Mtoto
Well-known member
- Sep 28, 2003
- 1,858
If it's 766,897,127,067,901 / 1 then I do wonder if that has come up yet. I've just been playing around here with these figures. Huge disclaimer: the following is a very unscientific calculation:
A roulette wheel takes around 12-15 seconds to spin. Given that there's bets before and sorting out after then let's say 1 spin a minute or 60 an hour.
Therefore it would take 766897127067901/60 hours for this combination to occur with one table
= 12,781,318,784,465 hours
= 532,554,949,353 days
= 1,458,055,987 years for one table to achieve that combination.
If there are 10 million roulette tables in the world (no idea the real number and this seems extremely high but let's stick with this) then it would take 146 years for 10 million tables spinning all day every day for this one combination to occur just once - statistically. I think in reality it probably takes around a minute and a half for one spin and there are probably less than 10 million roulette tables in the world and they are not in perpetual use. If you adjust the figures to 1.5 mins per spin and 5 million roulette tables then the figure rockets to 437 years before this one occurrence - statistically.
Have I got my maths right there?
Can't see any flaws in the maths, but I'd be surprised if there are even a million roulette tables in the world, never mind 5 million. Have only had a brief trawl via Google, but it seems the MGM Grand in Vegas has about 200 "table" games, which presumably includes craps among others. If 100 are playing roulette, and since there about 100 casinos in Vegas (few of which are as big as the Grand), it seems unlikely there are more than 10,000 in Vegas. Macau is bigger than Vegas these days - four times bigger is a recent estimate - so that gets you to about 50,000. That might be a bit conservative, but does 10 times as many in the rest of the world as in its two biggest gambling resorts sound a bit more like it?