highflyer
Well-known member
- Jan 21, 2016
- 2,553
It's genuinely puzzling.
Back in November one thing was made clear to me, time after time in discussions 'on the doorstep'. Almost nobody was voting Tory out of a love for Boris and chums.
There was certainly some element of distrust of Corbyn as a person, despite people liking many of his policies. Personally I think two years of concerted media attacks had something to do with that, plus the fact he was never really cut out for (or expected to end up in) a leadership role, but that's been well discussed elsewhere.
For me though what came through most strongly was that NOBODY really trusted Boris or the Tories. The issue that got Boris elected was not Boris. It was Brexit. The Tories knew full well they had been 'lent' a vote by many instinctive Labour voters. And they made it clear that they understood that.
Just a few months later and Brexit has faded in people's minds. The Covid-19 crisis has eclipsed it, and he economic fall-out will ensure that Brexit remains a background irrelevance for the majority.
On the health side there certainly seems to have been mismanagement. I'll wait until we have all the facts to make any final judgement about how it was handled on a day to day basis in the early stages. But starting out with a health system on its knees from a decade of underfunding and undermining certainly won't have helped, and for that the Tories have to take the blame.
So, despite their majority, they are vulnerable. And they have some of the most difficult times in recent history ahead of them. They know that.
And in the early stages of the crisis they did well in terms of saying that it won't be the poor that pay for this like in 2008. Saying that we won't go back to austerity. And in moving fast with the support to business and individuals. Bold, and positive. Actions that could pay dividends longer term.
So why have they thrown so much precious public support away now to save Cummings? Why? You don't need clever spin doctors to tell you you are getting it wrong when even the Mail and Sun are sensing which way public opinion is going and feel forced to turn on their own Frankensteins?
There is something else here that we don't yet know about.
There must be.
Back in November one thing was made clear to me, time after time in discussions 'on the doorstep'. Almost nobody was voting Tory out of a love for Boris and chums.
There was certainly some element of distrust of Corbyn as a person, despite people liking many of his policies. Personally I think two years of concerted media attacks had something to do with that, plus the fact he was never really cut out for (or expected to end up in) a leadership role, but that's been well discussed elsewhere.
For me though what came through most strongly was that NOBODY really trusted Boris or the Tories. The issue that got Boris elected was not Boris. It was Brexit. The Tories knew full well they had been 'lent' a vote by many instinctive Labour voters. And they made it clear that they understood that.
Just a few months later and Brexit has faded in people's minds. The Covid-19 crisis has eclipsed it, and he economic fall-out will ensure that Brexit remains a background irrelevance for the majority.
On the health side there certainly seems to have been mismanagement. I'll wait until we have all the facts to make any final judgement about how it was handled on a day to day basis in the early stages. But starting out with a health system on its knees from a decade of underfunding and undermining certainly won't have helped, and for that the Tories have to take the blame.
So, despite their majority, they are vulnerable. And they have some of the most difficult times in recent history ahead of them. They know that.
And in the early stages of the crisis they did well in terms of saying that it won't be the poor that pay for this like in 2008. Saying that we won't go back to austerity. And in moving fast with the support to business and individuals. Bold, and positive. Actions that could pay dividends longer term.
So why have they thrown so much precious public support away now to save Cummings? Why? You don't need clever spin doctors to tell you you are getting it wrong when even the Mail and Sun are sensing which way public opinion is going and feel forced to turn on their own Frankensteins?
There is something else here that we don't yet know about.
There must be.