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Greece crisis: Europe on edge over snap election







Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
61,807
The Fatherland
Even in poker bluffing has its limits, and the EU should finally call Greeks' bluff.

The Union cannot works this way, it cannot bow down to every wish of populists just to avoid some, by and large, imaginary destabilisation of the eurozone. Greek GNP is around 1.5% of the overall EU GNP, so even in the worst case scenario there will be no major destabilisation of European economy. Europe is about honesty and integrity, it's about proper standards of banking, business and administration culture; these standards made Europe what it is today--a place where people from all over the world come to live, work and build better future for their families. If a country shows open despise for the the aforementioned pillars of European culture, it should seriously reconsider its membership in the EU.

If Greeks are allowed to get away with this, if Syriza is allowed to get away with this, then we have populists in other countries waiting to follow in Greek footsteps in foreseeable fututre, and that would mean a complete and utter disaster for Europe.

Agree.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,826

dont know your source, but that list of "bailouts" is ficticous. one of note, Bank of Scotland, doesnt even exist as unique entity (merged into HBoS about 2001), and Lehman Brothers was allowed to go to the wall.
 


TomandJerry

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2013
12,323
There has been no official reaction from the Kremlin yet about the Greek vote, writes Shaun Walker, but Russia has been watching the drama unfold between Athens and Brussels with some interest, and Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras has made two visits to Moscow in recent months to make the point that Greece could seek alternative creditors. He has left with little in the way of concrete commitments, however.

A summit of the BRICS group of nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) will be held in the Russian city of Ufa later this week and Greece is likely to be on the agenda. Various ideas have been floated in recent weeks, including making Greece a member of the club, which would give it access to loans from the newly founded BRICS development bank.

However, while Moscow might be keen on the idea for political reasons, Russia is also still in a difficult financial situation, and the other BRICS members may well be less keen.
 






TomandJerry

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2013
12,323
Spain’s economy minister Luis de Guindos has echoed that Greece should remain part of the eurozone and the euro is irreversible.

He said the Spanish government was open to negotiating a third bailout, and any new Greek package should include a comprehensive analysis of Greek needs.
 


Westdene Seagull

aka Cap'n Carl Firecrotch
NSC Patron
Oct 27, 2003
21,402
The arse end of Hangleton
Spain’s economy minister Luis de Guindos has echoed that Greece should remain part of the eurozone and the euro is irreversible.

He said the Spanish government was open to negotiating a third bailout, and any new Greek package should include a comprehensive analysis of Greek needs.

And there is a perfect example of two things :

1. The EU not even able to agree what the rules are. Some have said Greece could drop out and now this fella saying it's impossible to drop out.

2. The arrogance of the EU thinking that a country can't decide to leave the eurozone - of course they can.
 


Guy Crouchback

New member
Jun 20, 2012
665
The arrogance of the EU thinking that a country can't decide to leave the eurozone - of course they can.

But Tsipras himself keeps saying that the EU can't force Greece out of the eurozone because that would be against the law (he doesn't say which law exactly), whilst at the same time he disregards financial rules and laws himself pretty much in the same way previous Greek governments have been in recent years. Greeks know very well that going back to drachma would mean bankruptcy of thousands of businesses, sky-high inflation and even higher unemployment, and that's why they want to stay in the eurozone. What they don't want to do is to pay back their debts or accept austerity measures, hence their gamble and the attempt to terrify Europe with "destabilisation" and "the fall of the European Project" in order to receive more and more bailout money. The best thing to do now would be to call their bluff and let them go bankrupt--in the long run it will be healthier for both the eurozone and Greece.
 




Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
61,807
The Fatherland
But Tsipras himself keeps saying that the EU can't force Greece out of the eurozone because that would be against the law (he doesn't say which law exactly), whilst at the same time he disregards financial rules and laws himself pretty much in the same way previous Greek governments have been in recent years. Greeks know very well that going back to drachma would mean bankruptcy of thousands of businesses, sky-high inflation and even higher unemployment, and that's why they want to stay in the eurozone. What they don't want to do is to pay back their debts or accept austerity measures, hence their gamble and the attempt to terrify Europe with "destabilisation" and "the fall of the European Project" in order to receive more and more bailout money. The best thing to do now would be to call their bluff and let them go bankrupt--in the long run it will be healthier for both the eurozone and Greece.

Agree
 


Westdene Seagull

aka Cap'n Carl Firecrotch
NSC Patron
Oct 27, 2003
21,402
The arse end of Hangleton
But Tsipras himself keeps saying that the EU can't force Greece out of the eurozone because that would be against the law (he doesn't say which law exactly), whilst at the same time he disregards financial rules and laws himself pretty much in the same way previous Greek governments have been in recent years.

