest 45 … ( 75 )
14 Wolves 45 … ( 75 )
15 Blackburn 43 … ( 73 )
16 Reading 43 … ( 76 )
17 Brentford 43 … ( 73 )
18 Huddersfield 42 … ( 69 )
19 Bristol City 40 … ( 67 )
20 Fulham 37 … ( 64 )
21 MK Dons 37 … ( 64 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Rotherham 36 … ( 63 )
23 Charlton 29 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 53 )

 

[Postman Pat]

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 74 … ( 101 )
2 Middlesbrough 67 … ( 100 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Hull 65 … ( 98 )
4 Brighton 65 … ( 95 )
5 Derby 61 … ( 88 )
6 Sheff Wed 59 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 58 … ( 85 )
8 Ipswich 55 … ( 85 )
9 Birmingham 54 … ( 87 )
10 Preston 52 … ( 79 )
11 QPR 50 … ( 77 )
12 Leeds 47 … ( 77 )
13 Nottm Forest 45 … ( 75 )
14 Wolves 45 … ( 75 )
15 Blackburn 43 … ( 73 )
16 Reading 43 … ( 76 )
17 Brentford 43 … ( 73 )
18 Huddersfield 42 … ( 69 )
19 Bristol City 40 … ( 67 )
20 Fulham 37 … ( 64 )
21 MK Dons 37 … ( 64 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Rotherham 36 … ( 63 )
23 Charlton 29 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 53 )

Bristol City can now be added to the list.

 

[Acker79]

Huddersfield still have to play Blackburn, so they can't both finish on maximum points.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 74 … ( 101 )
2 Brighton 68 … ( 95 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Middlesbrough 67 … ( 97 )
4 Hull 66 … ( 96 )
5 Derby 61 … ( 88 )
6 Sheff Wed 59 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 58 … ( 85 )
8 Ipswich 58 … ( 85 )
9 Birmingham 55 … ( 85 )
10 Preston 52 … ( 79 )
11 QPR 50 … ( 77 )
12 Leeds 47 … ( 77 )
13 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 73 )
14 Wolves 46 … ( 73 )
15 Blackburn 43 … ( 70 )
16 Reading 43 … ( 73 )
17 Brentford 43 … ( 73 )
18 Huddersfield 42 … ( 69 )
19 Bristol City 40 … ( 67 )
20 Fulham 37 … ( 64 )
21 MK Dons 37 … ( 64 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Rotherham 36 … ( 63 )
23 Charlton 32 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 53 )

 

[Acker79]

Starting to get a little complicated. Leeds still have to play Wolves and Reading. QPR still have to play Reading and Leeds to play. It's possible for three of them to match our points total, so that's one more space. It currently looks like this (I think):


Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 75 … ( 99 )
2 Brighton 71 … ( 95 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Middlesbrough 70 … ( 97 )
4 Hull 66 … ( 93 )
5 Derby 64 … ( 88 )
6 Sheff Wed 62 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 59 … ( 83 )
8 Ipswich 58 … ( 82 )
9 Birmingham 56 … ( 83 )
10 Preston 53 … ( 77 )
11 QPR 51 … ( 75 )
12 Wolves 47 … ( 71 )
13 Leeds 47 … ( 74 )
14 Blackburn 46 … ( 70 )
15 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 70 )
16 Huddersfield 45 … ( 69 )
17 Reading 44 … ( 71 )
18 Brentford 43 … ( 70 )
19 Bristol City 43 … ( 67 )
20 Rotherham 39 … ( 63 )
21 Fulham 38 … ( 62 )
----------------------------------------------
22 MK Dons 37 … ( 61 )
23 Charlton 35 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 50 )

 

[Tom Hark Preston Park]

Top work [MENTION=12595]Acker79[/MENTION]

 

[Acker79]

Starting to get a little complicated. Leeds still have to play Wolves and Reading. QPR still have to play Reading and Leeds to play. It's possible for three of them to match our points total, so that's one more space. It currently looks like this (I think):

