[Albion] To avoid bed wetting - the staying up tracker - 2018-19 Game 36 update - 5 below

[Giraffe]

So here we go again.

Quick reminder for those who didn't follow this tracker last season.

The assumption is we need 40 points to stay up (we can argue that all close season, and yes last season we didn't quite need it but it has happened and therefore I am sticking with it, hit 40 points and we are almost certainly staying up).

To get these the easiest way is beat the bottom ten teams at home and draw with them away (bottom ten defined as lowest seven not relegated last season plus three promoted, meaning all the way up to Newcastle as we don't play ourselves).

So this is a non biased, completely objective view of the fixtures and how we are doing against them through the season. It pretty much worked last season in that we tracked close to this or there or thereabouts, doing slightly better early on, slightly worse in the middle and finishing close enough.

So here it is for the coming season:

- First seven games yield just five points, NSC goes into meltdown.
- 15 games in a massive drubbing of Palace sees us looking up the table not down.
- we then go 9 games without a win and edge towards the relegation zone by the end of January.
- a MASSIVE March sees us take 10 points from 4 games to edge towards safety
- 7 points in the last 6 games edges us over the line.

All sounds very familiar doesn't it.

 

[spence]

So once again you are tipping no points against the top 6 despite us taking 7 last time ?

 

[Bozza]

For those new to this, here's last year's classic:

https://nortr3nixy.nimpr.uk/showt...staying-up-tracker-36-level-WE-ARE-STAYING-UP

 

[Giraffe]

And then for the more optimistic amongst us, a European tracker. (I'm desperate to qualify for Europe just so when we get knocked out we can have a different kind of Brexit thread)

But anyway, same synopsis but based on achieving 56 points which has mostly been enough to qualify for Europe. Burnley did it with 54 last season.

Interestingly the first 10 matches are identical to the staying up tracker.

Hope you like the Orange European tracker.

p.s) my hunch, for what it's worth is we will be somewhere between the 2, 45-48 points.

 

[Beach Hut]

Another season of zero away wins, aggghhhhhh unless we tweak the nose of European football

 

[Giraffe]

So once again you are tipping no points against the top 6 despite us taking 7 last time ?

The first to miss the point of this thread. And almost certainly not the last.

 

[spence]

The first to miss the point of this thread. And almost certainly not the last.

I get what you are saying but it's still a bit silly.

 

[Giraffe]

I get what you are saying but it's still a bit silly.

Like blancmange?

 

[KZNSeagull]

2 graphs this year! Marvellous stuff

 

[drew]

Would have been interesting to include a column showing the result from last season!

 

[GT49er]

Good effort - but looks as if we'll be leaving it to the last moment - 3 wins and a draw out of 4 in March, 2 and a draw in April. Looks like a pretty hair-raising season - bottom three until the late putsch. Let's hope we're not too down-hearted by then (or have sacked CH in a moment of panic).

 

[Deadly Danson]

Brilliant - I loved this last year and kept me relatively calm during the dips.

 

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

We're DOOMED I tell thee.

McGhee OUT!!!!!!

 

[The Sock of Poskett]

The one thing we can guarantee is that most sensible predictions will be well wide of the mark quite often.
And we'll get a few surprises.
Bring. It. On.

 

[redoubtable seagull]

Good to see this thread return for the upcoming season. Thank you.

Another daunting season ahead. I’m sure the European table will be updated on a weekly basis!!

 

[AZ Gull]

The first to miss the point of this thread. And almost certainly not the last.

Great work again [MENTION=3734]Giraffe[/MENTION], but unless my eyes deceive me, I don't think you have explicitly stated in your opening post that the points are based upon beating those "bottom ten" teams at home and drawing with them away. You might wish to edit that in (if you can) to help minimize moans from the madding crowd.

 

[Bob!]

Would have been interesting to include a column showing the result from last season!

That would be a good tracker for someone else to do, are you up for it?

 

[Deleted member 18477]

One of my favourite threads! Can we have a graph incase we do a Leicester? Too soon?

 

[n1 gull]

I get what you are saying but it's still a bit silly.

It's ace and last season it worked brilliantly, if you're not interested bore off

 

[Giraffe]

Great work again [MENTION=3734]Giraffe[/MENTION], but unless my eyes deceive me, I don't think you have explicitly stated in your opening post that the points are based upon beating those "bottom ten" teams at home and drawing with them away. You might wish to edit that in (if you can) to help minimize moans from the madding crowd.

Good point, done.