- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,946
- Thread starter
- #8,141
Not sure because polls have to be financed but 538 will tell you who ran the poll, what the bias is and it’s easy enough to google from there. I tend to average out most of the polls to get a feel for which way candidates are trending but that’s as far as it goes for me personally.
Five-thirty Eight run by Nate Silver provides an aggregate of polling across a range of pollsters but his own predictions and sampling haven’t been without controversy especially since 2016-20 although personally I think he is no worse than anything else out there when it comes to predicting an election winner - there are always inherent limitations in sampling even with weighting but he was right about Biden leading the campaign into a potential big loss for the Dems earlier in the campaign.
What happened to Nate Silver
Once beloved by progressives, Silver now feuds with them regularly. He tells us why.
www.vox.com
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