Ooh, no. Not quite right. Because one of Leeds, QPR, Reading and Wolves will have to finish below us, we can't finish in 14th, it should look like this:

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 75 … ( 99 )
2 Brighton 71 … ( 95 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Middlesbrough 70 … ( 97 )
4 Hull 66 … ( 93 )
5 Derby 64 … ( 88 )
6 Sheff Wed 62 … ( 86 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 59 … ( 83 )
8 Ipswich 58 … ( 82 )
9 Birmingham 56 … ( 83 )
10 Preston 53 … ( 77 )
11 QPR 51 … ( 75 )
12 Wolves 47 … ( 71 )
13 Leeds 47 … ( 74 )
14 Blackburn 46 … ( 70 )
15 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 70 )
16 Huddersfield 45 … ( 69 )
17 Reading 44 … ( 71 )
18 Brentford 43 … ( 70 )
19 Bristol City 43 … ( 67 )
20 Rotherham 39 … ( 63 )
21 Fulham 38 … ( 62 )
----------------------------------------------
22 MK Dons 37 … ( 61 )
23 Charlton 35 … ( 59 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 50 )

 

[Acker79]

Top half finish now guaranteed!

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 76 … ( 97 )
2 Middlesbrough 73 … ( 97 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 72 … ( 93 )
4 Hull 69 … ( 93 )
5 Sheff Wed 65 … ( 86 )
6 Derby 64 … ( 85 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 62 … ( 83 )
8 Ipswich 59 … ( 80 )
9 Birmingham 56 … ( 80 )
10 Preston 56 … ( 77 )
11 QPR 51 … ( 72 )
12 Wolves 48 … ( 69 )
13 Reading 47 … ( 71 )
14 Leeds 47 … ( 71 )
15 Blackburn 46 … ( 67 )
16 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 67 )
17 Brentford 46 … ( 70 )
18 Huddersfield 45 … ( 66 )
19 Bristol City 43 … ( 64 )
20 Rotherham 42 … ( 63 )
21 Fulham 41 … ( 62 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Charlton 38 … ( 59 )
23 MK Dons 37 … ( 58 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 47 )

 

[Stat Brother]

Looking good for a top 10 finish.

 

[Acker79]

Looking good for a top 10 finish.

Mathematically certain, now!

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 77 … ( 95 )
2 Middlesbrough 76 … ( 97 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 75 … ( 93 )
4 Hull 69 … ( 90 )
5 Sheff Wed 68 … ( 86 )
6 Derby 67 … ( 85 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 63 … ( 81 )
8 Ipswich 60 … ( 78 )
9 Birmingham 56 … ( 77 )
10 Preston 56 … ( 74 )
11 QPR 52 … ( 70 )
12 Wolves 51 … ( 69 )
13 Reading 50 … ( 71 )
14 Brentford 49 … ( 70 )
15 Leeds 48 … ( 69 )
16 Blackburn 46 … ( 64 )
17 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 64 )
18 Huddersfield 45 … ( 63 )
19 Fulham 44 … ( 62 )
20 Bristol City 44 … ( 62 )
21 Rotherham 43 … ( 61 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Charlton 39 … ( 57 )
23 MK Dons 37 … ( 55 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 44 )

 

[hans kraay fan club]

I bloody love this thread.

 

[Kuipers Supporters Club]

Win the next two and we are guaranteed the play offs?

