Bold Seagull
strong and stable with me, or...
I’m really surprised people think 95% chance staying up if we draw. A draw is another poor result for us, cementing a really woeful run of form - our best chance of a win left this season would’ve gone up in smoke.
Cardiff will absolutely believe they can get wins against on the beach Fulham and Palace. We’d be BANG in trouble if we draw. I’d give us a 60% chance of staying up at best.
Why do you look at Cardiff and feel they have the 'belief' to get results against Fulham and Palace? Our results over the last 10 games are almost identical, even our goals for and against are within 1 or 2 goals. Their away record is worse than ours. Why is their belief different to ours, is it because theirs is more of a lost cause perhaps?
I put it to you that Fulham have had a really tough run of games, their last 6 fixtures have all been from the top 10. Now that their fate is secured, they can play with a bit of freedom and pride, the Everton win will have been a massive boost to ending the season on a high. They will feel next season is starting now, and they will be looking at Cardiff followed by Newcastle as mini cup finals to end their season with a bit of a run at home. No on the beach gimme that one for me.
As for Palace, a real chance of matching last seasons 11th place finish. That is what they will be aiming for, I don't think they'll give 2 hoots what it does for us. Take you back to last season, they were safe but still won 4 of their last 5, scoring 11 goals. They turned a poor season into 11th and they'll be motivated to do the same again.
Hope that makes you feel somewhat better than 60% in the event of a draw tonight.