[Football] Going to the Game Saturday or Staying away because of Corona Virus?

[Wozza]

No and no.

So you could have it - and you could pass it on to others. The average incubation period (the time it takes for the virus to become evident) is SIX DAYS.

Let me put it like this....

As of last Friday, Nottingham Forest owner Evangelos Marinakis didn't think he had coronavirus and went about his business, mixing with many people and shaking hands etc.

He's since been tested and diagnosed, so now he does officially have it.

Now, that's just one extra on the statistics. Like your only "11 in Sussex". No biggie, right?

Well, no. Because he's almost certainly passed it on to others (maybe dozens) - because he did have it last week, he just didn't know it!

And those people will unwittingly pass it on to many, many more this week.

None of these people are showing in statistics yet - but we could be talking 100s, just from Marinakis.

(Again, not suggesting anyone should miss the match, but don't misinterpret the figures)

 

[Goldstone1976]

FFS. It’s flu. Currently, the global death toll is <.01% of those who died of the Spanish flu pandemic. Get a grip FFS.

Rant over.

 

[wellquickwoody]

FFS. It’s flu. Currently, the global death toll is <.01% of those who died of the Spanish flu pandemic. Get a grip FFS.

Rant over.

Mortality rate four times higher than flu, but you carry on as normal.

 

[Icy Gull]

Kevin?

Very good

 

[Nobby]

FFS. It’s flu. Currently, the global death toll is <.01% of those who died of the Spanish flu pandemic. Get a grip FFS.

Rant over.

Weird

Hopefully you’re still posting on here in a couple of months and I do sincerely mean that

 

[Fred Oliver - Legend]

FFS. It’s flu. Currently, the global death toll is <.01% of those who died of the Spanish flu pandemic. Get a grip FFS.

Rant over.

Prat.

 

[Icy Gull]

Anyone else think that there is now a very good chance that this weekend’s game is more likely to be cancelled than played?

 

[Nobby]

Anyone else think that there is now a very good chance that this weekend’s game is more likely to be cancelled than played?

Probably 80-20 against. Arsenal will complain that they haven’t had sufficient preparation coming out of self isolation on Friday.
And there are three days before Friday for a lot more sh*t to happen

 

[Insel affe]

Anyone else think that there is now a very good chance that this weekend’s game is more likely to be cancelled than played?

Nah, the top six side will be suitably rested and ok to play Saturday.

Crack on

 

[sparkie]

Anyone else think that there is now a very good chance that this weekend’s game is more likely to be cancelled than played?

I thought that it was 100% On yesterday. I now think it is 50/50.

 

[banjo]

Yep going. It could be the last game we win this season.

 

[DumLum]

nearly 10% not going because 360 people in uk have coronavirus and six old people with underlying health problems have died. WTF.

360 Is the number now.
In two weeks if it spreads like it has in Italy it will be thousands.
Another few weeks on from that and if we haven't taken any action I'd assume it would be in the hundreds of thousands.

 

[Yes Chef]

Going to Cologne for our annual German football weekend. Match now behind closed doors.

The mighty SV Wuppertal of Regionaliga West is calling you

 

[arewethereyet?]

Choice could well be taken away from us before the weekend in light of tonight’s postponement.

Edit: according to BHAFC website game will go ahead.

 

[Lower West Stander]

So you could have it - and you could pass it on to others. The average incubation period (the time it takes for the virus to become evident) is SIX DAYS.

Let me put it like this....

As of last Friday, Nottingham Forest owner Evangelos Marinakis didn't think he had coronavirus and went about his business, mixing with many people and shaking hands etc.

He's since been tested and diagnosed, so now he does officially have it.

Now, that's just one extra on the statistics. Like your only "11 in Sussex". No biggie, right?

Well, no. Because he's almost certainly passed it on to others (maybe dozens) - because he did have it last week, he just didn't know it!

And those people will unwittingly pass it on to many, many more this week.

None of these people are showing in statistics yet - but we could be talking 100s, just from Marinakis.

(Again, not suggesting anyone should miss the match, but don't misinterpret the figures)

Oh for goodness sake.

If you followed that logic through to its ultimate conclusion no one would be going anywhere or doing anything.

I was at work in central London yesterday and saw a grand total of 2 people wearing masks. I used the train, the tube and walked down the street.

Should I not go on Saturday just in case? Or should we close down Churchill Square as well?


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[Lower West Stander]

Prat.

Your opinion.

I 100% agree with him.


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[Wozza]

Oh for goodness sake. If you followed that logic through to its ultimate conclusion no one would be going anywhere or doing anything.

Yes, like China, South Korea and Italy - and, probably, the UK next week.

The point is/was, saying only 11 people have been diagnosed in Sussex isn't helpful. Thousands could unknowingly have it, and pass it on to thousands more. It's a hidden virus. It takes six or so days to show itself.... It's not flu.... This is not sinking in, is it?!

 

[WATFORD zero]

Starting to look as if this poll may be redundant.

Arsenal return from isolation Friday and play Saturday ? Personally, I think it's doubtful

 

[Mellotron]

Yes, like China, South Korea and Italy - and, probably, the UK next week.

The point is/was, saying only 11 people have been diagnosed in Sussex isn't helpful. Thousands could unknowingly have it, and pass it on to thousands more. It's a hidden virus. It takes six or so days to show itself.... It's not flu.... This is not sinking in, is it?!

You would have a point if we were seeing exponential growth in cases daily. We’re not. There were less new cases yesterday than two days before. On average they think an infected person will pass it onto between 0.5 and 2.1 people.

And people are becoming more aware now and doing less to spread it. I’m not saying the cases may not continue to rise for a bit until we implement social distancing to a greater extent, but the number of cases isn’t flying up.

 

[Bozza]

You would have a point if we were seeing exponential growth in cases daily. We’re not. There were less new cases yesterday than two days before. On average they think an infected person will pass it onto between 0.5 and 2.1 people.

And people are becoming more aware now and doing less to spread it. I’m not saying the cases may not continue to rise for a bit until we implement social distancing to a greater extent, but the number of cases isn’t flying up.

We absolutely ARE seeing exponential growth. At the start of this growth, where we currently are, where relatively small numbers are in play there may be the odd day where limited spread is reported. That does not mean things are improving, nor that "we've got a grip" on it. Anything who thinks that is going to be in for a shock in the near future.

I've seen nothing to suggest this has has an r0 (the amount of people an infected person spreads the virus to) is anything like as low as 0.5. The current estimate seems to be 2.2, which I think has come down from estimates a week or two back.