 

[Acker79]

No change as yet. Birmingham have to play Cardiff, but a draw leaves them both on 76 - above our current 75, but can change on Monday.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 80 … ( 95 )
2 Middlesbrough 79 … ( 97 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 75 … ( 93 )
4 Hull 70 … ( 88 )
5 Derby 70 … ( 85 )
6 Sheff Wed 68 … ( 83 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 63 … ( 78 )
8 Ipswich 60 … ( 78 )
9 Birmingham 59 … ( 77 )
10 Preston 56 … ( 71 )
11 QPR 55 … ( 70 )
12 Wolves 52 … ( 67 )
13 Brentford 52 … ( 70 )
14 Reading 50 … ( 68 )
15 Leeds 48 … ( 66 )
16 Blackburn 47 … ( 62 )
17 Fulham 47 … ( 62 )
18 Bristol City 47 … ( 62 )
19 Huddersfield 46 … ( 58 )
20 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 64 )
21 Rotherham 46 … ( 61 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Charlton 39 … ( 54 )
23 MK Dons 37 … ( 52 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 41 )

 

[GT49er]

No change as yet. Birmingham have to play Cardiff, but a draw leaves them both on 76 - above our current 75, but can change on Monday.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 80 … ( 95 )
2 Middlesbrough 79 … ( 97 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 75 … ( 93 )
4 Hull 70 … ( 88 )
5 Derby 70 … ( 85 )
6 Sheff Wed 68 … ( 83 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 63 … ( 78 )
8 Ipswich 60 … ( 78 )
9 Birmingham 59 … ( 77 )
10 Preston 56 … ( 71 )
11 QPR 55 … ( 70 )
12 Wolves 52 … ( 67 )
13 Brentford 52 … ( 70 )
14 Reading 50 … ( 68 )
15 Leeds 48 … ( 66 )
16 Blackburn 47 … ( 62 )
17 Fulham 47 … ( 62 )
18 Bristol City 47 … ( 62 )
19 Huddersfield 46 … ( 58 )
20 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 64 )
21 Rotherham 46 … ( 61 )
----------------------------------------------
22 Charlton 39 … ( 54 )
23 MK Dons 37 … ( 52 )
24 Bolton 26 … ( 41 )

Ipswich can only equal our current points tally (75); they can't get 78 - and they'd have an eighteen goal goal difference to overcome to finish above us.

 

[Acker79]

Ipswich can only equal our current points tally (75); they can't get 78 - and they'd have an eighteen goal goal difference to overcome to finish above us.

Right you are. I only half entered today's result so it didn't reflect in the table.

However, for Ipswich to overtake we would have to lose, reducing our GD by at least 6, Ipswich would have to win all their remaining games increasing theirs by at least 5 reducing the difference from 18 to 7 just with 1-0 wins. With 11 fixtures between us, there wouldn't need to be any unusually high goal tallies to overcome that.


EDIT: I've also noticed some other errors on the table. Need to check my files...

Don't worry, none of them affect which teams can and can't catch us. We're still on for a top 9 finish.

 

[Acker79]

Ipswich can only equal our current points tally (75); they can't get 78 - and they'd have an eighteen goal goal difference to overcome to finish above us.

Now corrected.

Team pts … (Mx Pts)
1 Burnley 80 … ( 95 )
2 Middlesbrough 79 … ( 97 )
----------------------------------------------
3 Brighton 75 … ( 93 )
4 Hull 70 … ( 88 )
5 Derby 70 … ( 85 )
6 Sheff Wed 68 … ( 83 )
----------------------------------------------
7 Cardiff 63 … ( 78 )
8 Ipswich 60 … ( 75 )
9 Birmingham 59 … ( 77 )
10 Preston 56 … ( 71 )
11 QPR 55 … ( 70 )
12 Wolves 53 … ( 68 )
13 Brentford 52 … ( 70 )
14 Reading 51 … ( 69 )
15 Leeds 48 … ( 66 )
16 Blackburn 47 … ( 62 )
17 Fulham 47 … ( 62 )
18 Bristol City 47 … ( 62 )
19 Huddersfield 46 … ( 61 )
20 Nottm Forest 46 … ( 64 )
21 Rotherham 46 … ( 61 )
----------------------------------------------
22 MK Dons 37 … ( 52 )
23 Charlton 36 … ( 51 )
24 Bolton R 26 … ( 41 )