[Football] Are we safe already

[Not Andy Naylor]

Where's Dr No when you need him?

 

[redoubtable seagull]

34 was enough last season, I suspect it will be a few less this year.

I would agree that 34 points or thereabouts is probably the marker.

After 15 games last season, the bottom three was:
18. Crystal Palace 10 (-17)
19. West Ham United 10 (-19)
20. Swansea City 9 (-10)

Points wise, not much difference to what the bottom 3 are on this season. Interestingly Stoke sat in 13th place after 15 matches with 16 points. They were relegated on 33 so only picked up another 18 points from their remaining 23 games. So, a long way to go yet.

 

[LVGull]

I would agree that 34 points or thereabouts is probably the marker.

After 15 games last season, the bottom three was:
18. Crystal Palace 10 (-17)
19. West Ham United 10 (-19)
20. Swansea City 9 (-10)

Points wise, not much difference to what the bottom 3 are on this season. Interestingly Stoke sat in 13th place after 15 matches with 16 points. They were relegated on 33 so only picked up another 18 points from their remaining 23 games. So, a long way to go yet.

Here you go.

 

[LVGull]

After 25 games last season.

 

[KingKev]

Currently cut-off looks to be less than even last season, in the 31-32 range. None of the bottom 7 is averaging anywhere near a point a game, whereas last season at least 3 of them were in and around that mark all season.
For the bottom 4 to reach 32/33 points they need to go at a point a game from now on, which is a) a big ask from current form and b) is made even more difficult given the relative strengthening of the top half of the table (and arguably the top 13) who on average are heading for about 8 more points than last season (top 5 on course for +10 and one might expect the likes of ManU and Everton to improve in the second half).
So IF at least two of the bottom 4 are going to get into the mid-30’s, the additional points are likely to come against other members of the bottom 7-10 dragging some of them down into the fray.
Either way I can’t currently see that 17th will need more than 32 points and a GD of -20 or better. 3 wins out of 23 will do it for the Albion (and not losing to the likes of Burnley will help...).

 

[Saunders]

Currently cut-off looks to be less than even last season, in the 31-32 range. None of the bottom 7 is averaging anywhere near a point a game, whereas last season at least 3 of them were in and around that mark all season.
For the bottom 4 to reach 32/33 points they need to go at a point a game from now on, which is a) a big ask from current form and b) is made even more difficult given the relative strengthening of the top half of the table (and arguably the top 13) who on average are heading for about 8 more points than last season (top 5 on course for +10 and one might expect the likes of ManU and Everton to improve in the second half).
So IF at least two of the bottom 4 are going to get into the mid-30’s, the additional points are likely to come against other members of the bottom 7-10 dragging some of them down into the fray.
Either way I can’t currently see that 17th will need more than 32 points and a GD of -20 or better. 3 wins out of 23 will do it for the Albion (and not losing to the likes of Burnley will help...).

Yes its much more of a proper bottom and middle of the table this year all teams were so close last year.

 

[Weststander]

It took us 4 more games to get to 21 points last time. Things going well.

 

[ManOfSussex]

Tony Cascarino in The Times today analysed the relegation candidates:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/...he-premier-league-relegation-battle-3klrcmwgl

We weren't even one of them.

Out of Newcastle, Palace, Cardiff, Huddersfield, Southampton, Burnley and Fulham - He had Huddersfield to finish bottom, Cardiff 19th and Fulham 18th.

 

[LVGull]

We are now safe. [MENTION=33965]FatSuperman[/MENTION]

 

[GT49er]

We are now safe. [MENTION=33965]FatSuperman[/MENTION]

Yep, we're in sort of the equivalent of the 'seven points clear with three games to play' type of scenario. Nothing could go wrong with that, eh?

 

[Djmiles]

Whoops.

 

[A1X]

Well thank goodness we didn't get complacent, then we'd look really daft

 

[Hu_Camus]

.....Looking forward to playing the 'Massive' next season, it seems.

 

[LVGull]

Whoops.

Panic sets in from the negative ones

 

[Djmiles]

Panic sets in from the negative ones

You clearly don’t know me if you think that!

 

[Billy the Fish]

No doubt about it, we're in freefall.

 

[Geestar]

No worries....there's lots of rubbish teams in the premier League

Sent from my TA-1020 using Tapatalk

 

[Djmiles]

No worries....there's lots of rubbish teams in the premier League

Sent from my TA-1020 using Tapatalk

Thank goodness! I can’t wait until we play teams like Fulham and Burnley.

Some people on here need to wake up. We’re not 10 points clear of relegation and looking towards a top 8 finish. Wake up!

 

[Icy Gull]

Only a mug would have thought us safe with so much of the season to go.

 

[Kalimantan Gull]

We will be fine, no way Fulham or Huddersfield will catch us. I'd be a bit nervy if I was Saints though....