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The end of the conservatives as an election-winning force?



Kalimantan Gull

Well-known member
Aug 13, 2003
13,326
Central Borneo / the Lizard
After 13 years of an increasingly unpopular government, in a financial crisis, with a fresh-faced young leader, blah blah blah, they can ONLY manage 37% of the vote and 20 seats short of a majority? Can they ever win again?
 




Tony Meolas Loan Spell

Slut Faced Whores
Jul 15, 2004
18,069
Vamanos Pest
Most of ENGLAND voted Tory and they made gains in Wales. Im afraid its the sweatys that the Tories cant crack. Always has been.
 


Forster's Armband

Well-known member
Sep 23, 2008
2,553
London
After 13 years of an increasingly unpopular government, in a financial crisis, with a fresh-faced young leader, blah blah blah, they can ONLY manage 37% of the vote and 20 seats short of a majority? Can they ever win again?

I am afraid that what will happen is either Cameron will from a minority government OR Lib/Lab will fail to agree a coalition and we will go again, and then they will probably win a majority.

I don't want this but I am worried it will happen.
 


Bluejuice

Lazy as a rug on Valium
Sep 2, 2004
8,270
The free state of Kemp Town
Perhaps if they ACTUALLY HAD ANY POLICIES they might win a few more people over
 






severnside gull

Well-known member
May 16, 2007
24,770
By the seaside in West Somerset
a coalition of liberals and labour premised on an early referendum for wholesale election reform and a future of proportional representation where, ironically, the Tories will inevitably be the largest party with more chance than now of holding power as long as they can learn to talk to other parties instead of at them - a tough call for our politicians but they will learn eventually that it is what the people want
 


Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
61,932
The Fatherland
Most of ENGLAND voted Tory and they made gains in Wales. Im afraid its the sweatys that the Tories cant crack. Always has been.

This is just not true. Where have you got your figures from? The tories have not got, and will not get, more than 50% of either the seats or the popular vote.

If the country doesnt want Labour to rule, vote them out comprehensively. This is all the electorate has to do. As things stand, and under the British constitution (which surely ALL Tory's and Labour and Liberal supports abide by) the current government have not been voted out and will be invited by the Queen to attempt a working majority.

I'm not a royalist but I stand by the Queen and the British constitution :thumbsup:
 


Chicken Runner61

We stand where we want!
May 20, 2007
4,609
Really bad result for the tories unless the last results surprise everyone.

Every year their core vote drops as dyed in the wool supporters pass away with age. They really needed a big result to try and win young people over. Unless we have another election soon they will lose even more momentum and its going to be hard for them to come back from that.
 




Scampi

One of the Three
Jun 10, 2009
1,531
Denton
After 13 years of an increasingly unpopular government, in a financial crisis, with a fresh-faced young leader, blah blah blah, they can ONLY manage 37% of the vote and 20 seats short of a majority? Can they ever win again?
But the system makes it hard for the Tories. If you swapped the labour and conservative share of the vote, labour would be looking at a majority of about 85 seats
 








Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
61,932
The Fatherland
But the system makes it hard for the Tories. If you swapped the labour and conservative share of the vote, labour would be looking at a majority of about 85 seats

PR will make it even harder.

This election shows that the Tories are, in some cases literally, a dying breed. Even after 13 years, the Iraq war, the alleged mismanagement of the economy etc etc the Tories still cannot muster a majority.

Electoral reform (which I feel will happen) under a Lab/Lib pact will be the final nail in their coffin.
 


Durlston

"You plonker, Rodney!"
NSC Patron
Jul 15, 2009
9,935
Haywards Heath
I spunked £20 away on a Tory majority at 6/5. In hindsight it was an awful bet, never looked like landing it at all:facepalm:
 






Scampi

One of the Three
Jun 10, 2009
1,531
Denton
PR will make it even harder.

This election shows that the Tories are, in some cases literally, a dying breed. Even after 13 years, the Iraq war, the alleged mismanagement of the economy etc etc the Tories still cannot muster a majority.

Electoral reform (which I feel will happen) under a Lab/Lib pact will be the final nail in their coffin.
I'm sorry but no it doesn't. This idea that somehow the conservatives are a dying force is just not supported by the evidence.
 






Simster

"the man's an arse"
Jul 7, 2003
54,805
Surrey
The dye was set early on, with Mandelson carrying on smugly as if nothing had changed and Theresa May stamping her feet at him like a schoolgirl as if the fact that Labour weren't wanted meant that the Tories surely were by default. Both were wrong, both look like complete twunts this morning.

f*** knows what it means, but I can't see beyond another GE soon under a fairer voting system. My guess is that this will mean the end of the Tories as a party able to govern on their own, but that you could say the same for all of the main parties.
 




Gwylan

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
31,746
Uffern
f*** knows what it means, but I can't see beyond another GE soon under a fairer voting system. My guess is that this will mean the end of the Tories as a party able to govern on their own, but that you could say the same for all of the main parties.

Yes, I'm sure that's what will happen: a referendum on PR in July, a new system implemented and another election under the new rules in October. It's a tight timescale but it's possible.

Meanwhile, I loved this Twitter tweet I've just seen
"Police reporting crazed Scotsman has barricaded himself into London terraced house & taken 60m people hostage"
 


Couldn't Be Hyypia

We've come a long long way together
NSC Patron
Nov 12, 2006
16,472
Near Dorchester, Dorset
a coalition of liberals and labour premised on an early referendum for wholesale election reform and a future of proportional representation where, ironically, the Tories will inevitably be the largest party with more chance than now of holding power as long as they can learn to talk to other parties instead of at them - a tough call for our politicians but they will learn eventually that it is what the people want

The Sage of Somerset - agree
 


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