[Albion] To Avoid Potter Bashing - the staying up tracker - season 2019-2020 Game 38 UPDATE

[SollysLeftFoot]

He made a brilliant penalty save, in this game, as it goes.

And then for the rest of the match completely capitulated. Their 3rd goal is difficult to watch at how McGovern flaps about..

 

[Audax]

Exactly! This is in fact our best start so far, Villa next who obviously are new entrants as far as our PL history is concerned. In theory, the standard model anticipates we get 4 points off them this season. Based on ‘expected goals’, Villa are about where their performances suggest they should be. So it could be a tight game if we have luck / poor finishing in line with our games prior to Spurs.

If we're going off "expected" stats: our xG is 8th best (but we've wasted many of those opportunities - there's only 3 more wasteful teams than us at the moment: Watford, Everton, and Southampton). Our xGA is the 8th worst, but we've done a good job not conceding (only 4 teams better at keeping out xGA than us). End result is that our expected points puts us ... 6th on the table. All three of those stats better for us than for Villa.

All of which means nothing: our current table position shows that. But, what I do take away from this:

1. My general feeling that we've been playing far better football than last season is probably right.
2. We're exposing ourselves to chances, but we're doing a pretty good job defusing those chances. Especially given we've already played ManC and Chelsea (two of the top 3 xG teams currently).
3. We're creating enough chances that, if we start putting them away, we'll be safe from relegation early. Potentially even hitting Bloom's top 10 target.

 

[Jim D]

If we're going off "expected" stats: our xG is 8th best (but we've wasted many of those opportunities - there's only 3 more wasteful teams than us at the moment: Watford, Everton, and Southampton). Our xGA is the 8th worst, but we've done a good job not conceding (only 4 teams better at keeping out xGA than us). End result is that our expected points puts us ... 6th on the table. All three of those stats better for us than for Villa.

All of which means nothing: our current table position shows that. But, what I do take away from this:

1. My general feeling that we've been playing far better football than last season is probably right.
2. We're exposing ourselves to chances, but we're doing a pretty good job defusing those chances. Especially given we've already played ManC and Chelsea (two of the top 3 xG teams currently).
3. We're creating enough chances that, if we start putting them away, we'll be safe from relegation early. Potentially even hitting Bloom's top 10 target.

I think I might take a 6th place finish right now if offered.

 

[Giraffe]

Based on the 18/19 results of the fixtures so far, we are 3 points ahead.

View attachment 116002

That is magnificent.

 

[Tim Over Whelmed]

Another week gone by without earning any points, shirley we're doomed, this can't go on, Hyppia out!

 

[Mellotron]

He made a brilliant penalty save, in this game, as it goes.

But to balance again, he was ****ing awful against us in the 5-0 mauling of Norwich by Murray and Skalak in the Champ.

 

[Stat Brother]

Dunno what it means but I think it looks positive enough:-

 

[Bob!]

Dunno what it means but I think it looks positive enough:-

View attachment 116432

It means at the start of the season they were predicting we'd be 17th on 38 points.
Now they're predicting we'll be 16th on 41 points.
You have not been charged for this.

 

[GT49er]

Dunno what it means but I think it looks positive enough:-

View attachment 116432

Oh gawd - another way of looking at it - and not understanding it at all!

If only this thread was confined to just Giraffe's tracker - perhaps there could be a special home for all the other stuff!

 

[Stat Brother]

Oh gawd - another way of looking at it - and not understanding it at all!

If only this thread was confined to just Giraffe's tracker - perhaps there could be a special home for all the other stuff!

Don't blame me, blame the nimrod who told us to follow Albion Analytics on twitter.

Believe me, that's one of the more straightforward charts, graphs or graphics they now fill my timeline.

 

[zefarelly]

Do people get paid for doing all this pointless shit?

 

[hans kraay fan club]

Do people get paid for doing all this pointless shit?

Yes. Tony Bloom for one, pays an office block full of them, a lot of money to do exactly this kind of stuff.

 

[GT49er]

Do people get paid for doing all this pointless shit?

No, I think people stick it on here voluntarily..............

 

[London Irish]

So we’re a point ahead of where we’ve ever been in the PL after 8 games, whether judged on simply number of games or by opponent.........

Not sure that can be right. After 10 games last year, we had 14 points and were in 11th place in the table, I only remember because it was my birthday and I thought nice present.

It was mostly built around the rock-like form of Dunk-Duffy and Murray's probably final ever spell of prolific scoring

 

[Bozza]

Not sure that can be right. After 10 games last year, we had 14 points and were in 11th place in the table, I only remember because it was my birthday and I thought nice present.

It was mostly built around the rock-like form of Dunk-Duffy and Murray's probably final ever spell of prolific scoring

You're both right.

In 2018/19 we were on 8 points from 8 games, we then beat Newcastle (a) and Wolves (h) to stand on 14 points from 10 games.

 

[Bozza]

You're both right.

In 2018/19 we were on 8 points from 8 games, we then beat Newcastle (a) and Wolves (h) to stand on 14 points from 10 games.

Interestingly though, if we don't beat Everton this will be our WORST start since we were promoted, as measured at the 10 game mark.

2017/18 - 12 points
2018/19 - 14 points
2019/20 - 9, 10 or 12 points

 

[essbee1]

Interestingly though, if we don't beat Everton this will be our WORST start since we were promoted, as measured at the 10 game mark.

2017/18 - 12 points
2018/19 - 14 points
2019/20 - 9, 10 or 12 points

Our finish has to be better thought surely!!!

 

[Icy Gull]

We got lucky in three games on the trot at this time last season, remind me how much luck we have had so far this season?

Did we look like we belonged in this division at any stage last season? How often have we looked like we don’t belong this season

In the words of MA mark 1 “Keep the faith”

 

[FatSuperman]

Interestingly though, if we don't beat Everton this will be our WORST start since we were promoted, as measured at the 10 game mark.

2017/18 - 12 points
2018/19 - 14 points
2019/20 - 9, 10 or 12 points

True, but measured by fixture, as best we can, we will be at worst on track with previous seasons. If we win, then ‘BT the Script’ is currently looking the most accurate! By ‘cum points’ anyway

 

[Hampster Gull]

It means at the start of the season they were predicting we'd be 17th on 38 points.
Now they're predicting we'll be 16th on 41 points.
You have not been charged for this.

And the last two columns? I can’t afford to be charged for any response