Deal or no deal afficienado's

[Uncle Spielberg]

Deal or no deal.

Please tell me

1. How many games have there been, must be over 100 by now
2. Has ANYONE ever had the £ 250000 in their box
3. What is the average win , must be under 10k
4. Why is it in a 50/50 scenario the dealer ALWAYS wins
5. The woman sold her box worth £ 75000 for £ 28000 in a 50/50, how is that good, Edmonds
6. Is this fixed as by now in every 100 games, 5 times the player should have £ 250000 in the box but to my knowledge NOONE has ever had £ 250k

The game will fizzle out soon unless someone wins the big one very soon, £ 10k is feck all in anyone's book

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

4. meant banker not dealer

 

[Napper]

i think there is someone under the desk and all the box's have false bottoms. When Noel is bigging it up and speculating what might be in it , the dwarfs are at work under the desk

trust me

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

It is uncanny. It must be over 100 games now and with 22 boxes, the £ 250 k should have been in the box 5 times by now but it has never been in the box. This means the game is fixed and people must be switching on to this.

 

[Wardy]

1. Not sure
2. A couple of times that I have seen
3. A bit higher I would guess about £15k
4. He doesn't
5. because she want £20k to do something (not sure what only caught the end of the program) and then got it. She was happy.
6. Depends what you mean by fixed. It is wildly thought that there are set patterns that the amounts in the boxes hold.

 

[Da Man Clay]

It is uncanny. It must be over 100 games now and with 22 boxes, the £ 250 k should have been in the box 5 times by now but it has never been in the box. This means the game is fixed and people must be switching on to this.

I have seen it Certainly once and possibly twice.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

I don;t think the £ 250k has ever been in the box, can someone confirm this.

 

[Lush]

It is uncanny. It must be over 100 games now and with 22 boxes, the £ 250 k should have been in the box 5 times by now but it has never been in the box. This means the game is fixed and people must be switching on to this.

Yes if everyone just opened boxes at random. But the human greed factor always kicks in, which skews the statistics.

 

[Wardy]

It is uncanny. It must be over 100 games now and with 22 boxes, the £ 250 k should have been in the box 5 times by now but it has never been in the box. This means the game is fixed and people must be switching on to this.

Your odds are flawed.

There is a 1 in 22 chance at the start of the game of a box having a set amount in.

At the start of the next game the odds are still 1 in 22 of a box having a set amount in.

 

[magoo]

the quarter mil has been in a few peoples boxes.

"4. Why is it in a 50/50 scenario the dealer ALWAYS wins"

Because he never gives an offer low enough for people to want to risk not dealing. Last night the woman took 28 grand which to her was not worth risking losing.

 

[Hannibal smith]

3 times at least the 250K has been in the box including once last week.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

This is before the game starts Lush so in 100 times, 250k should be in the box 4.5 x but it has been once.

I think someone fixes the amount before the game starts. Its incredible how nearer always the player has a crap amount in the box.

Game must be fixed.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

Because he never gives an offer low enough for people to want to risk not dealing. Last night the woman took 28 grand which to her was not worth risking 75 grand for.

So the dealer won again. She said all day , I've got £ 75k in my box and then bottled it and may as well have given £ 47000 to a stranger in the street and then Edmonds was saying how great she did.

Er , no , she threw away £ 47000.

 

[Starry]

There are a few people who have had the £250k in their boxes at the end. No one has had the guts to go right to the end in that case though since the offer is usually nice money.

Todays game will be the 182nd show.

 

[CHAPPERS]

I saw a woman have it the other day, she had dealt much earlier for about 30 grand or something.

 

[Wardy]

Because he never gives an offer low enough for people to want to risk not dealing. Last night the woman took 28 grand which to her was not worth risking 75 grand for.

So the dealer won again. She said all day , I've got £ 75k in my box and then bottled it and may as well have given £ 47000 to a stranger in the street and then Edmonds was saying how great she did.

Er , no , she threw away £ 47000.

But she might have only had £750 so the risk of losing £27250 was higher then the chance of wining an extra £47000. £28000 is a lot of money nad to turn that down and possibly end up with £750 was too much of a risk for her.

 

[Titanic]

The reason nobody has won £250000 is that, even if they have it in their box, they are likely to bail out when a decent offer is made. There have been quite a few £75k+ winners.

The only circumstances that the 250k will be won, are if someone is lucky enough to at least £250k plus two of the big numbers into the last five... AND they can afford to lose the money if they are unlucky.

I guess it will happen, but not often that someone will turn down £75k+ if there is a chance of losing it.

Enjoyable game though.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

Risk of losing £ 27250 - 50%
Chance of winning £ 47000 - 50%

No brainer.

 

[Uncle Spielberg]

I saw the black kiddy get to £ 20000 and £ 250000 and turn down £ 102000. He stuck with the box on his table and truned down the chance to swap and GUESS WHAT he had the £ 20000

FIX.

 

[Da Man Clay]

Risk of losing £ 27250 - 50%
Chance of winning £ 47000 - 50%

No brainer.

Not if you have a choice between having 27250 with no risk or having a shot at 75k or 50p. Id rather have the 27k thanks. Id see it as losing 27249.50.