[Albion] To Avoid Hürzeler Bashing - The Staying Up and Europe Tracker - season 2024-25 Game 28 Update

[Weststander]

Fulham W
ManC L
Villa W
South Norwood L
Leicester W
Brentford D
West Ham W
Newcastle W
Wolves D
Liverpool D
Tottenham D

Giving 62 points, we make Europe.

With the one small proviso that predicting our results is hopeless.

 

[Giraffe]

I think there is very little between the sides 3rd to 10th, but Man City will undoubtedly finish strongly.

Then for the rest I think it may well come down to who stays injury free. We were riddled but now seem to have a good selection of fit players. If we can maintain that, and it feels like a big if, then I think we will be top six.

 

[Uh_huh_him]

Interesting that the tracker currently predicts 59 points as well.

You may have cracked the super-computer algorithm

 

[fork me]

They're not Finnish, they're based in northwest England.

Get your coat - now.

 

[Westdene Seagull]

Get your coat - now.

I take it he's pulled ?

 

[Hovegull]

I think that this season is still wide open and technically everyone from Spurs up could be challenging for Europe - the middle of the table is so congested and unpredictable. For once, the winners and the relegated are already sorted out with only West Ham, Everton and Man United with nothing to play for either way.

 

[Greg Bobkin]

I take it he's pulled ?

That's how I read it!

 

[One Love]

Spread Markets see us on around 59pts, battling it out with Bournemouth for 7th spot.


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If I could stomach it I'd be betting on Palace getting far more than 14.5 from 11 games.

They always finish the season well and they've averaged 2 points a game for the last 10 games anyhow.

And you just know they'll finish above us.

 

[Giraffe]

Updated league tables after this weeks games. Interesting to note Palace are lower in the Europe tracker which suggests they are not very good at beating the top teams. Shame.

7th, which is probably Europa League (AGAIN!) is now within touching distance. Beating your rivals is a double plus.

 

[Giraffe]

If I could stomach it I'd be betting on Palace getting far more than 14.5 from 11 games.

They always finish the season well and they've averaged 2 points a game for the last 10 games anyhow.

And you just know they'll finish above us.

The trackers say Palace will end on 52-54 (currently). which almost chimes with this. Will be hugely disappointed if we finish below them on that number.

 

[Giraffe]

Today was an expected win, but what a win! Remain 12 over the relegation tracker and just 1 behind Europe. Only 1 point needed to maintain that over the next 3 games.

Only 14 needed from 10 games. Looks very achievable in our current form. Stay injury free and we pack our passports.

 

[Sorrel]

So are Southampton now the first team who can't catch us this season?

 

[saafend_seagull]

It’s going to be more than 60 points unfortunately. Think 7th is looking at 62/63 points.

6 wins from 10 please.

Bournemouth, Newcastle got a couple of easy games coming up. Key they both don’t win tomorrow/monday,

 

[Weststander]

It’s going to be more than 60 points unfortunately. Think 7th is looking at 62/63 points.

6 wins from 10 please.

Bournemouth, Newcastle got a couple of easy games coming up. Key they both don’t win tomorrow/monday,

To get to 61 points, Villa, Bmuff and Fulham all have a load of difficult fixtures and ‘seeking top 8‘ 6-pointers where they play other contenders.

 

[Bold Seagull]

It’s going to be more than 60 points unfortunately. Think 7th is looking at 62/63 points.

6 wins from 10 please.

Bournemouth, Newcastle got a couple of easy games coming up. Key they both don’t win tomorrow/monday,

4 points separate 6 teams, Chelsea 5th 46 pts to Fulham 10th 42 points.

If 7th is Europe, 3 of those teams will score 16-20 points if 7th is going to be 62/63, whereas all 6 for the season have averaged around 1.6 pts a game.

 

[Bold Seagull]

To get to 61 points, Villa, Bmuff and Fulham all have a load of difficult fixtures and seeking top 8 6-pointers where they play other contenders.

My feeling above too. Going to be lots of dropped points for everyone in the run-in. Can actually see 7th being 59/60 pts.

 

[spence]

To get to 61 points, Villa, Bmuff and Fulham all have a load of difficult fixtures and seeking top 8 6-pointers where they play other contenders.

Agree. Absolutely no chance we need more than 60pts for European football. Both Fulham and Brentford have horrific fixtures.

 

[deletebeepbeepbeep]

Agree. Absolutely no chance we need more than 60pts for European football. Both Fulham and Brentford have horrific fixtures.

Our run in is pretty tricky as well though.

 

[saafend_seagull]

Maybe I was wrong. 5 wins enough based on probability - Villa, Leicester, wolves, Brentford, West Ham.

 

[Weststander]

The markets currently forecast 7th for us. It’s tight. But far shorter odds than Villa.

[Using Top 6 data, but the pecking order for Europe would be the same].