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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,099








A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,537
Deepest, darkest Sussex
"Not the end of the world". Well that's good, Brexit will officially be slightly better than a massive fireball of death. Now let's all hit the hay.
 








Garry Nelson's teacher

Well-known member
May 11, 2015
5,257
Bloody Worthing!
Extract from article in today's Guardian. I know it's all be said before but there is a kind of remorseless irrationality in the arguments of those who assume that somehow we are being ripped off and inhibited by remaining in the customs union and single market and this little extract captures the situation rather well:

'Liam Fox can usually be relied upon to chime in with the assertion that 90% of global growth in the coming decade will be outside the EU. This is a popular Brexiteer statistic because it implies that the UK has made the far-sighted choice, switching out of the 10% European slow lane. That would be true if EU membership prohibited access to all other markets – if you could ship goods either within the EU or outside it, but never both. Plainly that is nonsense. Germany’s biggest trading partner is China. Berlin does not see its regulatory obligations to the single market as a brake on global exports.

Of all the nonsensical Brexit ideas to have acquired respectability through sheer force of repetition by Tory MPs, perhaps the flimsiest is this false dichotomy of “global” trade and EU membership. The common external tariff prevents EU members from signing bilateral agreements, but the compensation is being party to deals that Europeans negotiate as a bloc and, thanks to the sheer scale of the single market, on terms befitting an economic superpower. About 49% of Britain’s trade is currently with the EU. Another 12% is with 65 non-EU states that have free-trade agreements with Brussels. The most recent, with Japan, was signed in July this year.

There is no system for replicating those agreements after Brexit. Fox has racked up thousands of air miles crossing the Atlantic and the Pacific, eliciting bland statements of goodwill from overseas counterparts. But the number of deals he has successfully negotiated is a fat zero.'
 










Two Professors

Two Mad Professors
Jul 13, 2009
7,617
Multicultural Brum
[tweet]1032546929203392512[/tweet]

I can't stand easyJet, but how can this sort of thing be good news?

:yawn:Why bring back news from 2017?Nothing new to whine about?
 


Two Professors

Two Mad Professors
Jul 13, 2009
7,617
Multicultural Brum
Extract from article in today's Guardian. I know it's all be said before but there is a kind of remorseless irrationality in the arguments of those who assume that somehow we are being ripped off and inhibited by remaining in the customs union and single market and this little extract captures the situation rather well:

'Liam Fox can usually be relied upon to chime in with the assertion that 90% of global growth in the coming decade will be outside the EU. This is a popular Brexiteer statistic because it implies that the UK has made the far-sighted choice, switching out of the 10% European slow lane. That would be true if EU membership prohibited access to all other markets – if you could ship goods either within the EU or outside it, but never both. Plainly that is nonsense. Germany’s biggest trading partner is China. Berlin does not see its regulatory obligations to the single market as a brake on global exports.

Of all the nonsensical Brexit ideas to have acquired respectability through sheer force of repetition by Tory MPs, perhaps the flimsiest is this false dichotomy of “global” trade and EU membership. The common external tariff prevents EU members from signing bilateral agreements, but the compensation is being party to deals that Europeans negotiate as a bloc and, thanks to the sheer scale of the single market, on terms befitting an economic superpower. About 49% of Britain’s trade is currently with the EU. Another 12% is with 65 non-EU states that have free-trade agreements with Brussels. The most recent, with Japan, was signed in July this year.

There is no system for replicating those agreements after Brexit. Fox has racked up thousands of air miles crossing the Atlantic and the Pacific, eliciting bland statements of goodwill from overseas counterparts. But the number of deals he has successfully negotiated is a fat zero.'

:lolol:49% :lolol: in 2015,maybe.
 




