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[Albion] Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall **Singed for Chelsea 02/07/2024**



Joey Jo Jo Jr. Shabadoo

I believe in Joe Hendry
Oct 4, 2003
12,212
Leicester have as much as a chance of achievig top 10 as us next season. Our chance of signing him came and went in January.

Not if they start the season with a points deduction, to avoid that they may have to sell a couple of their current best players before the end of June. Either scenario (points deduction or selling players) seriously weakens them and makes their chances of establishing themselves in the PL a lot harder.
 




Stat Brother

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
73,888
West west west Sussex
Not if they start the season with a points deduction, to avoid that they may have to sell a couple of their current best players before the end of June. Either scenario (points deduction or selling players) seriously weakens them and makes their chances of establishing themselves in the PL a lot harder.
I'm assuming they can sell at the end of the season, then spend like idiots before the new one starts.
 


peterward

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Nov 11, 2009
12,378
Not if they start the season with a points deduction, to avoid that they may have to sell a couple of their current best players before the end of June. Either scenario (points deduction or selling players) seriously weakens them and makes their chances of establishing themselves in the PL a lot harder.
Not exactly. The sanction and potential deduction is against past FFP shortfall.

If they sell couple of good players, to plug that hole and comply with FFP prior to June 30 and thus avoid sanction, they can then go out and buy similar level of player on July first or later, leveraging debt against the huge extra revenue that is coming their way from PL TV money.

If that causes further loss it would not be for the same period as the previous that needs resolving by June 30.
 


Nobby Cybergoat

Well-known member
Jul 19, 2021
8,754
Not exactly. The sanction and potential deduction is against past FFP shortfall.

If they sell couple of good players, to plug that hole and comply with FFP prior to June 30 and thus avoid sanction, they can then go out and buy similar level of player on July first or later, leveraging debt against the huge extra revenue that is coming their way from PL TV money.

If that causes further loss it would not be for the same period as the previous that needs resolving by June 30.
Maybe we could buy him for £30m on June 30th and sell him back the next day for £40m :)
 








Joey Jo Jo Jr. Shabadoo

I believe in Joe Hendry
Oct 4, 2003
12,212
Not exactly. The sanction and potential deduction is against past FFP shortfall.

If they sell couple of good players, to plug that hole and comply with FFP prior to June 30 and thus avoid sanction, they can then go out and buy similar level of player on July first or later, leveraging debt against the huge extra revenue that is coming their way from PL TV money.

If that causes further loss it would not be for the same period as the previous that needs resolving by June 30.
Yes but if they've sold a few of their best players, then they are starting even further behind when it comes to squad strengthening. Not only do they need to improve their squad they need to find replacements for whoever they sell. I'm not saying they won't have the money to get new players in, however they would be starting recruitment from a point where the squad is worse than it is now which means they will need more bodies in and increases the risk when it comes to transfers now working out etc. Making the chances of them reaching/challenging for the top 10 even more of a task and certainly more unlikely than us being able to reach that level again next season.

If they don't sell and take the points hit that means a likely relegation battle all season, which could make potential signings look elsewhere.
 
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dazzer6666

Well-known member
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Mar 27, 2013
56,054
Burgess Hill
Not exactly. The sanction and potential deduction is against past FFP shortfall.

If they sell couple of good players, to plug that hole and comply with FFP prior to June 30 and thus avoid sanction, they can then go out and buy similar level of player on July first or later, leveraging debt against the huge extra revenue that is coming their way from PL TV money.

If that causes further loss it would not be for the same period as the previous that needs resolving by June 30.
The rules cover a 3 year rolling period, so they wouldn’t be able to do that either.
 


Hugo Rune

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Feb 23, 2012
23,832
Brighton
Leicester now being charged.


Not sure if thus may make his sale more or less likely?

Maybe less if they're going to get done anyway?
It only changes things if Leicester carry out their threats from last night and sue the FA, the Premier League, the EFL and anyone else who stands in their way. They are clearly very angry that cheats can’t prosper having cheated their way to promotion a decade ago or so.

