[Albion] Watford v BHA - Premier League - SCORE PREDICTOR - Now in its 8th SEASON !!

[Bod]

0-0

 

[Saladpack Seagull]

New season resolution - remember to actually do the Score Predictor, and try to do much better than my previous predictions. Usually can't tip rubbish. Going 1-1 this time.

 

[Peteinblack]

Last season I would have predicted 2-0 to Watford, but after our excellent transfer business this summer, and a season in the Premier under our belts, I''m going for 2-1 to us.

I also think we're going to finish in 10th place this season

Is there Poll on here for predicting where we're going to finish?

 

[Change at Barnham]

0-0.
Solid defensive displays from two conservative sides.

 

[Invicta]

1.1 point on the board

 

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

Not a single correct score out of the 43 i predicted last season so stay away from 1-2

What were the odds of that? Let's say that on average a game can end anything between 0-0 and 3-3 (some results are more likely, and some less, but 1-5 etc is extremely rare so let's ignore). So with 0-1 up to 3-2 etc, there are the following possible likely results:

0-0 1-0
0-1 1-1
0-2 1-2
0-3 1-3 etc - can't be arsed to fill full table: 16 possible results

So for each prediction you have on average a 1/16 chance of being right. For a 43 game season your odds improve to 43/16. This means you can expect to get 2-3 predictions correct over a season purely by chance. To get none correct by chance should only occur once every 2-3 years. Anything better reflects skill. Anything worse reflects stupidity. Let's se how you do this season eh? I would precict you are almost certain to get at least one point.

 

[grawhite]

First away win of the season, 0-2 Brighton

 

[Taybha]

What were the odds of that? Let's say that on average a game can end anything between 0-0 and 3-3 (some results are more likely, and some less, but 1-5 etc is extremely rare so let's ignore). So with 0-1 up to 3-2 etc, there are the following possible likely results:

0-0 1-0
0-1 1-1
0-2 1-2
0-3 1-3 etc - can't be arsed to fill full table: 16 possible results

So for each prediction you have on average a 1/16 chance of being right. For a 43 game season your odds improve to 43/16. This means you can expect to get 2-3 predictions correct over a season purely by chance. To get none correct by chance should only occur once every 2-3 years. Anything better reflects skill. Anything worse reflects stupidity. Let's se how you do this season eh? I would precict you are almost certain to get at least one point.

Thank's i reckon the stupid equation suits my reasoning perfectly , it's a bit of a enigma as i finished the season £875 up for a average bet lay out of £3. , admittedly £835 of that was won in the world cup

 

[seagull_special]

Last time I predicted a correct score Bruno had hair on his head. Going for an optimistic 2:1 to the good guys.

 

[Gabbafella]

Seeing as though I got the square root of **** all correct last season, I'm going to say don't put your money on 1-2.

 

[Dirty Dave]

1-1

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[Steve Foster]

A win would be wonderful but no doubt we will set up to not lose. 1-1 seems about right for me.

 

[persian_pooya]

0-2 Albion!

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[Albion my Albion]

I'm going with 1-1. I'm just not sure which side I'll pick as the Wheel win.

 

[Trevor]

Thanks for doing this Steve. I've gone 0-0 - I think this year I may keep a record to try to work out whether I'm optimistic, pessimistic or realistic.

 

[Two Professors]

Not a single correct score out of the 43 i predicted last season so stay away from 1-2

Think my results were the same.Used to do much better on the BBC prediction thread you ran.Also going for 1 - 2 Albion,as Deeney is bound to score.

 

[LamieRobertson]

Any chance of a revamp ...say one point for getting the result right and two/three for the score? ..I'm useless at predicting the actual score

 

[perseus]

I'm not one who thinks Watford will go down. They has a lot of injuries last season and if they field their first XI can put out a very strong side. LIke Brighton they are not very successful at defending corners,

I am relying on Britos to give us the draw.

 

[Drebin]

0-0

We’ll spend the last 20 mins resolutely fending off an onslaught after 70 minutes of not converting chances into goals.

 

[Steve Foster]

Any chance of a revamp ...say one point for getting the result right and two/three for the score? ..I'm useless at predicting the actual score

I have toyed with this but given that I am working even the current basic system can take an hour or more to update after a match - if a lot of people have correctly got the score right. When the Score Predictor started 8 seasons ago up to 100 pollsters placed a score. It can now be 400 or more!