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[Politics] Tory meltdown finally arrived [was: incoming]...



Gwylan

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
31,827
Uffern
I doubt Lewes will return a Tory next time, and Hastings Cons have deselected their MP, so it might go back to Lib Dem.
Hastings (and Rye) has not had a Liberal MP since 1906. It was Labour between 1997 and 2010, so they must be eyeing it up. Apart from that, it's been Tory since 1906.

Worthing's going to the interesting one. Labour could win both seats there - I think Loughton's definitely toast but Bottomley could be as well. I'm certain Lewes and Eastbourne will both go to Lib Dems and with Crawley goiing to Labour, Sussex could look very different
 




Thunder Bolt

Silly old bat
Hastings (and Rye) has not had a Liberal MP since 1906. It was Labour between 1997 and 2010, so they must be eyeing it up. Apart from that, it's been Tory since 1906.

Worthing's going to the interesting one. Labour could win both seats there - I think Loughton's definitely toast but Bottomley could be as well. I'm certain Lewes and Eastbourne will both go to Lib Dems and with Crawley goiing to Labour, Sussex could look very different
I was confusing that with Eastbourne who did have a LD MP, Stephen Lloyd.

So, going back to Labour, then
 


A1X

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Sep 1, 2017
20,521
Deepest, darkest Sussex


WATFORD zero

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Jul 10, 2003
27,747
Hastings (and Rye) has not had a Liberal MP since 1906. It was Labour between 1997 and 2010, so they must be eyeing it up. Apart from that, it's been Tory since 1906.

Worthing's going to the interesting one. Labour could win both seats there - I think Loughton's definitely toast but Bottomley could be as well. I'm certain Lewes and Eastbourne will both go to Lib Dems and with Crawley goiing to Labour, Sussex could look very different
Sussex could be very interesting. Except for Brighton Pavilion, where the sitting MP will up their majority AGAIN ???
 






Gwylan

Well-known member
Jul 5, 2003
31,827
Uffern
Strong possibility of that.

In fact, if the opinion polls are acccurate, Mid Sussex could go Labour too - that's what Electoral Calculus is predicting,.
Just looked at their predictions and, on current polling, Tories are hanging on to Horsham, Bognor and Chichester by just a couple of percentage points. Any more swing away from the Tories and they could be in play too.
 












The Clamp

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Jan 11, 2016
26,182
West is BEST
OMG that is depressing.
I can answer his question about who helped us during our floods; it was the EU assistance fund. Which we are no longer eligible for.


That video is one reason I don’t think people should be too confident that the Tory’s will lose an election.

Just think, those ghastly specimens were given a vote in the EU referendum. Brexit is what happens when you let thick people decide such matters.
 




abc

Well-known member
Jan 6, 2007
1,389

Possibly an own goal by the Libs? Plenty of people across the UK will agree with his at least one of his statements or at least not be offended by them. Take the death penalty one, I'm against capital punishment but many are not and what he says is obviously correct. One problem I think we have in politics generally is that politicians of all colours are terrified to have convictions because there will always be some group, opposing politician, media outlet etc who will be up in arms and be deliberately psuedo offended. We shouldn't expect to like or agree with everything or even anything a politician thinks or says but we need them all to have and voice their convictions so we get debate.
 


The Clamp

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Jan 11, 2016
26,182
West is BEST
Possibly an own goal by the Libs? Plenty of people across the UK will agree with his at least one of his statements or at least not be offended by them. Take the death penalty one, I'm against capital punishment but many are not and what he says is obviously correct. One problem I think we have in politics generally is that politicians of all colours are terrified to have convictions because there will always be some group, opposing politician, media outlet etc who will be up in arms and be deliberately psuedo offended. We shouldn't expect to like or agree with everything or even anything a politician thinks or says but we need them all to have and voice their convictions so we get debate.
While I broadly agree with you here, do we really need a debate about whether nurses forced to use food banks are shit at cooking and budgeting?
 


A1X

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Sep 1, 2017
20,521
Deepest, darkest Sussex
Possibly an own goal by the Libs? Plenty of people across the UK will agree with his at least one of his statements or at least not be offended by them. Take the death penalty one, I'm against capital punishment but many are not and what he says is obviously correct. One problem I think we have in politics generally is that politicians of all colours are terrified to have convictions because there will always be some group, opposing politician, media outlet etc who will be up in arms and be deliberately psuedo offended. We shouldn't expect to like or agree with everything or even anything a politician thinks or says but we need them all to have and voice their convictions so we get debate.
The question is (1) are there enough to swing a seat and (2) are the people who believe that not voting Tory anyway? The “hang ‘em and flog ‘em” types don’t seem the sort who might consider voting Red or yellow (or green).
 




