[Politics] General Election 2024 - The Poll

[nwgull]

Agree. I don’t think this will be an easy win for Labour

It will. All that remains to be seen is how big a majority they'll get and, more interestingly, how many Portillo Moments we're treated to on election night.

 

[HH Brighton]

Can folk honestly tell me why they would vote Reform ?

A party that cannot properly vet it's candidates and has had to drop quite a load because of stuff that has turned up

You want them running the country ? Curious

Same reason people voted for UKIP in their millions, ignorant or racist or both

 

[Happy Exile]

I will do this even though I would hate the Lib Dems to gain power (which they won’t of course). We need PR where every vote counts equally and there is therefore a reason for everyone to engage with politics.

It makes me feel a bit nauseous. Not so much the Lib Dem bit, but because I'm forced into the same voting universe as the worst Trumpist/B****t/UKIP voting person voting not for someone who necessarily stands for the same things as them, but instead voting for someone who is against the same things they are. Basically, I'd like my vote to be a vote for something I want rather than a vote against something I don't want.

 

[dsr-burnley]

Can folk honestly tell me why they would vote Reform ?

A party that cannot properly vet it's candidates and has had to drop quite a load because of stuff that has turned up

You want them running the country ? Curious

If you could remind yourself who the Labour candidate was in Rochdale last by-election, or for that matter some of the other Tory and Labour candidates who have been chucked out of Parliament you might realise that not being able to vet candidates isn't confined to Reform.

One reason why people might vote Reform is because all three main parties, or all five if Green and SNP are included, are in favour, in practice, of increasing taxes, very high rates of immigration, low levels of house building that won't house the increasing population, low spending on defence, and employing far too many bureaucrats. Reform, essentially, is a protest vote.

 

[Hamilton]

Personally Andrew Griffith will retain his seat for Arundel and South Downs with ease.

Nationwide the Tories will have their arses kicked, Labour should get at least a 100 seat majority.

I think that this is all I want to say until polling day...

He certainly will now the boundary changes have happened.

I now lose him as my MP (good riddance) as Hurstpierpoint falls into Mid Sussex where the share of the vote last time was broadly 30% Lib Dem, 20% Labour and 50% Tory.

I doubt Mims Davies will lose, but with Hurst and Hassocks containing a lot of young families (and voting heavily Lib Dem at Council elections) and with her losing a chunk of country dwellers to the west, it may be tighter.

She may also see some anti-Tory voting in Burgess Hill and Haywards Heath where the Lib Dems are doing well.

Sadly, East Grinstead seems to be holding out for the Tories.

But, you never know.

I’d love to vote Dave Rowntree, but it’s going to be a tactical vote for me this year.

EDIT: I've just checked Election Calculus, and maybe I'm worng about the tactical vote, and the Blur man will get it. It's going to be tight.

New Seat Details - Sussex Mid

 

[dsr-burnley]

Apparantly the 4 July was chosen because new university students register and move home so they are trying hamper young people from voting, and England will be playing so generally working class / floaters might be less inclined / forget to vote

Would you stop peddling this particular rumour if it turned out that there are no Euro matches on that date?

As for the university one

 

[Guinness Boy]

. Reform, essentially, is a racist vote.

Quite so,

 

[jonny.rainbow]

I will read the manifestos of each of the parties and then make my decision.

 

[Randy McNob]

If not posted before Jezza Corbyn is set up to stand in Islington North, could be blood on the carpet.

amazing that a principled politician, the very antithesis of everything we despise about the current government and even opposition MPs, and extremely popular in his constituency is somehow like kryptonite to the electorate?

 

[Pavilionaire]

This election should be all about voting tactically. In my seat that means voting Lib Dem. Sadly, even if the Tories were decimated and ended up with 50 seats mine would be one of them.

 

[Pavilionaire]

amazing that a principled politician, the very antithesis of everything we despise about the current government and even opposition MPs, and extremely popular in his constituency is somehow like kryptonite to the electorate?

It's great news for Labour that Corbyn is doing this, as the Tories now can't use the Corbyn card against Starmer in the election.

 

[WATFORD zero]

Same reason people voted for UKIP in their millions, ignorant or racist or both

One reason why people might vote Reform is because all three main parties, or all five if Green and SNP are included, are in favour, in practice, of increasing taxes, very high rates of immigration, low levels of house building that won't house the increasing population, low spending on defence, and employing far too many bureaucrats. Reform, essentially, is a protest vote.

So that's three reasons then

 

[GJN1]

EDIT: I've just checked Election Calculus, and maybe I'm worng about the tactical vote, and the Blur man will get it. It's going to be tight.

Woo-hoo!

 

[aolstudios]

amazing that a principled politician, the very antithesis of everything we despise about the current government and even opposition MPs, and extremely popular in his constituency is somehow like kryptonite to the electorate?

Ask a Jew or two

 

[Giraffe]

It’s a sad state of affairs that the majority of the comments on here are talking of getting the Tories out. I wish if we are going to have a Labour government it was because we are excited about their policies and not just because they’re the only other party capable of defeating the Tories. Very sad indeed.

 

[The Clamp]

It’s a sad state of affairs that the majority of the comments on here are talking of getting the Tories out. I wish if we are going to have a Labour government it was because we are excited about their policies and not just because they’re the only other party capable of defeating the Tories. Very sad indeed.

The Labour Party doesn’t have “exciting” policies.

That’s why I’ll be voting so that they get into power on the 4th July.

Slow and steady is the way to repair 14 years of Tory corruption, criminality, and lies.

 

[amexer]

Greens …. Brighton Pav, why vote for anyone else? It’s a special thing having a different voice in the Commons.

They will do the same with Labour. Be against every proposal.. So easy to come up with what should be done when never going to be in power

 

[Randy McNob]

It’s a sad state of affairs that the majority of the comments on here are talking of getting the Tories out. I wish if we are going to have a Labour government it was because we are excited about their policies and not just because they’re the only other party capable of defeating the Tories. Very sad indeed.

so was you excited 5 years ago with Boris Johnson and getting Brexit done?

Unfortunately politics has hit rock bottom. Only changing the electoral system will change anything

 

[Deportivo Seagull]

If you could remind yourself who the Labour candidate was in Rochdale last by-election, or for that matter some of the other Tory and Labour candidates who have been chucked out of Parliament you might realise that not being able to vet candidates isn't confined to Reform.

One reason why people might vote Reform is because all three main parties, or all five if Green and SNP are included, are in favour, in practice, of increasing taxes, very high rates of immigration, low levels of house building that won't house the increasing population, low spending on defence, and employing far too many bureaucrats. Reform, essentially, is a protest vote.

Reform … full of thick, lying, racist, corrupt, grifting ****s. There is no moral reason for voting for these ****s. None whats so ever. Having read the second paragraph I congratulate you for confirming the stereotype of Burnley. For the record, my mother was the type of immigrant that reform would shit their pants over … the ****s.

 

[WATFORD zero]

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