[Albion] To Avoid Potter Bashing - Staying Up Tracker - 2020/21 - Game 38 Update - 1 OVER

[Weststander]

Full league table prior to the end of the Villa v Spurs game.

The tracker thinks 35 will be enough to stay up, or actually 34, given our much superior goal difference. We will see.

Fulham v Newcastle on the final day of the season promises to be an absolute cracker. Worth noting the tracker assumes Fulham win that and Newcastle draw it. Those new to all of this will now be baffled

17 more points for Stains!

 

[dadams2k11]

Wolves and Sheff U probably more chance of wins than Everton, Leeds and West Ham I reckon. Tough 3 games coming our way - thank god for the last two - and Graham Potter and the boys [emoji106]

I'm thinking 4pts from the next 3..

 

[Sheebo]

I'm thinking 4pts from the next 3..

I wouldn’t just bite your hand off, I’d be that quick I’d take a large chunk of your forearm too.

 

[dadams2k11]

I wouldn’t just bite your hand off, I’d be that quick I’d take a large chunk of your forearm too.

Draw with Utd, Beat Everton, lose to Chelsea. Simple [emoji16]

 

[pb21]

Full league table prior to the end of the Villa v Spurs game.

The tracker thinks 35 will be enough to stay up, or actually 34, given our much superior goal difference. We will see.

Fulham v Newcastle on the final day of the season promises to be an absolute cracker. Worth noting the tracker assumes Fulham win that and Newcastle draw it. Those new to all of this will now be baffled

I'm wondering if your tracker thinks less than 34/35 will be enough, should the current difference be pro-rated up from the difference after 29 games to after 38 games?

So Newcastle on -7 after 29 will be -9 after 38 games, assuming the previous average form stays the same...

 

[Perkino]

Full league table prior to the end of the Villa v Spurs game.

The tracker thinks 35 will be enough to stay up, or actually 34, given our much superior goal difference. We will see.

Fulham v Newcastle on the final day of the season promises to be an absolute cracker. Worth noting the tracker assumes Fulham win that and Newcastle draw it. Those new to all of this will now be baffled

The table looks very comforting

 

[chaileyjem]

Previous seasons after Game 29 with 9 to go >>

17/18 - 34 points - 10th (1 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats) >> 40 (win v Man U)
18/19 - 33 points - 15th (0 wins, 3 draws, 6 defeats) >> 36 (no wins)
19/20 - 29 points - 15th (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats) >> 41 (wins v Arsenal, Norwich, Burnley)
20/21 - 32 points - 16th (Man Utd, Everton, Chelsea, Sheffield United, Leeds, Wolves, West Ham, Man City, Arsenal)

Form Last 6 games W2, D1 L3
Form: Last 10 games - W4, D3, L3
Form Last 12 games - W5, D3, L4

 

[Giraffe]

17 more points for Stains!

This made me look at my numbers again and I had made an error and overcooked Southampton by 3 points. Revised below.

Southampton have an easy run in on paper hence the predicted high finish.

 

[Weststander]

This made me look at my numbers again and I had made an error and overcooked Southampton by 3 points. Revised below.

Southampton have an easy run in on paper hence the predicted high finish.

Thanks.

Us ending up 8 points above, probably with a superior GD, than 18th, looks a sweet ending.

 

[Couldn't Be Hyypia]

We could so easily be in the high 30s right now. That chart would look the business!

 

[chaileyjem]

Previous seasons after Game 29 with 9 to go >>

17/18 - 34 points - 10th (1 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats) >> 40 (win v Man U)
18/19 - 33 points - 15th (0 wins, 3 draws, 6 defeats) >> 36 (no wins)
19/20 - 29 points - 15th (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats) >> 41 (wins v Arsenal, Norwich, Burnley)
20/21 - 32 points - 16th (Man Utd, Everton, Chelsea, Sheffield United, Leeds, Wolves, West Ham, Man City, Arsenal)

Form Last 6 games W2, D1 L3
Form: Last 10 games - W4, D3, L3
Form Last 12 games - W5, D3, L4

Above 18th/relegation zone by Game 29
17/18 + 7 points
18/19 + 5 points
19/20 + 2 points
20/21 + 6 points (with game in hand)

 

[brighton_tom]

We could so easily be in the high 30s right now. That chart would look the business!

If United dont get their penalty after the full time whistle, if we dont let in that stupid Palace goal, if we score 1 of our West Brom penalties, & dont gift Leicester that late goal then we'd be on 36 points and basically safe now. Lots of fine margins.

 

[Weststander]

If United dont get their penalty after the full time whistle, if we dont let in that stupid Palace goal, if we score 1 of our West Brom penalties, & dont gift Leicester that late goal then we'd be on 36 points and basically safe now. Lots of fine margins.

The March foul clearly outside the box against Stains.

Ref/VAR falling for Kane's dangerous play at WHL.

 

[Uh_huh_him]

If United dont get their penalty after the full time whistle, if we don't let in that stupid Palace goal, if we score 1 of our West Brom penalties, & dont gift Leicester that late goal then we'd be on 36 points and basically safe now. Lots of fine margins.

So many more than that though.

Palace not getting their soft Penalty
Connolly/Ali J being able to finish simple opportunities against Sheff Utd.
Maupay being able to score a Penalty vs Liverpool.
VAR not overturning the penalty against Saints.

And many many more.
We need to get jammy wins in our last nine games for this season's luck to have evened itself out.

 

[peterward]

We seem to be picking up points in games where we aren't having so much possession and losing games when we have the lion's share.
Following that logic we could reach safety by losing to Newcastle and Sheffield U and picking up points to Wolves, West Ham, Arsenal and Everton.

The difference being when we're playing a tight defensive shape, we can counter attack and win.

When the opposition parks the bus, we're not so good at breaking them down?

 

[Giraffe]

Sorry for the delay but as there was no change I thought I would wait for the other fixtures to complete. Still one up. Full league table to follow.

 

[Giraffe]

Here is the league table. Fulham back in the bottom three.

 

[Giraffe]

For anyone still awake, we are now one behind, but I can't see Fulham getting to our current points total personally, so a comfortable drift towards the end of the season for us I think.

 

[Bodian]

For anyone still awake, we are now one behind, but I can't see Fulham getting to our current points total personally, so a comfortable drift towards the end of the season for us I think.

Wins against Sheffield, Leeds and Wolves and we'll be up to last year's total. No worries.

 

[Drebin]

We’re doomed!!!! Or we’ll make up that point away to Sheff Utd. One of the two.