[Albion] Thoughts on that missing killer instinct

[Richy_Seagull]

Exactly. But does that mean the team that has 2 the xG should win?

Yes. Because they have double the xG....

To simplify - 20 attempts at .1 is better than 2 attempts at .5

 

[albionalex]

Yes. Because they have double the xG....

To simplify - 20 attempts at .1 is better than 2 attempts at .5

But that's the beauty of xG and why it can't be looked at isolation. Just because statistically a shot has a .1 xG, that doesn't mean that if you have 10 shots of that quality, you get a goal. It also doesn't take into account things like shot power, placement etc.

If Team 1 has 10 shots of .1 xG and they're all pea rollers straight at the keeper and Team 2 gets a penalty (.76 xG), Team 1 has a higher xG but Team 2 but should win the game.