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[Politics] Brexit

If there was a second Brexit referendum how would you vote?


  • Total voters
    1,099


The Rivet

Well-known member
Aug 9, 2011
4,592
Like the last time when he blew a safe seat?

Let's examine that 'safe seat' shall we by considering this.

The conservative election spending in South Thanet is being labelled by central government as (and I quote them) 'a calamitous administrative error' Really? So do we accept that? Accommodation expenses for many 'ground staff' bussed in by the conservatives were not part of the legal amounts candidates are allowed to use. If we don't accept that then what is the conclusion? Deliberate use of public funds to help obtain an election result for Craig Mackinlay? If so central government cannot seriously expect us to trust them as being honest with us. So if they did behave dishonestly over the seat in South Thanet then how can we believe their claims on anything including the referendum economic argument claims. Interestingly it was the successful candidate conservative Craig Mackinlay who sought to block an investigation time limit extension requested by Kent police. Surely if you won fair and square you wouldn't be worried about any investigation. Another dozen forces are also investigating in their areas too and may seek judicial extensions. So if the tories have used public money illegally that is very immoral, isn't it? Additionally the 'beak' in Kent has indicated he may void the result if it proves so. But I guess you knew all that, after all your comment seems most definite about a 'safe seat'.
 




brighton fella

New member
Mar 20, 2009
1,645
the biggest problem you have here is thinking that Farage Gove and Johnson are far right.
there are real far right groups across Europe with some very worrying agendas.....these three are nowhere near coming close to even being mentioned as similar.

Seriously that quote that he made gave me the biggest laugh iv'e had in some time, and the fact that he was serious about it :lolol:
 




glasfryn

cleaning up cat sick
Nov 29, 2005
20,261
somewhere in Eastbourne
so Major recons the Brexit campaign is squalid.
tell you whats squalid mate is having affairS with Curry and some no mark catering manager
so theres a good reason to ignore that one then
NO,NO,NO.
 








Neville's Breakfast

Well-known member
May 1, 2016
13,450
Oxton, Birkenhead
so how exactly does trying to discredit Remainers help ? In any case you haven't discredited them, you have simply brought up their sexuality which is none of your business. I am voting Leave but I completely disassociate myself from views like yours.
 
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Jim in the West

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 13, 2003
4,952
Way out West
The exchanges are on about 1.40 which is more of a reliable indicator.

If this gets near 2.0 then it's time to panic.


These sort of polls now are what should (hopefully) give the Remain camp a much-needed kick up the ar$e. As a Remainer I can't understand the complacency in some quarters - pretty much ignoring the youth vote, and not even bothering about trying to appeal to the female vote. Thankfully around 120k Under-25s have registered to vote in the past 4 days, which indicates that finally the message is getting home. At this stage a few polls which show Brexit ahead is probably no bad thing (for the Remain camp). But obviously not for too much longer!
 






melias shoes

Well-known member
Oct 14, 2010
4,830
These sort of polls now are what should (hopefully) give the Remain camp a much-needed kick up the ar$e. As a Remainer I can't understand the complacency in some quarters - pretty much ignoring the youth vote, and not even bothering about trying to appeal to the female vote. Thankfully around 120k Under-25s have registered to vote in the past 4 days, which indicates that finally the message is getting home. At this stage a few polls which show Brexit ahead is probably no bad thing (for the Remain camp). But obviously not for too much longer!

The 2 females in my family want out.
 








Lincoln Imp

Well-known member
Feb 2, 2009
5,964
i'd say the thing missing is any evidence that RoI is currently being used for illegal access the UK. if this was a practical option for people today, they'd be going through there and we'd probably have to give it more consideration. you have to fly into Ireland, those that can could just fly into Gatwick and Heathrow as tourists and stay. you'd probably increase checks on the ferrys rather than the Irish border. for Scotland, theres alot of assumption to work through there (they'd have a vote, they'd win, they'd be allowed to join EU within a decade), and end up with the same basic issue of getting to Scotland first. in short it shouldnt really be given much consideration, we should be focusing a bit more on looking at ramping up international trading opportunities, addressing reworking unnecessary regulations etc, rather than worry Scots and Irish coming in (which would probably be allowed anyway, as per existing Irish model).

