[Football] odds on the season being played out in full...??

[dazzer6666]

As I say, 2.5 seconds is clearly nonsense given the close proximity at corners, particularly given players often have specific marking assignments.

The 39 seconds average is interesting, and I suspect the arithmetic mean, with some players with relatively high times of contact offsetting others with very little close contact.

Regardless, I still think the bigger risk is a player becoming infected outside of the football bubble and then passing it on to some teammates.

(But I'm not suggesting curtailment is likely)

What I heard may have been in relation to training......but it was surrounding some data that had reduced the 3.3s ‘per incursion’ still further........agree the 39 will be an arithmetic mean.

https://www.independent.co.uk/sport...-distancing-statsports-research-a9515476.html

Using the data from 11 training sessions at four clubs between 25 February and 12 March, it was possible to measure a two-metre circle around players – dubbed the Subbuteo base by researchers – and precisely track how often it was encroached by teammates.

The main findings were that the average incursion lasts a mere 3.3 seconds, from an average of 350 incursions per session. Since that can be amplified by situations like set-piece drills, the majority of incursions last under one second. This is all considered lower than the threshold to contract coronavirus, particularly since it is outside.

 

[sydney]

On what basis is this simple 'fact'? Especially given they have had discussions ongoing about what to do if the season is curtailed? Or does the simple fact just suit your agenda?

agenda...?? uh...??

 

[nickjhs]

100% they will complete. Close to a Billion pounds on the line, nothing short of an invasion will stop it. I could see them finishing all the games in a tournament, locking all the players and staff up until it is complete. This is not about the integrity of the league it's all about the money.

 

[Worried Man Blues]

Looking dodgy again, breaking out in China and in a place called Clusters in Gremany

 

[Pierre the Painter]

Oh come on, face "facts" the money has spoken here, or we would be in the same situation as League One & Two, Scotland, etc.

So they are indisputable reasons for resumption, although the vast majority of European leagues are now playing too and I think those who prematurely cancelled are probably feeling some tinge of regret over that decision.

 

[nickjhs]

Looking dodgy again, breaking out in China and in a place called Clusters in Gremany

Of course it's going to come back, it never went away. What is going on is an attempt to balance a cost benefit equation.

 

[dazzer6666]

Of course it's going to come back, it never went away. What is going on is an attempt to balance a cost benefit equation.

.....and risk management/containment. Without a vaccine or the virus mutating out of (dangerous existence), it'll probably always be there - what we're facing is how to balance the risk of extensive spikes and managing the effects of that vs a return to normality. Delicate balance at the moment, hence the caution in lockdown easing. The PL have simply taken a load of extra measures and precautions to mitigate that risk that aren't open to other walks of life to protect their 'product' and revenue

 

[Live by the sea]

It’s hard to see it not being finished now unless we had a sharp 2nd wave in the next 2 months which is unlikely. What is possible is that the sharp 2nd wave comes in the winter .

 

[Bozza]

It’s hard to see it not being finished now unless we had a sharp 2nd wave in the next 2 months which is unlikely. What is possible is that the sharp 2nd wave comes in the winter .

I think the biggest risk is the majority of a squad becoming infected between tests, ie one player gets infected from home/being out in the real world and manages to infect his teammates.

If, say, 15 of 25 a squad were infected and isolating, what would happen to that club's fixtures? It may have already been decided by clubs that should this happen then U-23s will have to step forward in order to permit fixtures to be fulfilled, but it would be pretty tough on a club to suffer relegation if that does happen.