CHAPPERS

DISCO SPENG
Jul 5, 2003
45,090
Extract from article in today's Guardian. I know it's all be said before but there is a kind of remorseless irrationality in the arguments of those who assume that somehow we are being ripped off and inhibited by remaining in the customs union and single market and this little extract captures the situation rather well:

'Liam Fox can usually be relied upon to chime in with the assertion that 90% of global growth in the coming decade will be outside the EU. This is a popular Brexiteer statistic because it implies that the UK has made the far-sighted choice, switching out of the 10% European slow lane. That would be true if EU membership prohibited access to all other markets – if you could ship goods either within the EU or outside it, but never both. Plainly that is nonsense. Germany’s biggest trading partner is China. Berlin does not see its regulatory obligations to the single market as a brake on global exports.

Of all the nonsensical Brexit ideas to have acquired respectability through sheer force of repetition by Tory MPs, perhaps the flimsiest is this false dichotomy of “global” trade and EU membership. The common external tariff prevents EU members from signing bilateral agreements, but the compensation is being party to deals that Europeans negotiate as a bloc and, thanks to the sheer scale of the single market, on terms befitting an economic superpower. About 49% of Britain’s trade is currently with the EU. Another 12% is with 65 non-EU states that have free-trade agreements with Brussels. The most recent, with Japan, was signed in July this year.

There is no system for replicating those agreements after Brexit. Fox has racked up thousands of air miles crossing the Atlantic and the Pacific, eliciting bland statements of goodwill from overseas counterparts. But the number of deals he has successfully negotiated is a fat zero.'

Indeed. Theresa May scrabbling around in Afica to makes friends with a view to a deal or two...as are Germany and France, both EU member states.
 


Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,909


Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,909




Two Professors

Two Mad Professors
Jul 13, 2009
7,617
Multicultural Brum
It's 46% (ONS)

That is not 49%.Try imagining the Remain vote at 46%-it might help!

truth.png
 




Garry Nelson's teacher

Well-known member
May 11, 2015
5,257
Bloody Worthing!
ONS Bulletin May 2018

When looking at UK goods imports, 55% came from EU countries, while 51% of UK goods exports were to countries outside of the EU in the 12 months to May 2018. The EU and non-EU split for imports of goods remained the same as the previous 12 months to May 2017, although the amount the UK exports to countries outside of the EU fell slightly, from 52% in the 12 months to May 2017 to 51% in the 12 months to May 2018.
 


Eeyore

Colonel Hee-Haw of Queen's Park
NSC Patron
Apr 5, 2014
25,909




highflyer

Well-known member
Jan 21, 2016
2,553
France was a special case. For one thing, France has no tradition of a centrist party so it was a new option for the French: the UK does have such a party - it's not doing very well though.

But there were other factors too. The traditional centre-right party picked a candidate mired in scandal revolving around jobs for his family. The traditional centre-left party picked someone who wasn't prime minister and who very much had the feeling of a makeweight; to make things harder, there was a left candidate who was far more charismatic and who ate into the left's vote. Finally. there was a far-right candidate, with an expenses scandal of her own, one who attracted loyal support from a hard core but could scarcely improve on it.

But it was exceptional/ If the centre-right had picked a better candidate, they'd almost certainly have won but, as it was, Macron had a clear path to power.

France's voting system meant it became a flat-out race between Macron and a flat out racist
Most of those I know on the left in france held their noses and voted for Macron to keep Le Pen out. I'd have done the same. It doesn't mean they like Macron or support his centre right policies. In fact they largely despise him, seeing him as a Tony Blair figure - all charisma, no substance and mesmerized by glamour and wealth.

And his popularity is plummeting very very fast as far as i can tell.
 


sir albion

New member
Jan 6, 2007
13,055
SWINDON
ONS Bulletin May 2018

When looking at UK goods imports, 55% came from EU countries, while 51% of UK goods exports were to countries outside of the EU in the 12 months to May 2018. The EU and non-EU split for imports of goods remained the same as the previous 12 months to May 2017, although the amount the UK exports to countries outside of the EU fell slightly, from 52% in the 12 months to May 2017 to 51% in the 12 months to May 2018.
Yes and that's 55% of exports from EU countries too us that never gets mentioned in this country.People need to remember it's a two way street but the media and remainers never mention the impact it will have on the EU.???
 


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