Interesting.

If England votes Out and Scotland votes In on 23 June the likelihood of the SNP forcing an independence referendum is real enough and there is a clear possibility it will win. Would it then apply to join the EU? Again, the clear possibility is that it would, notwithstanding the existence of an anti-EU faction among SNP politicians (which is probably about as large as the one in the Labour Party).

If those three realistic assumptions fell into place the questions would then be about the nature of Scotland's application. Would it have to join the accession queue or would it be fast-tracked as a de facto 'ex-member'? I'd have thought that the EU's sympathies would be with Scotland and the latter would apply. But that only affects the timing. Either way, Scotland would certainly be in Schengen and the pressure might then fall on the Scotland/England border.

I accept that there will be some people who know that a post-Brexit Scotland would not want to be independent of England or a member of the EU.
 


Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
Interesting.

If England votes Out and Scotland votes In on 23 June the likelihood of the SNP forcing an independence referendum is real enough and there is a clear possibility it will win. Would it then apply to join the EU? Again, the clear possibility is that it would, notwithstanding the existence of an anti-EU faction among SNP politicians (which is probably about as large as the one in the Labour Party).

If those three realistic assumptions fell into place the questions would then be about the nature of Scotland's application. Would it have to join the accession queue or would it be fast-tracked as a de facto 'ex-member'? I'd have thought that the EU's sympathies would be with Scotland and the latter would apply. But that only affects the timing. Either way, Scotland would certainly be in Schengen and the pressure might then fall on the Scotland/England border.

I accept that there will be some people who know that a post-Brexit Scotland would not want to be independent of England or a member of the EU.
Brexit negotiations would supposedly take 2+ years.

If Scotland sorted out whether it wanted to leave the UK within that timeframe, they would technically not have to leave the EU then reapply to re-join.

We'd have Scotland exit talks from the UK running alongside UK exit talks from the EU, and of course that would create a bit of a headache, but would mean it would be no means certain Scotland would ever actually leave the EU at any point.
 




Buzzer

Languidly Clinical
Oct 1, 2006
26,121
Interesting.

If England votes Out and Scotland votes In on 23 June the likelihood of the SNP forcing an independence referendum is real enough and there is a clear possibility it will win. Would it then apply to join the EU? Again, the clear possibility is that it would, notwithstanding the existence of an anti-EU faction among SNP politicians (which is probably about as large as the one in the Labour Party).

The SNP's economic plans would be in tatters because Scottish oil prices are much lower than when they had the last referendum, the Scottish people would almost certainly vote no. And if they did vote yes then they would not be allowed to join the EU. The Belgians and Spanish already said last time that they would block Scottish ascension because to do otherwise would fuel independence calls from the Flemish and Catalans. Your 'realistic' assumptions are quite unrealistic.
 




JC Footy Genius

Bringer of TRUTH
Jun 9, 2015
10,568
eu_share_world_gdp.jpg


Time to move on.
 






One Love

Well-known member
Aug 22, 2011
4,488
Brighton


Jim in the West

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 13, 2003
4,952
Way out West
The SNP's economic plans would be in tatters because Scottish oil prices are much lower than when they had the last referendum, the Scottish people would almost certainly vote no. And if they did vote yes then they would not be allowed to join the EU. The Belgians and Spanish already said last time that they would block Scottish ascension because to do otherwise would fuel independence calls from the Flemish and Catalans. Your 'realistic' assumptions are quite unrealistic.

It's a bit different now, though - a post-Brexit UK would not be a happy place. And the EU would want to give the rest of the UK (i.e., effectively England) a lesson. The Scots are by far the most Europhile part of the UK, and virtually all their MPs support the Remain campaign. Of course none of us can say for certain what would happen, but another Scottish Independence Referendum is almost guaranteed - and there would be far fewer voices with any credibility arguing No.
 


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