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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)







vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
28,324
Really ? Can you give me an example?
Ok, I'll bite.....

How about the " Spontaneous " uprising in Crimea by the little green men who individually bought arms, ammunition, matching uniforms and radios and without guidance or leadership, seized key positions overnight ?
 


Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,636
This is apparently what Putin will be demanding in the forthcoming peace talks. He is being a tad hopeful.

 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,943
Goldstone
This is apparently what Putin will be demanding in the forthcoming peace talks. He is being a tad hopeful.



So most of the 'demands' are mad, as one would expect. But this was interesting:
"Putin, according to them, also insists that Russia retain at least de facto control over 20% of Ukrainian territory captured by the army during the three years of war. Moscow is reportedly open to some "territorial exchanges," the agency's sources said, as Ukrainian forces continue to control hundreds of square kilometers of Kursk region, which Ukrainian troops attacked in August."

So in Putin's demands, he's accepting Russia will give 80% of captured territory back? That's his starting gambit?

I think I could make up more believable demands within 5 minutes.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
36,127
So most of the 'demands' are mad, as one would expect. But this was interesting:
"Putin, according to them, also insists that Russia retain at least de facto control over 20% of the Ukrainian territory captured by the army during the three years of war. Moscow is reportedly open to some "territorial exchanges," the agency's sources said, as Ukrainian forces continue to control hundreds of square kilometers of Kursk region, which Ukrainian troops attacked in August."

So in Putin's demands, he's accepting Russia will give 80% of captured territory back? That's his starting gambit?

I think I could make up more believable demands within 5 minutes.
reckon that's missing "the", added before Ukraine. 20% is how much territory under Russian control.
 




Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,636
So most of the 'demands' are mad, as one would expect. But this was interesting:
"Putin, according to them, also insists that Russia retain at least de facto control over 20% of Ukrainian territory captured by the army during the three years of war. Moscow is reportedly open to some "territorial exchanges," the agency's sources said, as Ukrainian forces continue to control hundreds of square kilometers of Kursk region, which Ukrainian troops attacked in August."

So in Putin's demands, he's accepting Russia will give 80% of captured territory back? That's his starting gambit?

I think I could make up more believable demands within 5 minutes.
I don't think Putin meant 20% of the occupied territory! He meant the 20% of total Ukrainian territory, that the occupied territory constitutes. And he thinks it amounts to 'over 20%' as well. He's over-playing his hand again. The 'territorial exchanges' is presumably a nod to Ukraine occupying part of Kursk.

Note that by using the term 'de facto', if he did indeed use it, he seems to acknowledge Russia does not have a legal right to the captured territories.

de facto - 'existing or holding a specified position in fact but not necessarily by legal right'.
 








Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,636
Interesting stat from the Kyiv Independent:
"Zelensky also reported progress in arms production, saying that Ukraine now covers 33-34% of its annual weapons needs — up from less than 10% before the full-scale invasion. Europe and the U.S. supply more than 60% of Ukraine's weaponry, with each accounting for about 30%."
Europe is matching the US then, but Ukraine is producing the most. Perhaps Ukraine won't miss US weapons quite as much as we feared.
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,943
Goldstone
Europe is matching the US then, but Ukraine is producing the most. Perhaps Ukraine won't miss US weapons quite as much as we feared.

We need to keep supporting, but just as importantly, we need to keep the sanctions on Russia, and up them. And apply the same rules to those helping Russia out with shadow fleets.

This war just isn't sustainable for Russia in the long term.
 


raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
7,889
Wiltshire
Europe is matching the US then, but Ukraine is producing the most. Perhaps Ukraine won't miss US weapons quite as much as we feared.
Yeah, it's positive, but it's a bit of a general statement I guess. Would be interesting to see a breakdown by weapon type e.g. long range missiles, artillery shells...
 




A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
21,243
Deepest, darkest Sussex
We need to keep supporting, but just as importantly, we need to keep the sanctions on Russia, and up them. And apply the same rules to those helping Russia out with shadow fleets.

This war just isn't sustainable for Russia in the long term.
Exactly. Defeat on the battlefield might delay the Russians. The sanctions would make it impossible for them to do it again.
 


Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,943
Goldstone
Exactly. Defeat on the battlefield might delay the Russians. The sanctions would make it impossible for them to do it again.

I think it's sanctions that can force Russia to be unable to keep fighting. I don't think Ukraine would be able to beat them on the battlefield as long as Russia can keep paying their troops.
 
















raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
7,889
Wiltshire
Another one of Estonia's politicians is in Russia's black book for her support of Ukraine.
We shouldn't have Russian officials travelling to Europe, we shouldn't have Russian tourists or business people travelling to Europe. Stop them all.
 


fly high

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
1,854
in a house


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