[Albion] When are we going to be safe, if at all?

[Simster]

Let's see who is closest. Poll to follow.

Fixtures:
Friday:
Albion v Man Utd

Saturday:
Bournemouth v Swansea City
Leicester City v West Ham United
Everton v Southampton

Sunday:
Manchester City v Huddersfield Town

Tuesday:
Swansea City v Southampton

Wednesday:
Chelsea v Huddersfield Town
Manchester City v Albion

Thursday:
West Ham United v Manchester United

Final Day:
Huddersfield Town v Arsenal
Liverpool v Albion
Southampton v Manchester City
Swansea City v Stoke City
West Ham United v Everton


Assuming only Southampton can catch our goal difference and the even bigger assumption that the 3 teams above us are all unlikely to be overhauled by Albion:

To be safe on Friday, beat Man Utd. Job done
To be safe on Tuesday, we draw on Friday, Southampton fail to beat either Everton or Swansea, OR Swansea fail to pick up two points from Bournemouth and Southampton. We lose on Friday, Southampton fail to pick up 2 points from those games or Swansea fail to draw at least one of their games.
To be safe on Wednesday: already too many permutations to describe here. But assuming we're not already safe from the previous night because Southampton and Swansea have both done what they needed to do, then both will have jumped Huddersfield on Tuesday night. So we will now be safe on this day if we have drawn against either one of the Manchester clubs and Huddersfield lose away to both Man City and Chelsea.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

Saturday.


Albion draw on Friday.

Southampton and Swansea both fail to win on Saturday.

 

[Simster]

Saturday.


Albion draw on Friday.

Southampton and Swansea both fail to win on Saturday.

Arse, missed that one!

 

[Bob!]

Saturday.


Albion draw on Friday.

Southampton and Swansea both fail to win on Saturday.

That's the one I'd have voted for.
So, I voted Tuesday instead.

 

[Kalimantan Gull]

Right, this is ballsed up

 

[BensGrandad]

Saturday.


Albion draw on Friday.

Southampton and Swansea both fail to win on Saturday.

That is my guess also so the answer is Saturday evening but a win on Friday brings it forward.

 

[Hotchilidog]

Going to stick my neck out and say Friday. Sometimes if a job needs doing best do it yourself. #believe

 

[Simster]

Thanks Mods

 

[Don Quixote]

Saturday.

 

[Is it PotG?]

Already

 

[Mellotron]

We are obviously already safe, but if you're asking about mathematically;

Tuesday - the Swansea v Saints result will be whatever we need it to be.

 

[lancyclaret]

View attachment 96576 Already

When you beat Arsenal.

The question is will you get 40 points - would be good achievement in first season back. Newcastle have made it with good post-January but Huddersfield won't manage it.

For many teams, 10 wins and 10 draws is the minimum aim at the start of a new season.

 

[BensGrandad]

We are obviously already safe, but if you're asking about mathematically;

Tuesday - the Swansea v Saints result will be whatever we need it to be.

WBA and Stoke cant catch us so any result virtually on Tuesday provided Bournemouth and Everton win on Saturday will see us mathematically safe even if we lose on Friday.

 

[Blue Valkyrie]

We will still be safe on Saturday even if we lose to Man Utd - if Southampton and Swansea both lose on Saturday as well.

 

[Is it PotG?]

For many teams, 10 wins and 10 draws is the minimum aim at the start of a new season.

Where did you read this?

 

[OzMike]

Where is the 'On The Beach' option ?

 

[daveinprague]

View attachment 96576 Already

This

 

[Turf War]

After the point at Burnley

 

[albionfan37]

6 weeks ago

 

[schmunk]

We will still be safe on Saturday even if we lose to Man Utd - if Southampton and Swansea both lose on Saturday as well.

This.