A pessimistic view to get 2nd

[Triggaaar]

Home wins

QPR
Cardiff
Burton
Ipswich
Blackburn
Wigan
Bristol City

Away wins

Brentford
Barnsley
Rotherham
QPR
Forest

If only it were that easy. We couldn't get within a goal of Brentford at home, but 3 points away is as good done it seems.

 

[Hamilton]

Home wins

QPR
Cardiff
Burton
Ipswich
Blackburn
Wigan
Bristol City

Away wins

Brentford
Barnsley
Rotherham
QPR
Forest

Home Draws

Sheff W H
Reading H
Birmingham H
Preston A
Wolves A

Loses

Newcastle H
Derby H
Fulham A
Hudd A
Leeds A
Norwich A
Villa A

89 points !

When you list it like that it looks almost a piece of p*ss

Thanks!

I was doing really well at managing my expectations and keeping my feet on the ground, and now you've gone and posted this! W@nker.

How am I now supposed to concentrate at work; keep focused on things in life; generally go about the basics like getting up, going to work, remembering who my family are etc. now that you've posted this? Tell me! How?

Highly irresponsible.

 

[Triggaaar]

The problem with this, is that after beating QPR and Cardiff, we pick up just 2 points out of the next 15, and go to Brentford on a terrible run of form and two successive defeats hoping to beat a team that did us over earlier in the season, with the chasing pack undoubtedly closer. I'd be getting worried so god knows what you lot on here would be like.

 

[Kalimantan Gull]

It is encouraging to think in terms of what we need to do from here on to secure (what you would hope to be) an automatic promotion points tally.

What you have to factor in though, is that at least one team below us is going to go on some disgusting run and probably challenge us.

You only need to look at Burnley last year to realise that, and a couple of teams in the 33pt+ range have squads quite capable of doing it.

They're so far back, its not a Burnley run they have to go on, its a Reading or Palace- type run they'd have to go on. The astonishing kind. Only Derby can possibly do it for me, assuming they have already started that amazing run.

 

[Thunder Bolt]

Albion wins at Oakwell are about as rare as ricking horse shit, but we have done it. August '91 being the last, a 2-1 win. The last away win before that was in '72

Brighton v Barnsley Head-2-Head

We must be due another one then.

 

[dazzer6666]

Home wins

QPR
Cardiff
Burton
Ipswich
Blackburn
Wigan
Bristol City

Away wins

Brentford
Barnsley
Rotherham
QPR
Forest

Home Draws

Sheff W H
Reading H
Birmingham H
Preston A
Wolves A

Loses

Newcastle H
Derby H
Fulham A
Hudd A
Leeds A
Norwich A
Villa A

89 points !

When you list it like that it looks almost a piece of p*ss

Unless we lose Dunk and Duffy for multiple weeks at the same time, I an't see us losing anywhere near 7 games. How many games have we played to cover our last 7 defeats now ? 60-odd

 

[Thunder Bolt]

Talksport computer has predicted the end of season positions.

http://talksport.com/football/champ...inal-places-161219220971#/wQ2FYqVZPes2Se20.01

 

[Moshe Gariani]

Talksport computer has predicted the end of season positions.

http://talksport.com/football/champ...inal-places-161219220971#/wQ2FYqVZPes2Se20.01

Again...?

 

[Thunder Bolt]

Again...?

Have a look. Just for fun.

 

[worthingseagull123]

No chance of us losing 7 more this season.

We can't be sure of this mate.

 

[ofco8]

Oh dear. Am I the only glass half empty chap on here. All this optimism worries me after last year, even though the stats look good.

 

[Mellotron]

We can't be sure of this mate.

Alright. But it would be pretty INSANE if we did, looking at the last 18 months. My only fear is drawing too many.

 

[Drebin]

Talksport computer has predicted the end of season positions.

http://talksport.com/football/champ...inal-places-161219220971#/wQ2FYqVZPes2Se20.01

Sake. What have got? An Atari? We're clearly rubbish scoring these fluky last second goals and are lucky to be in the top half let alone the top two. Nothing to see here.

 

[chaileyjem]

It is encouraging to think in terms of what we need to do from here on to secure (what you would hope to be) an automatic promotion points tally.

What you have to factor in though, is that at least one team below us is going to go on some disgusting run and probably challenge us.

You only need to look at Burnley last year to realise that, and a couple of teams in the 33pt+ range have squads quite capable of doing it.

Burnley had 38 points after 22 games last season. Albion had 43. Boro had 46, Hull had 41. Derby on 44 fell away but still easily made the play offs.

 

[Triggaaar]

Sake. What have got? An Atari? We're clearly rubbish scoring these fluky last second goals and are lucky to be in the top half let alone the top two. Nothing to see here.

What?

 

[chaileyjem]

2015/16 after 22 games, teams were promoted were 1st, 4th and 5th (Burnley)
2014/15 1st, 6th and 7th.
2013/14 it was 1st, 2nd and 3rd.
2012/13 it was 1st, 2nd and 4th
2011/12 it was 1st, 2nd and 7th (Reading)

 

[Drebin]

What?

Well I'm a little superstitious and don't want to write what we're all thinking. It's the hope....etc

 

[Lifelong Supporter]

I do not really think it is down to statistics. It is pretty clear to me. If Murray keeps fit and we give him reasonable service we go up. It he gets injured, all of a sudden things get cloudy.

 

[severnside gull]

B

Nothing's for real until the 'Teams That Can't Catch Us' thread.

Are we safe from relegation yet?

 

[dazzer6666]

B

Are we safe from relegation yet?

Charlton were 22nd (3rd from bottom) last year with 40 points. Rotherham survived easily, 9 points clear of that. So yes, we are pretty much. We're about 12 points off a mid-table finish.