Or you could look at it that the West Ham & Arsenal matches are the key to the co-efficient. Win them - and England are pretty much guaranteed the extra place.
[Albion] Europa League quarter final, semi final draw
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- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,273
EL is looking a real tall order. Can only hope.
Would be happy enough with conference, but EL is the best level for us imho
We'd get done easily in the CL, EL is competitive and a really good challenge.
I'd imagine in the conference there may be a few more games we'd be expected to win, where each game in EL could've gone either way.
Italy should get one place, and the other is neck and neck between us and Germany. Their best teams against West Ham and Arsenal could cost us.
So we would have missed the trip to Rome, replaced by trips to Hamburg, Valencia (effectively), Lisbon and Liverpool. Bank balance would have been a shambles.
Weststander
Well-known member
I always think that about Arsenal and Manure in the LC and FAC. There was stats out there somewhere that demonstrated it over a long period.
Weststander
Well-known member
They’ve had the easiest group, the easiest last 16 draw and the easiest 1/4 final draw
The Colonel
Well-known member
- Sep 4, 2023
- 223
Why do so many people seem to be saying Arsenal have got the nightmare draw? Bayern aren't at their best and Arsenal are currently top of a stronger league. That one will be tight but I'd make Arsenal favourites. I fancy Arsenal to get through more than I do City.
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,273
I'm not sure how these points are awarded?, but just looked at the UEFA country coefficients
Country coefficients | UEFA rankings
UEFA.com is the official site of UEFA, the Union of European Football Associations, and the governing body of football in Europe. UEFA works to promote, protect and develop European football across its 55 member associations and organises some of the world’s most famous football competitions...
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And whislt we are currently third in 23/24 with 15250 points, and Italy first with 17000
They have no teams in the CL left (I guessed points awarded for CL is higher? than EL or ECL)
And in EL they have Roma playing Milan and Atalanta playing Liverpool, so good chance they only have 1 club left by SF time and that in EL.
I wonder if we could still overtake Italy?
Gazwag
5 millionth post poster
I think you will find our fixture list is what will scupper our chances
I guess that's par for the course when you're the best team in the competition.
Much like Sheffield Utd have the hardest run in of all Premier League teams.
Didn’t want to go to the San Siro anyway 
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,273
If that had of been us and not Roma, would've been another really tough opponent.Didn’t want to go to the San Siro anyway
A few teams had the odd easier tie, we had none.
It would have been nice to fly into Rome and get the train to Milan!!!!
London Irish
Well-known member
The quality of the teams left meant I don't mourn this draw too much, we've had our big days out, would prefer us now to see if we can get top 8 in league
Official Old Man
Uckfield Seagull
Re the coefficients.
I was under the impression that with West Ham beating Frieburg we still had 5 teams in Europe as opposed to Germany now have 3.
This means that, although not showing as it is based on points being awarded for games won, England are favorites for that second spot in the table.
I was under the impression that with West Ham beating Frieburg we still had 5 teams in Europe as opposed to Germany now have 3.
This means that, although not showing as it is based on points being awarded for games won, England are favorites for that second spot in the table.
How West Ham's Europa League win could help Tottenham's Champions League hopes
West Ham's Europa League against the German side Freiburg has increased the chances of the Premier League getting a fifth spot in next season's Champions League through the UEFA coefficient.
www.skysports.com
Arsenal play Luton, us and Bayern in an eight day period. Good chance they might rest a couple versus us. Also, if Villa get past Lille in the Conference quarters then their game away to us would be bang in the middle of their two semi final legs, again probably helping us a bit.
Cowfold Seagull
Fan of the 17 bus
Oh come on, it was one heck of an adventure wasn't it?
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,273
It was, the time of our lives, but you can also feel deflated it's over.
They're not mutually exclusive.