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[Politics] Russia invades Ukraine (24/02/2022)



Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,947
Goldstone
True, but a great shame as the Black Sea provides a similar opportunity. Whilst a blockade seem out of the question we should surely make it more difficult for Russian ships to carry out their alleged sabotage activities - get on the front foot and harass them. let them know we know what they are doing. I’m sure “the west” tells Putin that through the usual diplomatic channels but let’s see some action otherwise he’ll see it as just words and another weakness to continue to exploit. I appreciate it’s sometimes difficult to draw a line between defensive and offensive activities, and whilst I’m no warmonger maybe it’s time to gently up the ante and be a bit more Captain Mainwaring and less Seargent Wilson.
Sink them, and then apologise for the accident. Do it again and again and again until they're all sunk.
 




raymondo

Well-known member
Apr 26, 2017
7,892
Wiltshire
As the Baltic Sea now comprises only NATO members (Russia excepted) can’t we put further pressure on Russia by blockading / restricting access to their ports and restricting the movement of their ships? Might break international law - but that’s what Putin does.
I would think that escorting (by Finnish, Estonian navy) all vessels safely across the cable sites (ensuring no accidental dropping of anchors etc) would be reasonable given recent events 🤔
 


papachris

Well-known member
Some updates regarding the damaged Estlink cable.


 


Sirnormangall

Well-known member
Sep 21, 2017
3,277
I read that he offered his deep and sincerest condolences to the families of the bereaved. Innocent citizens - just like those in Ukraine who’ve yet to be offered similar. Of course Putin’s sincere gesture to Azerbaijan has nothing to do with the need to keep the lid on yet another potential issue on his doorstep and desperation to keep them in his sphere of influence.

And who’d have have guessed that according to Putin there were Ukrainian drones in the area at that time? Not sure why Ukraine would want to stir up trouble in Chechnya as they seem more than capable of continuing to be a thorn in Putin’s side without external help. But if Ukraine has a lot of surplus drones then I suppose it would be logical to use them in areas that would continue to stretch Putin.
 


Sirnormangall

Well-known member
Sep 21, 2017
3,277
Some updates regarding the damaged Estlink cable.


Well done Finland 👍
 




Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,947
Goldstone
I read that he offered his deep and sincerest condolences to the families of the bereaved. Innocent citizens - just like those in Ukraine who’ve yet to be offered similar. Of course Putin’s sincere gesture to Azerbaijan has nothing to do with the need to keep the lid on yet another potential issue on his doorstep and desperation to keep them in his sphere of influence.

I wonder how the conversation went:
So sorry about shooting your plane down. Really cut up about it.
Well yeah, WTF. But then once you'd shot it, why didn't you let it land?
Er... as a sign of solidarity with the Azerbaijani people, we've bought you a new villa.
 


Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,641
Russia's secret* drone factory in Yelabuga, 1800 km from Eastern Ukraine:


But the good news is Ukrainian drones can reach it !

 


SeagullinExile

Well-known member
Sep 10, 2010
6,262
London
Is repeatedly destroying underwater cables not an act of war?
Possibly. But I think it would take a ground incursion or missile attack into NATO territory before any retaliation by NATO tbh.
 








Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,641
I understand now. If those naughty Ukrainians hadn't flown drones in the vicinity, the Russian federation wouldn't have mistakenly shot down a civilian airliner. It's all Ukraine's fault !
Exactly.

Here's Prof. Tim Wilson again, here detailing the five points why it wasn't the fault of Ukrainian drones, but the responsibility of Russia. This is key.

 






vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
28,324
Exactly.

Here's Prof. Tim Wilson again, here detailing the five points why it wasn't the fault of Ukrainian drones, but the responsibility of Russia. This is key.


It really is a waste of time trying to prove neglect and blame for the shooting down of the plane. We have been here before and despite the condemnation there's absolutely NOTHING that the West, International Criminal Court, NATO and whoever can do about what has happened. There is no way of holding Russia to account and Putin knows it.
 








Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,641
It really is a waste of time trying to prove neglect and blame for the shooting down of the plane. We have been here before and despite the condemnation there's absolutely NOTHING that the West, International Criminal Court, NATO and whoever can do about what has happened. There is no way of holding Russia to account and Putin knows it.
Yes, you could well be right. We have been here before, with the plane shot down over the Donbas, and very little happened then.

But there are several other facets to this tragedy.

We are ten years on, and the world knows what Russia is capable of. It invades neighbouring countries, shoots down civilian planes and then tries to cover up the evidence. It will be working to cover up the evidence right now.

The west will, of course, keep asking questions, to make sure Putin stays on the back foot as we approach the peace talks, if they happen. Maybe that will prove to be the limit the west can do. Putin has made a statement of apology, but fell short of accepting responsibility. He is still under pressure from many directions. Possibly more so than at first, in view of the Kadyrov involvement.

To take a step back, is flying over Russian airspace safe? A number of airlines have suspended operations. Will they want to resume operations? I wouldn't.

Then there is the passenger list. It contained 39 Azerbaijanis, 6 Kazakhs and 3 Kyrgyz as well as 16 Russians. So you might expect a certain weakening of Russian influence in those other countries.

Chechnya/Ingoshetia is already a powder keg, which is why the Ukrainians were busy flying drones over it.

Then there is the Kadyrov factor, which is an unknown. Will he be safe? Will his nephew be safe? How will Putin handle it?
There may be pressure from within the Kremlin, which is also an unknown.

The ramifications of Russia shooting down the plane are yet to unfold.
 




vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
28,324
Yes, you could well be right. We have been here before, with the plane shot down over the Donbas, and very little happened then.

But there are several other facets to this tragedy.

We are ten years on, and the world knows what Russia is capable of. It invades neighbouring countries, shoots down civilian planes and then tries to cover up the evidence. It will be working to cover up the evidence right now.

The west will, of course, keep asking questions, to make sure Putin stays on the back foot as we approach the peace talks, if they happen. Maybe that will prove to be the limit the west can do. Putin has made a statement of apology, but fell short of accepting responsibility. He is still under pressure from many directions. Possibly more so than at first, in view of the Kadyrov involvement.

To take a step back, is flying over Russian airspace safe? A number of airlines have suspended operations. Will they want to resume operations? I wouldn't.

Then there is the passenger list. It contained 39 Azerbaijanis, 6 Kazakhs and 3 Kyrgyz as well as 16 Russians. So you might expect a certain weakening of Russian influence in those other countries.

Chechnya/Ingoshetia is already a powder keg, which is why the Ukrainians were busy flying drones over it.

Then there is the Kadyrov factor, which is an unknown. Will he be safe? Will his nephew be safe? How will Putin handle it?
There may be pressure from within the Kremlin, which is also an unknown.

The ramifications of Russia shooting down the plane are yet to unfold.
Yes, I suppose this latest shooting down will have ramifications but...Putin is never going to fly anywhere where he can be arrested for his crimes. He will never face justice for the War Crimes commited under his leadership. Blowing up airliners, hospitals, schools, theatres and shopping centres is a way of life for Russia and it seems they always get away with it.
 
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Eric the meek

Fiveways Wilf
NSC Patron
Aug 24, 2020
7,641
Yes, I suppose this latest shooting down will have ramifications but...Putin is never going to fly anywhere where he can be arrested for his crimes. He will never face justice for the War Crimes commited under his leadership. Blowing up airliners, hospitals, schools, theatres and shopping centres is a way of life for Russia and it seems they always get away with it.
Until they don't.

They've been getting away with it for a very, very long time, going back centuries. Putin is just the latest. But all things come to an end. Change is inevitable.

I sense a growing number of countries peripheral to Russia, at last having the courage to stand up to Russian oppression, threats, coercion and violence. Will a small western Asian country, considered friendly to Russia, be the one to tip the scales? Take a look at this report of what Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said. I'm guessing it will send shockwaves through the Kremlin. This kind of straight talking from a friendly country, simply doesn't happen.

 


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