herecomesaregular
We're in the pipe, 5 by 5
No, I've put a pand on Harris winning 54% or more of the vote. C'mon women of America!
[Politics] Donald Trump, US President Elect 2025
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No, I've put a pand on Harris winning 54% or more of the vote. C'mon women of America!
US Seagull
Well-known member
I'm trying not to fall into the trap of wishful thinking, but I have a feeling that he has really shit the bed with women.
I think, in the end, it might not be very close
I almost don’t want to say it out loud, but yes, when you look at the two campaigns and all the early signifiers, I think she probably wins fairly comfortably.
Iggle Piggle
Well-known member
- Sep 3, 2010
- 6,039
A few months ago, it was 50/50 in the betting. It's now 60/40 Trump.. That's a massive shift.
I'm curious how someone who lives in America sees why that has come about.. Presumably,.you think it should have gone the other way?
FWIW I think your point about women is a very valid one.
I’m pretty confident she’ll win the popular vote. It’s the f***ed up way the US does their election that worries me.
US Seagull
Well-known member
Betting companies have been advertising on a lot of right wing media. I posted an example up there somewhere ^
It's probably about 50 pages back by now.
Also the market is swinging back to Kamala now......a week ago trump was very clear favourite with the bookies
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 16,293
Not to mention the majority of people on this thread...
In reality, no-one's got a facking clue, but it fills airtime and social media for a few more days. So tedious.
Buffalo Seagull
Active member
Sorry, but that’s rubbish. Order on the ballots is decided by a draw.
Positions on the ballot paper: How ballot draws work
Positions on the ballot paper: How ballot draws work
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 16,293
Crawley Drongo talking shit? Surely notSorry, but that’s rubbish. Order on the ballots is decided by a draw.
Positions on the ballot paper: How ballot draws work
Positions on the ballot paper: How ballot draws workwww.aec.gov.au
Seagull58
In the Algarve
It appears that they replicated it once by touching the area between the 2 names instead of touching directly on the name.They couldn't replicate it though - and her ballot was correct.
Laurel Co. pulls ballot-marking machine after viral video claims Trump vote went to Harris
The county clerk says his office could not re-create the alleged glitch, but the attorney general will investigate the machine.www.yahoo.com
Did you see the one where they were complaining that Trump was 'too far down' the list of candidates and therefore that was somehow cheating as well because voters had to look for his name rather than having it immediately visible near the top (it was in alphabetical order).
Klaas
I've changed this
- Nov 1, 2017
- 2,673
Seagull58
In the Algarve
£23,000 bet on Trump but over £1 million laid against Trump!
Seagull58
In the Algarve
I'm confident that Harris will win with over 300 electoral college votes if proceedings are conducted fairly. I'm concerned about Trump and Speaker Johnson combining to try and invalidate some states' declarations though, and even more worried that the corrupt christofascists on the Supreme Court will go along with it. If that does happen then I can see Biden declaring martial law.
Obviously, I hope none of that happens.
Seagull58
In the Algarve
Possibly he has shit the bed with all demographics except racist, misogynistic, snow white males and handmaids.
- Oct 20, 2022
- 7,238
- Thread starter
- #7,897
I don’t know how people on this thread are calling the result with so much confidence when every US and global political pundits are saying it’s too close to call 
. Personally, I think it’s really (albeit educated) guess work and some wishful thinking thrown in based on politically biased stories doing the rounds on X and Fb, skewed betting odds and unreliable polling - I think I will stick to what I don’t know and that is who will win this election 
- this is definitely good news though and will be a relief to the Dems in Penn
www.scotusblog.com
The order from the justices means that election officials in the key battleground state must tally provisional ballots submitted on Election Day by voters who returned defective mail ballots, either because they didn't include secrecy envelopes or failed to sign or date the outer envelope.
. Personally, I think it’s really (albeit educated) guess work and some wishful thinking thrown in based on politically biased stories doing the rounds on X and Fb, skewed betting odds and unreliable polling - I think I will stick to what I don’t know and that is who will win this election - this is definitely good news though and will be a relief to the Dems in Penn
Court declines RNC request to intervene in Pennsylvania voting dispute - SCOTUSblog
The Supreme Court on Friday night left in place a ruling by Pennsylvania’s highest court that requires election boards in the state to count provisional ballots submitted by voters whose mail-in ballots had been deemed invalid. The brief unsigned order came just four days before election day. Rec
www.scotusblog.com
Supreme Court denies GOP request to block counting of certain provisional ballots in battleground Pennsylvania
The Supreme Court on Friday night left in place a ruling made by Pennsylvania’s highest court in 2022 that requires election boards in the state to count provisional ballots submitted by voters whose mail-in ballots had been deemed invalid.The order from the justices means that election officials in the key battleground state must tally provisional ballots submitted on Election Day by voters who returned defective mail ballots, either because they didn't include secrecy envelopes or failed to sign or date the outer envelope.
But there seems to be an awfully large number of these.
Seagull58
In the Algarve
There's a lot of christofascist evangelicals proudly supporting the slogan "Jesus, guns, babies".