Insel affe
HellBilly
Need a draw in that one, two points dropped by both would be excellent
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Championship Odds Tracker
- Thread starter kingcole
- Start date
Need a draw in that one, two points dropped by both would be excellent
Seagull over NZ
Well-known member
We're annoyed when Leeds shade a win against Blackburn saying they got lucky. Think how they must have felt seeing us get wins against Birmingham, Sheffield Wednesday etc. Somehow we attribute those wins to our team spirit and togetherness but we view other teams wins as lucky! Come on people, lets face it, the likes of Leeds and probably Reading will fight us for those top two spots to the end. Getting something out of tonight is key otherwise it could spell a bit of panic and provide Leeds and Reading with a big lift. Win tonight and they will be deflated again.
You're just looking at the final score. Both managers last night said Leeds were lucky to win. Also look at Leeds and Reading's E ratings - they've been sneaking wins all season:
clippedgull
Hotdogs, extra onions
What company are you getting those odds from? for example Reading are 37-1 at Betfair and Huddersfield are 33-1!
edit: Just looked on oddschecker and saw they are at different bookies!
- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,230
Given the run Reading have been on I am surprised their odds are as high as that. All it needs is a couple more defeats for Newcastle and us and they will be right in the mix, the odds would tumble then.
Not saying it will happen though, but nonetheless there is a good bet there for someone.
Not saying it will happen though, but nonetheless there is a good bet there for someone.
- Aug 8, 2005
- 27,230
Exactly this. It's an odd one really because given that both us and Newcastle have not looked very convincing in games (albeit generally winning them), you would have to say we are both due a losing run. I understand why Newcastle and us are clear favourites but Reading should be more like 10-1 now I'd say, and Leeds 12-1. For them to both have such generous odds suggests their own support is not yet lumping on them large like perhaps we might be?
kingcole
Well-known member
- Thread starter
- #130
Yes, more a case of the bookies needing to balance their books to offset the money taken on Newcastle and us. Also Leeds to a point. I don't really rate them with that much of a better chance than Reading (a bit better, yeah) but not half the price. Again, there a one or two more Leeds fans around than Reading so more would have had a bet on them.
Take the emotion out of football wagering and there is always some value to be found.
Prince Monolulu
Everything in Moderation
I think it makes more sense to look at "Top 2" rather than "Promotion", which includes the playoffs. Top 2 is all we're interested in right now.
Our chances have taken a bit of a battering.
Prince Monolulu
Everything in Moderation
No difference as far as BHA are concerned with our record Shirley?
Uter
Well-known member
Still 8 points better off this season than at the same stage last.
When you look at this you can see that around 3 bad games now would put us back to where we were last year - and from this point on last year the trajectory was very good. There's a long way to go yet....
Uter
Well-known member
Yup. We'd do well to finish this season as well as last season. Personally I suspect we will finish in the low 90s, with around 2 or 3 more points than last season. Also worth noting that Reading and Huddersfield are both 1 point behind our total at the same stage last season. Leeds are 3 points behind. So they'd all need to finish the season better than we did last year to finish with 89 points or more.
Correction: Huddersfield are 2 points ahead of what we had after 29 games last season.
KLUNK
Member
So, it's approx 3/1 that we don't get automatic promotion. Usual price with 2 outcomes, when odds are 1/5 for one. Bookies obviously fancy us
Only thing for pretty much certain is that top 2 will be from those 5 teams priced up in that market. Hopefully we are one of them, and confirmed before we play at Villa on May 7th...