General Election 2015

[Mellor 3 Ward 4]

Latest poll is Labour by 3% - that's a non-SNP parliamentary majority

Populus VI: Lab 32 (-1), Con 29 (-3), LD 8 (-1), UKIP 18 (+3), Greens 6 (-), Others 7 (+1).

18% for UKIP - that's a very high figure - can't see that happening at the GE.

If it does, Milliband will be PM

 

[Mellor 3 Ward 4]

If the polls from 12 February to 12 March are taken into account Labour would be the largest party but around 27 seats short of an absolute majority:

Labour 299 Tories 265 LibDem 17 SNP 46 Greens 1 UKIP 1 PC 3 NI parties 18

I think both the Greens and UKIP will win more than 1 seat.

 

[Dandyman]

I think both the Greens and UKIP will win more than 1 seat.

The level of support for both parties might suggest that but IMO the FPTP system makes it very difficult for national support to translate into seats for minor parties.

 

[Mellor 3 Ward 4]

The level of support for both parties might suggest that but IMO the FPTP system makes it very difficult for national support to translate into seats for minor parties.

Agree with that - there are pros (not many) and cons (lots IMO) of the FPTP system, and it's wrong that a Party getting approx. 10% of the vote only gets one or two seats.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Agree with that - there are pros (not many) and cons (lots IMO) of the FPTP system, and it's wrong that a Party getting approx. 10% of the vote only gets one or two seats.

I agree. And if we continue with significant other parties to Con and Lab then we will most likely see PR in my life-time. FPTP is designed for two party politics.

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

I think both the Greens and UKIP will win more than 1 seat.

LibDems with 17 seats looks over optimistic too.

 

[beorhthelm]

Er, what?

the population of Scotland is small. on a UK national level, the amount saying yes to SNP will be very low, so doesn't get shown.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

the population of Scotland is small. on a UK national level, the amount saying yes to SNP will be very low, so doesn't get shown.

Don't they weight these polls?

 

[Vegas Seagull]

You have to live with the rough and smooth of opinion polls instead of highlighting those which suit your agenda

Ignorant, immature & worthless post

 

[London Irish]

Ignorant, immature & worthless post

Ha - enjoy your last few months of shitty Tory rule, it's looking like a Labour/SNP coalition now

 

[Ernest]

Tbh I can't see UKIP winning more than 2 seats, the Greens will hang on to Caroline Lucas at Pavilion and that is that

 

[Westdene Seagull]

Ignorant, immature & worthless post

Wow - someone got out the wrong side of bed this morning clearly.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Ignorant, immature & worthless post

You're not doing your case any favours are you?

 

[Bozza]

You have to live with the rough and smooth of opinion polls instead of highlighting those which suit your agenda

No, no you don't. You have to live with the results of the election, and nothing else.

All the polls indicate is...

- Despite the rights ridiculing how terrible Miliband is, a fair number of people still want to vote for him.
- Despite the lefts indicating that the Tories are vile, horrible, mean and cruel, a fair number of people still want to vote for them.

The net result is that it has every indication of being one of the most fascinating elections, and possibly governments, that we have had for a long, long time.

 

[Pavilionaire]

The net result is that it has every indication of being one of the most fascinating elections, and possibly governments, that we have had for a long, long time.

The Elephant Man was fascinating, the bomb on Hiroshima was fascinating and the fall of the Third Reich was very fascinating. Personally, fascination is NOT something I'll be looking for in this election, just a competent government with two or more parties that are earnestly willing to do business.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

The Elephant Man was fascinating, the bomb on Hiroshima was fascinating and the fall of the Third Reich was very fascinating. Personally, fascination is NOT something I'll be looking for in this election, just a competent government with two or more parties that are earnestly willing to do business.

So fascination is not the number one expectation from this election? Well, I never. Thanks for pointing this out. Should I file it under an aside?

 

[London Irish]

Tbh I can't see UKIP winning more than 2 seats, the Greens will hang on to Caroline Lucas at Pavilion and that is that

Talk to the Greens and they themselves admit they only have one other chance, a seat in Norwich and that's an outside bet.

Looking likely that CL will hang on now, though she was behind Labour a little over 6 months ago

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Talk to the Greens and they themselves admit they only have one other chance, a seat in Norwich and that's an outside bet.

Looking likely that CL will hang on now, though she was behind Labour a little over 6 months ago

I cannot see anything other than Caroline Lucas winning.

 

[Pavilionaire]

So fascination is not the number one expectation from this election? Well, I never. Thanks for pointing this out. Should I file it under an aside?

What ARE you talking about? I said this was my personal opinion.

 

[seagullsovergrimsby]

No, no you don't. You have to live with the results of the election, and nothing else.

All the polls indicate is...

- Despite the rights ridiculing how terrible Miliband is, a fair number of people still want to vote for him.
- Despite the lefts indicating that the Tories are vile, horrible, mean and cruel, a fair number of people still want to vote for them.

The net result is that it has every indication of being one of the most fascinating elections, and possibly governments, that we have had for a long, long time.

No one has cast their vote yet but there are several NSCers who refuse to take off their tinted spectacles and look at the overall picture.