Pavilionaire
Well-known member
- Jul 7, 2003
- 31,263
Although I didn't vote for Brexit, I am 100% convinced that the EU has a very limited future. It has been failing for 10 years and although they can't see it, it is sliding. It needs reforming but it won't reform. When it finally crashes and burns, it won't just be innocent Brits failing to get vital medicines. It will be a 500 million people problem. Some can scaremonger as much as they like about this Brexit but when Eurofall happens ( 8-12 years maximum ) we just have to make sure we don't get caught in the avalanche.
The only problems that look like they could threaten the foundation of the EU relate to the weakness of the economies of some of the Mediterranean states which, in turn, are drawn from a long-standing culture of tax avoidance. If the EU manages to bring these states into line when it comes to tax compliance then I think the EU will be strong.
We live in a global economy, the era of the small nation state is at an end and Europe needs the EU to bring its influence to bear across the world.
The European identity is far stronger on the continent where those people carry the scars of invasion, conflict and ideology. I see every reason for them to stick together and very little reason for individual states to break away. What the UK is doing is counter-intuitive, and it is only by quirk of history re his shit government, austerity, immigration and the refugee crisis from Asia / Africa that the unique conditions for Brexit came to pass.