Been reading an article that says they expect one none battleground state to either flip or be very close to flipping one way or the other given the weird polling.
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[Politics] The 2024 US Election - *MATCH DAY*
- Thread starter Zeberdi
- Start date
Been reading an article that says they expect one none battleground state to either flip or be very close to flipping one way or the other given the weird polling.
The Dems are miles ahead and he's spinning it as good, republicans were always going to vote more by post/early given the instructions by the party
Withdean South Stand
Well-known member
- Mar 2, 2014
- 646
As exciting as all of this is, it really shouldn't be exciting at all. It shouldn't matter this much. There's so much noise around something that should be so boring. Government should be boring, it should be about doing the work and there's one party who does but one is a cult. I remain confident that Kamala Harris is going to win and it's going to be important for the world that she does. But what happens to the 70 million people voting for Trump? Even if only a third of them are hardline MAGA, that's 20 million people who are furious with reality. What happens next?
- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,734
- Thread starter
- #7,504
It was fairly obvious to me that it wasn’t an election rally anyway - those crowds filled a huge football/superbowl stadium there’s no way either political candidate has been turning out anywhere near that number of people at their rallies nor doing them in such large venues.
Trump’s rallies average 5-6,000. His Madison Sq Garden rally sold out around 20,000. Harris broke her own record with 23,000 last week.
The benefit gig for Hurricane Helene filled the Bank of America Stadium with 82,000 people - ( my cousin attended - crowd was phenomenal.
- that’s the trouble with reposting information and videos from X
i think you should edit your post to note that this isn’t a Harris election rally because people are still liking what is a very misleading tweet.
The least we can do on this thread is make an effort to post honest news/tweets.
I too wish it was boring.
If Trump wasn't a Putin buddy I really wouldn't care about it.
There is some HUGE scale fuckery afoot.
Greg Bobkin
Silver Seagull
- May 22, 2012
- 15,914
I appreciate the Americans won't really get it, but The Donald's latest tagine - TRUMP WILL FIX IT - brings up all the wrong connotations, for me.
At best he's a kids cartoon handyman with talking mobile plant as his friends. At worst, it's all a bit noncey...
At best he's a kids cartoon handyman with talking mobile plant as his friends. At worst, it's all a bit noncey...
Madafwo
I'm probably being facetious.
- Nov 11, 2013
- 1,695
If he's the opposite of a fascist, isn't he by definition Antifa?
Can see that working out well.
- Oct 20, 2022
- 6,734
- Thread starter
- #7,510
People probably shouldn’t believe a lot of the shit being posted on X at the moment - ( or ever?)
Social media is rife during this campaign period with false poll results, fake news and deliberately manipulative tweets - On both sides.
Polls can be taken out of context - biased according to who commissioned them and videos/photos can be photoshopped and doctored.
Personally 5:38 I find is the most reliable site for polling information as it tells you who commissioned the polls. You can then google the organisation’s biases if any.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Let’s remember that X is owned by Trump’s biggest supporter who is campaigning for him and pouring millions into getting Trump elected.
I treat anything from that site at the moment with a degree of healthy scepticism including fake tweets apparently posted by ‘pro-harris account holders’.
Social media is rife during this campaign period with false poll results, fake news and deliberately manipulative tweets - On both sides.
Polls can be taken out of context - biased according to who commissioned them and videos/photos can be photoshopped and doctored.
Personally 5:38 I find is the most reliable site for polling information as it tells you who commissioned the polls. You can then google the organisation’s biases if any.
Latest Polls
The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.
Let’s remember that X is owned by Trump’s biggest supporter who is campaigning for him and pouring millions into getting Trump elected.
I treat anything from that site at the moment with a degree of healthy scepticism including fake tweets apparently posted by ‘pro-harris account holders’.
Seagull58
In the Algarve
I think Harris will win comfortably. There's no possible way the popular vote will be as close as the 7 million in 2020 and I'm sure this will also be reflected in the swing states that will decide the Electoral College result. There aren't enough new white supremacist misogynist racists to flip the overall result Trump's way.Do we think the current polling at the top of the thread is reflective of what happens in the US next week, or wishful NSC thinking?
Crawley Dingo
Political thread tourist.
- Mar 31, 2022
- 1,038
Withdean South Stand
Well-known member
- Mar 2, 2014
- 646
Pod Save America today are talking about the attempts to lay the ground work to come back with, "there is no possible way that Kamala could have won this election". They're claiming to be ahead in every poll, claiming to be well ahead in early voting, etc. It's all just part of their tactics, because they know the truth. I believe they're getting absolutely battered at the ballot box, every serious person is aware of that and whether it's to appease Trump or genuine belief it doesn't matter.
Rogan just said he was turned down by her as she refused do go to him and do 3 hours.
I think he's right to stand his ground on this, I'm not sure it's a great loss to her either
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,209
If Trump cannot become President legally or in an illegal power grab, he's likely going to Jail. Guess he thinks he has nothing to lose at 78 years old, so may as well go all in on another coup, including violent insurrection to end of the line?
I agree about them trying now to undermine legitimacy, it's all feeding the narrative they will use, as for anything like elections to be successful you need both reality and public perceptions to match.....
The reality is the US election is one of the safest and most democratic on earth, but that matters not if you can demean and undermine with lies, so enough people genuinely think it's not.
That's Trumps ground game.
- Nov 11, 2009
- 12,209
No he didn't say that. That's distorted half truth.
I would argue she is much busier than him this week, and it wouldnt have taken too much for him to jump on a bizjet and do the hour.
Here we go. So grimly predictable.
They are going to throw so much shit at this election process, disrupt and deny as much as possible in the hope that the average person will go "well who knows who won?"
The problem for Trump with that - surely - is that he isn't the incumbent?