The KDH sale was/will be to balance the books for the three year period to 23/24 (ending June 30th).

These current chargers relate to a breach for the 3 year period to 22/23.

Perhaps the threat of two points deductions in a year (both falling in next season) will make them sell their best player(s) in June. That’s what we do to balance our books!
 
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Nobby Cybergoat

Well-known member
Jul 19, 2021
8,754
Perhaps the threat of two points deductions in a year (both falling in next season) will make them sell their best player(s) in June.
I think they will. Both to stave off future points deductions and try to convince the authorities that they are belatedly taking this seriously
 




Flounce

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Nov 15, 2006
4,617
Not that TB would ever do it but 2 to 6 points is easily recoverable if you spend big to buy the best players out there. It’s a shite and pretty ineffective punishment. City and Chelsea will be laughing if they eventually end up with a six point deduction given what they’ve won with their cheating over the years.

Relegation by 1 to 3 divisions would be my preference.
 




JBizzle

Well-known member
Apr 18, 2010
6,281
Seaford
I would not be surprised if we agree a deal before the opening of the summer transfer window.
Just like the Joao Pedro transfer last season.
I think the difference was that Watford had nothing to play for, so announcing the Pedro sale with games left would have had little impact on their overall league position. Leicester are fighting for promotion, and even if a deal is agreed, I can't see them announcing a sale until their campaign is sealed
 




Commander

Arrogant Prat
NSC Patron
Apr 28, 2004
13,655
London
Not that TB would ever do it but 2 to 6 points is easily recoverable if you spend big to buy the best players out there. It’s a shite and pretty ineffective punishment. City and Chelsea will be laughing if they eventually end up with a six point deduction given what they’ve won with their cheating over the years.

Relegation by 1 to 3 divisions would be my preference.
The problem with relegation is it completely screws over the 2nd and 3rd best team in the division they get relegated to. The year we went up to the Premier League, if Man City had been relegated as punishment the year before, we'd have presumably finished 3rd and gone into the play-offs, instead of securing the promotion that the whole plan was aimed at. We could easily have then not gone up, lost the likes of Murray and Knockaert etc that Summer and then slipped back down to being a mid-table club, and had to start the whole 5 year plan again.
 






Albion Robster

Well-known member
Jul 21, 2003
2,508
North West
I think the difference was that Watford had nothing to play for, so announcing the Pedro sale with games left would have had little impact on their overall league position. Leicester are fighting for promotion, and even if a deal is agreed, I can't see them announcing a sale until their campaign is sealed
What I said was 'before the opening of the summer transfer window'. I did not say a deal would be communicated before the end of the Championship season.
The window opens on the 14th June and the Championship Playoff Final is on the 26th May. So gives a couple of weeks post season for deals to be negiogated and communicated. It would be lunacy for Leicester to agree and communicate a transfer of one of their key players before the end of the season, their fans would be up in arms selling players to little ole Brighton & Hove Albion.
 




Commander

Arrogant Prat
NSC Patron
Apr 28, 2004
13,655
London
Cannot see KDH being enamoured at the prospect of leaving Leicester for us.
Depends on what the alternative is. Playing for a club challenging for Europe compared to one starting with a points deduction in a relegation battle sounds alright to me.
 


dazzer6666

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Mar 27, 2013
56,054
Burgess Hill
The problem with relegation is it completely screws over the 2nd and 3rd best team in the division they get relegated to. The year we went up to the Premier League, if Man City had been relegated as punishment the year before, we'd have presumably finished 3rd and gone into the play-offs, instead of securing the promotion that the whole plan was aimed at. We could easily have then not gone up, lost the likes of Murray and Knockaert etc that Summer and then slipped back down to being a mid-table club, and had to start the whole 5 year plan again.
….or had more of an incentive not to play the last 3 games while pissed.
 


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