General Election 2015

[Titanic]

I'm here.

U OK hun?

 

[East Preston Gull]

The yougov looks right to me. But then as a Labour supporter it might be wishful thinking.

I am rooting for the tories but there is no way that labour have only got 239 seats and lib dems 10. This would mean that ukip should be on for 9 or 10. Not a chance this exit poll is correct.

 

[beorhthelm]

and looking at the numbers Labour may well have actually gained many seats in England.

 

[Bozza]

I think the poll is wrong, there won't be such a wide gap.

Bit Either poll means Labour have lost, and Cameron will still be PM

I'm with you on the first point, but not so sure on the second.

It is still very fine margins - if CON + LIB or CON + DUP < 326 then it's tricky. CON + LIB + DUP would surely be difficult to practically manage.

 

[Silverhatch]

The rise of the SNP has basically made Labour unelectable. If Plaid Cymru also eat into traditional Labour heartlands then they're even more ****ed. And if that's the case and the Cons still can't achieve a majority then the whole electoral system is busted.

 

[Mellor 3 Ward 4]

and looking at the numbers Labour may well have actually gained many seats in England.

But wiped out in Scotland?

 

[Steve in Japan]

Do you mean Robinson? He's had lung cancer hence his voice is a bit croaky.

Sorry, yes, and I did not know that.

 

[clapham_gull]

What if the result falls pretty much in the middle?

Easy to say but this was the result I predicted - but interesting to hear from an expert on exit polls on BBC that they haven't changed the sample stations they used in the last election and why now the results may be inaccurate.

Can't see the Tories going into coalition with the Lib Dems if true. The Lib Dems will quietly retreat and try and recover.

A minority Tory government ?

 

[beorhthelm]

I am rooting for the tories but there is no way that labour have only got 239 seats and lib dems 10. This would mean that ukip should be on for 9 or 10. Not a chance this exit poll is correct.

i'd trust the pollsters to be able to add up their results more than you we're used to seeing national polling extrapolated out to seat counts, the IPSOS one is seat by seat. or at least those likly to shift, they dont bother polling in Horsham or Liverpool.

 

[West Hoathly Seagull]

UKIP second in Sunderland South. Lib Dem taken a pasting, beaten by the Green. Could UKIP be doing far better than predicted?

 

[TomandJerry]

Labour with the first seat

 

[portslade seagull]

OMG 8000 racists in sunderland the lefties will wet themselves

 

[Bry Nylon]

Please Bozza - lock one of the two threads for tonight at least so we can keep all comment and reaction in one place?

 

[Cian]

Lib Dem losing their deposit there from a very solid third in 2010.

 

[East Preston Gull]

i'd trust the pollsters to be able to add up their results more than you [emoji38] we're used to seeing national polling extrapolated out to seat counts, the IPSOS one is seat by seat.

I will be over the moon with this but I really can't see where the Labour party could of lost more than the 58 in Scotland.

 

[dazzer6666]

Labour with the first seat

Always 100% safe for them

 

[8ace]

[tweet]596430194950467585[/tweet]

 

[JCL666]

Amazing result for UKIP in Sunderland

 

[Bladders]

Lib Dems did well in Sunderland

 

[Bozza]

Please Bozza - lock one of the two threads for tonight at least so we can keep all comment and reaction in one place?

I'll merge them.