The Clamp

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Jan 11, 2016
26,182
West is BEST
The question is (1) are there enough to swing a seat and (2) are the people who believe that not voting Tory anyway? The “hang ‘em and flog ‘em” types don’t seem the sort who might consider voting Red or yellow (or green).
I'm hoping that anyone stupid enough to agree with his statements is too dumb to get themselves to a polling station.
 


abc

Well-known member
Jan 6, 2007
1,389
I'm hoping that anyone stupid enough to agree with his statements is too dumb to get themselves to a polling station.
I’m hoping that there are enough people who arent as arrogant, dumb and blind to alternative opinions as you, so that we can have wide ranging debate rather than the polarisation that is paralysing our politics.

Edit: sorry that was a bit personal. I just don’t think it’s right to call people who might disagree with your views ‘dumb or stupid’
 
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abc

Well-known member
Jan 6, 2007
1,389
While I broadly agree with you here, do we really need a debate about whether nurses forced to use food banks are shit at cooking and budgeting?
No, we need a debate about nurses pay and conditions.
It was idiotic of some union publicity person to say that nurses are driven to food banks. With an average wage of £35000 this was an own goal and one the daily mail made hay with.
The cooking thing is actually a very important point generally. If you cook fresh veg etc one can live more cheaply and crucially more healthily. This is a skill that used to be taught at school as well as in the home but for many has been lost through no fault of their own.
 


The Clamp

Well-known member
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Jan 11, 2016
26,182
West is BEST
I’m hoping that there are enough people who arent as arrogant, dumb and blind to alternative opinions as you, so that we can have wide ranging debate rather than the polarisation that is paralysing our politics.

Edit: sorry that was a bit personal. I just don’t think it’s right to call people who might disagree with your views ‘dumb or stupid’
It's one thing to disagree with someone's views. It's quite another to back ridiculous statements like the bile Lee Anderson spouts. I am sorry but I reserve my right to call a thicko a thicko. No amount of sympathising or excusing his vile rhetoric as "an alternative opinion" will change the fact that it is ignorant hate-speak.

I don't view his deliberate baiting of certain sectors of society as any more a valid "opinion" than I do racism or antisemitism.
 




Peteinblack

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Jun 3, 2004
4,135
Bath, Somerset.
I’m hoping that there are enough people who arent as arrogant, dumb and blind to alternative opinions as you, so that we can have wide ranging debate rather than the polarisation that is paralysing our politics.

Edit: sorry that was a bit personal. I just don’t think it’s right to call people who might disagree with your views ‘dumb or stupid’
I can respect someone with different political views to mine if they can provide some intelligent or considered reason or logic - but so many Right-wingers just base their views on emotions, prejudice, or simple hatred of minorities. Or they just unthinkingly accept what they are told by the Daily Mail, Daily Express and The Sun.

There was a voter in Hartlepool a couple of years ago who said they were switching from Labour to the Conservatives because "Labour want to get rid of food-banks." I reserve the right to call that voter a stupid, pig-ignorant, ****.

I have spent 6 years on social media arguing with Brexitters (the "school of hard knocks, university of life, wear-your-poppy-with-pride, bin the Liebour party" brigade - many of whom also seem to look like Phil Mitchell out of Eastenders!) - and I can assure you that the vast majority of them are as thick as mince; they are totally incapable of putting forward a coherent or half-intelligent reason for supporting Brexit. After you have pointed-out the inaccuracies of their arguments or claims, or provided counter-evidence, their final response is usually "Well f***-off and live in Brussels." Just as Tories used to respond to political opponents by aggressively suggesting that they "Emigrate to Moscow."

It seems that "tolerating opposing views" only applies when Right-wingers say something which might be viewed as controversial or offensive - must avoid 'cancel culture' - but witch-hunts and a torrent of abuse online or in the tabloids are OK if a prominent Liberal or Leftie advocates something which offends a Tory or the Daily Mail. I constantly see/hear supposedly freedom-of-speech loving Tories demanding that Gary Lineker be sacked for expressing his support for the EU, or that Chris Packham be sacked for publicly opposing fox-hunting.
 
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Peteinblack

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Jun 3, 2004
4,135
Bath, Somerset.


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