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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - Trump v Harris
- Thread starter Zeberdi
- Start date
Blimey...I guess as long as they include the word 'Jesus' they feel they can say what they like. Religion f**ks up the world yet again.
Interesting article in the Guardina about pollingI don’t know how people on this thread are calling the result with so much confidence when every US and global political pundits are saying it’s too close to call. Personally, I think it’s really (albeit educated) guess work and some wishful thinking thrown in based on politically biased stories doing the rounds on X and Fb, skewed betting odds and unreliable polling - I think I will stick to what I don’t know and that is who will win this election
Dead-heat poll results are astonishing – and improbable, these experts say
It’s possible the tied race reflects not the sentiments of the voters, but rather risk-averse decision-making by pollsters
www.theguardian.com
Lyndhurst 14
Well-known member
- Jan 16, 2008
- 5,216
Praise the Lord and pass the ammunition
Withdean South Stand
Well-known member
- Mar 2, 2014
- 644
Which is hilariously ironic given Trump only worships himself.
aolstudios
Well-known member
Well, that's helpful
Jackthelad
Well-known member
- Mar 31, 2010
- 1,048
I’m normally good at predicting who will win. I have no idea in this vote, I suspect it will be very close.
She could have had a go...maybe endorsing the one that isn't a narcissistic, autocratic, Putin loving, climate denier
- Apr 5, 2014
- 25,771
I'd like that to be true. But I'm 'meh' about it. It's just lone voices in Twitter.
jordanseagull
Well-known member
- Feb 11, 2009
- 4,125
Trump odds-on at Betfair exchange for both states. Silly to listen to people saying they’re 99% sure given the market.
You understand what’s happening with the betting patterns?
I find it odd that people think betting (which Republicans are being pushed to do massively, for obvious reasons) is a better indicator of what’s happening than actual factual turnout and voting patterns (ie what’s actually happening!)
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jordanseagull
Well-known member
- Feb 11, 2009
- 4,125
Someone saying they’re 99% sure of something would put their view of the odds at 1/100. Harris is 6/4. It’s a silly, exaggerated Twitter claim no matter what’s going on.
It would be reasonable to argue Harris should be the favourite given the evidence, though.
jordanseagull
Well-known member
- Feb 11, 2009
- 4,125
I assume that person has put a whole wedge on an implied 1.01 at 2.40 then - opportunity of a lifetime!
US Seagull
Well-known member
Yeah, I get that voting for the "lesser of two evils" isn't entirely satisfying. But if you think Harris isn't climate-friendly enough, the alternative is the actively climate hostile.She could have had a go...maybe endorsing the one that isn't a narcissistic, autocratic, Putin loving, climate denier
Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
The number of "polls" being fact checked as AI generated falsifications now is the new scary reality....