Great post.Every time I see Farage, I'm reminded of Christopher Hitchens' line to Sean Hannity:
"You give me the awful impression, I hate to have to say it, of someone who hasn't read any of the arguments against your position ever."
Born to a certain level of middle class privilege, but with a bit of impostor syndrome when put amongst the golden sons and daughters of old money aristocrats. His unspoken, Uriah Heep like, inferiority complex makes him hate those he considers his betters, but at the same time, so desperate to be thought of as on their side that he goes further in his bigotry and extremisim than they would.
The worry about him is not the election, but us following the same path as France and taking the radical right option because seemingly everything else has failed. The policies being put forward by the Labour Party are not that much different from Macron's: Keep belief in the 'market is king' drivel to keep happy those that have the money; try to fiddle around the edges to make things a bit better for the working classes. This worked for a bit under Blair because there was money around. There now isn't and something far more radical is needed from the left. Success of the Starmer plan is dependent upon growth and we have obstacles in the way of growth, Brexit being the most obvious, but more fundamentally, Western capitalism in it's current form relied on the Western working classes being employed in manufacturing, in order for them to also be consumers. The shift of international capital to the location of the cheapest sources of labour makes this a dying model that more and more obviously works only for those who own the means of production. Biden has managed to do some Keynsian type stuff with the growth that the US has experienced, but it's still not shifted the views of a lot of those who see no future in the model. If the same happens here, Farage could be placed like Le Penn was to exploit desperation.
The danger is that these heckling fantasists convince everyone that there is nothing wrong with the vehicle, it's just that the current engineers aren't removing the grit from the engine. In the depression era thirties, and in post Soviet Russia under Farage's mate we have seen which groups in society are considered to be the 'grit' by those who both sell and believe these lies.
Elsewhere on NSC we see the swing from Tory to Labour coincided with Truss. Farage economics are Truss on speed.
This is why Macron might just be a genius in calling the French election. Let the loonies take over the asylum. The first budget that hits them in the pocket, the first daft law that affects their family and the people will turn. It’s easy to yell populist nonsense from opposition. It’s much harder to deliver it as both Johnson and Truss found out.
While Le Pen being in charge of anything more dangerous than a tub of jelly is a scary proposition, the French might just be the canary in the coal mine.