Weststander
Well-known member
But.
Despite the Delta variant having been in the uk for months and Brighton (young un-vax’d) population having a high covid case rate just now. BBC SE just reported zero covid patients in the Royal Sussex.
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Main Coronavirus / Covid-19 Discussion Thread
- Thread starter GingerBeerMan
- Start date
But.
Despite the Delta variant having been in the uk for months and Brighton (young un-vax’d) population having a high covid case rate just now. BBC SE just reported zero covid patients in the Royal Sussex.
crodonilson
He/Him
I hope today's figures of over 16,000 cases are a blip, it looked like cases were slowing down and I was hoping they would begin to plateau from next week.
Weststander
Well-known member
Behind the paywall you have access to, the US and Europe are rapidly opening up stuff ahead of us. From 1 July more EU nations plan to allow incoming tourists. Whilst the UK de facto prevents its double-vax’d citizens going overseas on holiday.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/uk-stuck-covid-slow-lane-europe-america-dance/
Despite.
Answers on a postcard.
Ask Angela……..she is now wanting the EU to quarantine all Brits….what a mess…….
Weststander
Well-known member
A huge, packed and hugging crowd tonight at Portugal v France.
Have they all been double vax’d?
I sincerely hope not, but I wonder if the crowds relaxation in the UK and rest of Europe for these EURO’s will cause a significant spike in a few weeks time?
How did so many travel ??
Yoda
English & European
I hope today's figures of over 16,000 cases are a blip, it looked like cases were slowing down and I was hoping they would begin to plateau from next week.
Caused by surge testing in Scotland apparently.
beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 36,014
So it is a bit harsh comparing predictions of what would happen if their was no restrictions as this isn't happening in the real world? That said the lower precision is presumably a similar scenario to what is actually happening so there is some value in comparing it.
Yoda
English & European
Isn’t it worse for the modellers?
The original road map ones are still way out more a more transmissible variant
The best case (in which we are still in step 2 ) was us being at over 2000 people in hospital now.
The ones published for the delay are quite a way out as well - one had 100k case for 21st June.
Yes and no.
To be honest anticipating a new strain every six months or so should be baked into their predications by now but if they were working on the assumption there would be no restrictions in place it is different to the current situation.
beorhthelm
A. Virgo, Football Genius
- Jul 21, 2003
- 36,014
i didnt say no restrictions. there were various scenarios for easing unlocking/reduced restrictions on different time frames, we have followed the scenario of that circled (with added extra extension). we are way below that because the model gives pessimistic estimates for factors involved, even when we have the Delta mutant.
worth noting the report the graph is based on is probably (basing on time of it in Feb) intended to advise what the easing schedule should be.
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They've just started doing this here in Leeds too.
Worth noting that (due to young population), cities generally have by far the lowers vaccination rates, as well as the best conditions for transmission. This will of course improve, but will take time.
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Government allowing the British Grand Prix to admit 114,000 before Covid restrictions are eased. Again goes to show, if the big money wants something to happen, it will happen. Madness. Utter madness.