[Politics] The NSC 'up all night' election night *** OFFICIAL MATCH THREAD ***

[kevo]

This was the latest polling for SW Norfolk and Liz Truss that was posted on the Liz Truss thread before it was locked. If anyone has any more specific recent polls/alternative forecasts for the SW Norfolk Constituency, can you post them on here please as the Liz Truss thread is locked? (Sorry to post on a general thread as this focussed on a specific Constituency so appreciate of not much interest to the majority on this thread who are from Sussex/Kent/Hampshire constituencies).

Just to say, if the Cons hold in SW Norfolk, we will be likely to be stuck with Liz Truss as our MP until she at some point in the future steps down which is unlikely to happen from one of the safest seats in the Country - This was probably the best chance we’ll have of turning the tide in this constituency after the boundary changes and when the rest of the Country has taken a large swing to the left so the implications of not booting her out will be far reaching, especially for the local environment and investment here. She could be one of the few Tory bigwigs to survive and may well spearhead a rejuvenated/alternative Tory Party that is much further to the right than it is now under the umbrella organisation of her new Popular Conservative project that brings together far right/hard right politicians across the party divides (including Farage)

It’s been a long day in deepest blue SW Norfolk after working hard the past few weeks to get this hateful woman out who was parachuted into this constituency in 2009, so not in the mood much for partying at the moment based on the polls below, sorry.

 

[kevo]

Does anyone know about liz truss exit poll ?

Just posted

 

[Weststander]

Is there a way to see the Lewes exit poll prediction?

That’s been a certain LD win for 4 years. MC only had a majority of 2,500 at a low point for the LD’s in 2019.

 

[jcdenton08]

That’s been a certain LD win for 4 years. MC only had a majority of 2,500 at a low point for the LD’s in 2019.

I appreciate that I just wanted some reassurance with an exit poll

 

[portlock seagull]

Beaconsfield just mentioned and will stay Tory “as Tory heartland…” Well, I tried folks. There was talk LD might produce a massive shock and win but I never believed it. In this constituency we don’t have postal voting because people can simply ask their Butlers to deliver instead…

 

[kevo]

Exit polls for each constituency here:

Exit poll: What is the forecast election result in my constituency?

Use our look-up to find out what result the exit poll forecasts for your constituency.

news.sky.com

 

[Bodian]

Sky - exit poll by constituency

Exit poll: What is the forecast election result in my constituency?

Use our look-up to find out what result the exit poll forecasts for your constituency.

news.sky.com

Truss - 84% likely to keep seat - sorry @Zeberdi
Pavilion - 99% likely Green
Shoreham / Adur / Worthing - 99% likely Labour gain (blimey)
And 99% Lib Dem for me.

 

[Mike Small]

Final UK Polling report not wildly out from the exit poll - exit poll has Reform taking more off the Tories, and Labour taking SNP.

Green only 1 seat :-( At least that poll has Reform on only 2. Wouldn't hate that. Farage and the Defector wouldn't work.

 

[Lady Whistledown]

I know of Clacton, Ashfield and Skegness, but where are the other 10 out and proud racist areas of the UK?

The Guardian suggested the major Reform targets other than the ones above are:

Great Yarmouth (Rupert Lowe- the ex Southampton chairman!)
NW Leicestershire
Skipton & Ripon (Yorkshire)
Castle Point (Essex)
Louth & Horncastle (Lincs)
Basildon & Billericay (Essex)

Other articles suggest Thurrock (Essex), East Thanet (north Kent), Rochester & Stroud (Kent), Rother Valley (Rotherham), Stoke on Trent North, Tipton & Wednesbury (W.Mids), Stoke on Trent Central and West Bromwich.

The one thing all of these have in common, of course, is that they are places where you wouldn't want to live in a million years.

 

[Weststander]

I appreciate that I just wanted some reassurance with an exit poll

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

Bloody hell

Crawley heading Labour

 

[Bodian]

That’s what I’m am trying to find out.

I’m home now and decided not to go to the Count as I was too tired so can’t offer much. I haven’t heard from Terry for a few hours (he’s busy with media etc).

The BBC hasn’t updated it’s “live” coverage for hours

Former PM Liz Truss loses seat as Labour, Reform, Greens and Lib Dems make gains

Liz Truss loses her South West Norfolk seat to Labour's Terry Jermy as Labour, the Greens, Reform and the Lib Dems make gains.

www.bbc.co.uk

See posts above. 84% likely Truss

 

[Harry Wilson's tackle]

Just posted

If there is one Tory I'd like to see retain her seat, be unable to enrich herself lecturing in the US, and forced to grace the Tory front bench with her charisma, surefootedness, and insights, reminding us all of her glorious week as PM, it would be thick Lizzy.

 

[happypig]

As with all major events in our history, including FA Cup Finals, we turn to auntie. They’ve got this. As always.

If they bring on Rio Ferdinand and Micah Richards I'm off to ITV

 

[jcdenton08]

View attachment 185173

Bloody hell. You know not shooting the messenger? Right now I want to hug the messenger!

 

[HangletonGull]

View attachment 185173

My vote won it for Lib Dem’s

 

[Frutos]

What on Earth prompted Baker to go on the BBC tonight?

Lamb to the slaughter.

 

[Chicken Run]

That’s what I’m am trying to find out.

I’m home now and decided not to go to the Count as I was too tired so can’t offer much. I haven’t heard from Terry for a few hours (he’s busy with media etc).

The BBC hasn’t updated it’s “live” coverage for hours

Former PM Liz Truss loses seat as Labour, Reform, Greens and Lib Dems make gains

Liz Truss loses her South West Norfolk seat to Labour's Terry Jermy as Labour, the Greens, Reform and the Lib Dems make gains.

www.bbc.co.uk

The exit poll suggests your lumbered with her for another five years

 

[Weststander]

Bloody hell

Crawley heading Labour

Often Labour?

 

[Bodian]

Sky - exit poll by constituency

Exit poll: What is the forecast election result in my constituency?

Use our look-up to find out what result the exit poll forecasts for your constituency.

news.sky.com

Truss - 84% likely to keep seat - sorry @Zeberdi
Pavilion - 99% likely Green
Shoreham / Adur / Worthing - 99% likely Labour gain (blimey)
And 99% Lib Dem for me.

133 seats 'Too Close To Call" - so still quite a good chance that tactical voting may swing quite a few seats yet.