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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election?

  • President Joe Biden - Democrat

    Votes: 3 0.7%

  • Donald Trump - Republican

    Votes: 173 41.9%

  • Vice President, Kamala Harris - Democrat

    Votes: 217 52.5%

  • Other Democratic candidate tbc

    Votes: 20 4.8%
  • Total voters
    413
  • This poll will close: .


A1X

A1X

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Sep 1, 2017
20,492
Deepest, darkest Sussex
fly high said:
If they haven't even started counting the votes how would he know?
Click to expand...
Didn’t stop Kuenssberg calling the London Mayoral election for Susan Hall back in May
 




peterward

peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,243
Mellotron said:
Yeah I looked through a few of that guy's tweets - he seems no more reliable than "Kamala Wins" on the other side.
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Yes its totally partisan propaganda. Florida can open mail ballots ahead of voting day, so who knows if the alleged million is true or BS or if its election day, mail in or both?
 


peterward

peterward

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Nov 11, 2009
12,243
Vin said:
R are 1/20 on the markets so must have some data
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1/20? Which markets? Predictit has Harris taking lead, but again it means nothing with no results. Betting markets are not polls and neither = votes, only money movement which is open to manipulation.

Screenshot_20241105_173939_Chrome.jpg
 








Thunder Bolt

Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
Aug 18, 2009
67,804
Beside the seaside, beside the sea
Triggaaar said:
The ones that do aren't relevant because he was talking about the ones that don't.
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Like France having paid 1.9% and Germany 1.87%? Putin can do what the hell he likes to them?
A bit close to home, isn’t it, and especially to some of our players/staff.
 




G

Gwylan

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
31,821
Uffern
There's a lot of noise from both sides but I stick to what I've thought for the past month - Harris will win the most votes and Trump will win the election. Can't see anything to shake that view
 




R

ROSM

Well-known member
Dec 26, 2005
6,743
Just far enough away from LDC
Gwylan said:
There's a lot of noise from both sides but I stick to what I've thought for the past month - Harris will win the most votes and Trump will win the election. Can't see anything to shake that view
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I think you are right but it pains me to think that
 


Triggaaar

Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,020
Goldstone
Thunder Bolt said:
Like France having paid 1.9% and Germany 1.87%? Putin can do what the hell he likes to them?
Click to expand...

Firstly, it's just Trump bluster. Like most things he says, it's not true. Secondly, if Putin were to invade France or Germany, he'd lose even if no one came to their rescue. Thirdly, we'd all help them, even if the US didn't (and the US would).
 


Thunder Bolt

Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
Aug 18, 2009
67,804
Beside the seaside, beside the sea
Triggaaar said:
Firstly, it's just Trump bluster. Like most things he says, it's not true. Secondly, if Putin were to invade France or Germany, he'd lose even if no one came to their rescue. Thirdly, we'd all help them, even if the US didn't (and the US would).
Click to expand...
I wish I had your confidence.
 




Triggaaar

Triggaaar

Well-known member
Oct 24, 2005
53,020
Goldstone
Gwylan said:
There's a lot of noise from both sides but I stick to what I've thought for the past month - Harris will win the most votes and Trump will win the election. Can't see anything to shake that view
Click to expand...

Well there's a fair chance of that happening, like in 2016. Not too long now until we find out.
 














US Seagull

US Seagull

Well-known member
Jul 17, 2003
4,620
Cleveland, OH
Triggaaar said:
Firstly, it's just Trump bluster. Like most things he says, it's not true. Secondly, if Putin were to invade France or Germany, he'd lose even if no one came to their rescue. Thirdly, we'd all help them, even if the US didn't (and the US would).
Click to expand...
We are talking about the president of the United States, what they say matters. It's not a place for bluster.
 




nwgull

nwgull

Well-known member
Jul 25, 2003
14,532
Manchester
Gwylan said:
There's a lot of noise from both sides but I stick to what I've thought for the past month - Harris will win the most votes and Trump will win the election. Can't see anything to shake that view
Click to expand...
Of the 4 potential combinations of popular winner and EC winner, Trump EC win with Harris popular win is the most likely.
 




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