You're twisting what I posted - I didn't comment on it being possible for Greece to be kicked out and nor did the Spanish minister - he suggested Greece couldn't DECIDE to leave voluntarily. Which of course is utter rubbish - they only need to create their own currency and away they go. Whether it would be a good idea is another thing entirely.
 


Guy Crouchback

New member
Jun 20, 2012
665
I didn't comment on it being possible for Greece to be kicked out and nor did the Spanish minister - he suggested Greece couldn't DECIDE to leave voluntarily. Which of course is utter rubbish - they only need to create their own currency and away they go.

I misunderstood your post, sorry. Of course, Greeks can go back to drachma voluntarily and it would be a very wise choice in the long run (despite the initial cost to Greek economy).
 




Monsieur Le Plonk

Lethargy in motion
Apr 22, 2009
1,860
By a lake
You're twisting what I posted - I didn't comment on it being possible for Greece to be kicked out and nor did the Spanish minister - he suggested Greece couldn't DECIDE to leave voluntarily. Which of course is utter rubbish - they only need to create their own currency and away they go. Whether it would be a good idea is another thing entirely.

I agree.
The Greek banks are running dry, some say they will be empty by tomorrow. The creditors will then just watch as the pain really starts to hit the civilians, expecting the Greek government to cave in to each and every demand so that the lifeline can be extended.
Well feck that. Call their bluff and start printing drachmas now just to get a bit of cash flushing through their system so that shops and businesses can operate at a local level?.
Totally illegal within the framework of the EU membership of course but these are desperate times for desperate people whereby polite dialogue and patient diplomacy is going to lead to ruin for the Greeks.
Sure Greece is the architect of it's current position but it now needs to stop playing by the rules for the welfare of it's own citizens.
 


Blue Valkyrie

Not seen such Bravery!
Sep 1, 2012
32,165
Valhalla
There has been no official reaction from the Kremlin yet about the Greek vote, writes Shaun Walker, but Russia has been watching the drama unfold between Athens and Brussels with some interest, and Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras has made two visits to Moscow in recent months to make the point that Greece could seek alternative creditors. He has left with little in the way of concrete commitments, however.

A summit of the BRICS group of nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) will be held in the Russian city of Ufa later this week and Greece is likely to be on the agenda. Various ideas have been floated in recent weeks, including making Greece a member of the club, which would give it access to loans from the newly founded BRICS development bank.

However, while Moscow might be keen on the idea for political reasons, Russia is also still in a difficult financial situation, and the other BRICS members may well be less keen.

Luckily Putin is running out of money hand over fist, and to help Greece he'll have to cut back his own military budget - which is a good thing in itself.
 


TomandJerry

Well-known member
Oct 1, 2013
12,323
Greek debt reduction not on Germany's agenda

Following the*downbeat comments earlier from German government spokesman Steffen Seibert, the country’s finance ministry has now said a reduction in Greece’s debt mountain is not on Germany’s agenda
 




Lower West Stander

Well-known member
Mar 25, 2012
4,753
Back in Sussex
The fact that the markets are only slightly down this morning tells you everything you need to know.

They either:

1. Underestimate the likelihood and effect of a Grexit.
2. Don't have a clue.
3. Don't care.

I suspect its a combination of 2&3. Greece is a basket case and an irrelevance. Its the knock on effect to Spain, Portugal and Italy we need to worry about
 


Tom Hark Preston Park

Will Post For Cash
Jul 6, 2003
71,886
If the Greeks have any sense at all they won't start calling general strikes left right and centre over the summer because the tourist euros are the only euros they're likely to be getting before the autumn and the last thing they want to be doing is cutting off the supply of tourists.
 


beorhthelm

A. Virgo, Football Genius
Jul 21, 2003
35,826
The fact that the markets are only slightly down this morning tells you everything you need to know.

They either:

1. Underestimate the likelihood and effect of a Grexit.
2. Don't have a clue.
3. Don't care.

or
4. consequences are already largely priced in.
 


Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
61,807
The Fatherland
If the Greeks have any sense at all they won't start calling general strikes left right and centre over the summer because the tourist euros are the only euros they're likely to be getting before the autumn and the last thing they want to be doing is cutting off the supply of tourists.

Judging by the past 6 months I think sense is in short supply.
 






Ironically, this may actually be good news for David Cameron. It gives him a potential trump card.

I'm sure the EU don't want to lose Greece but if that happens it won't be such a disaster for Europe.

But if Cameron doesn't get the reforms he wants and loses the UK referndum on Europe that will be a whole different kettle of fish. Much as they may not like it personally, I suspect that most EU leaders will now bend over backwards to make sure UK stays in, they certainly will want to do petty much everything possible to make sure UK doesn't follow Greece by leaving so soon after, even under completely different circumstances.

If I was Cameron I would hold the UK referendum as soon as possible.
 


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