[Politics] Donald Trump, US President Elect 2025

[dwayne]

Early Pennsylvania noises are good.

Think these places with 3% counted are nonsense. Not moving markets

 

[Bozza]

Somethiing has just changed with Pennsylvania.

CNN are on an ad break so I'm not sure what.

 

[Mellotron]

Copium? Perhaps. Perhaps not.

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Way way way too early.

Almost all of the vote counting for Georgia so far is early in person voting, which is pretty much always strong for Rs.

This is part of the red mirage that everyone was told would happen early on.

Again, I’m not saying Harris is going to win. Just that nothing that has happened so far has been “off script”.

Very early.

“By law, Georgia has to count its early votes – all four million of them - by 20:00 EST (01:00 GMT), and the results are already rolling in, showing an early lead for Donald Trump.

We should be careful of reading anything into that at this stage. Small rural counties, the kinds of places likely to have strong Republican majorities, can count faster than big urban ones that are likely to lean Democratic. “

 

[aftershavedave]

“
By law, Georgia has to count its early votes – all four million of them - by 20:00 EST (01:00 GMT), and the results are already rolling in, showing an early lead for Donald Trump.

We should be careful of reading anything into that at this stage. Small rural counties, the kinds of places likely to have strong Republican majorities, can count faster than big urban ones that are likely to lean Democratic. “

This is key: small rural places count quicker, and like in the UK, they are more conservative.

CNN "no surprises so far"

 

[Mellotron]

 

[Herr Tubthumper]

Trump claiming “massive cheating” in Pennsylvania….surely this is a good sign?

 

[US Seagull]

This is causing me massive stress.

 

[Mellotron]

 

[Munkfish]

Trump is going to romp home.

 

[Zeberdi]

Early Pennsylvania noises are good.

Too early to tell.

Exit polls:

* Harris wins 55% of women voters in Pennsylvania; Trump wins 43%.
* Trump wins 54% of white voters in Pennsylvania; Harris wins 44%.
* Trump wins 58% of white men voters in Pennsylvania; Harris wins 40%.
* Harris wins 48% of white women voters in Pennsylvania; Trump wins 50%.

Don’t forget though, PA doesn’t count it’s mail in ballots and absentee ballots until tomorrow and these tend to favour Democrats.

NC

The Dems have voted in a Democratic Governor (largely because of the Republican’s comments on a porn site 10 years ago comparing himself to a ‘black nazi’ apparently which came to light recently) but far too early to predict the top of the ticket.

 

[Mellotron]

This is causing me massive stress.

Feel for you. I feel stressed and I’m thousands of miles away!

 

[The Clamp]

Harris takes Illinois. That’s a big one to steal.

 

[Bozza]

Site back-ups run at 2am - the site will be inaccessible for a few minutes.

 

[Zeberdi]

Are those who have been so confident in betting on Harris as a likely win in recent days on this thread still so confident?

If so, could do with you spreading that around a bit right now because I am very low on the mojometer at the moment - gut feeling this really will go down to the line in a very narrow victory for Harris or Trump will win comfortably

 

[The Clamp]

Site back-ups run at 2am - the site will be inaccessible for a few minutes.

How much has Trump paid you for this information blackout?

 

[Zeberdi]

Harris takes Illinois. That’s a big one to steal.

Expected win though - Biden won Illinois by 17 points in 2020.

Sorry, must stop being negative

 

[The Clamp]

Expected win though - Biden won Illinois by 17 points in 2020.

Sorry, must stop being negative

According to Guardian, no republican has won Illinois since 1988

Biden carried it.

 

[Mellotron]

Are those who have been so confident in betting on Harris as a likely win in recent days on this thread still so confident?

If so, could do with you spreading that around a bit right now because I am very low on the mojometer at the moment - gut feeling this really will go down to the line in a very narrow victory for Harris or Trump will win comfortably

Mildly less confident. But hold the nerve.

 

[US Seagull]

Mildly less confident. But hold the nerve.

I do think I remember 2020 looking pretty bleak early on to.

But maybe I'm just trying to make myself feel better.