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[Politics] The NSC 'up all night' election night *** OFFICIAL MATCH THREAD ***



GT49er

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Feb 1, 2009
49,186
Gloucester
A "loveless landslide" sounds about right to me. It will be very interesting to see how much the actual number of votes cast has gone up for Labour, if at all. 4 parties over 10% will mean that the cries for electoral change will get very much louder.
Not from a majority of the electorate they won't. Long time before another referendum anyway - once every 40 years or so is about the norm. Tough buns.
 




Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,146
Faversham
Baker on the BBC rather than at his own count, where he has a <1% chance of winning.

:lol:
Under the make up you can see he's a spotty little fucker :ohmy:
 


Lady Whistledown

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 7, 2003
47,639
Christ on a bike. Dorries is banging on about Johnson again. Her infatuation with him is just bizarre.
 


Weststander

Well-known member
Aug 25, 2011
69,311
Withdean area
A "loveless landslide" sounds about right to me. It will be very interesting to see how much the actual number of votes cast has gone up for Labour, if at all. 4 parties over 10% will mean that the cries for electoral change will get very much louder.

Also the LibDems. They may’ve quadrupled their seats, whilst just gaining 1-2% of the electorate from bungee jumping.

I wonder if the likes of Peston will actually mention other hard facts that don’t fit a narrative?
 














Bodian

Well-known member
May 3, 2012
14,270
Cumbria
Was hoping for Tory <100, but I'll take it!
Yes - I feel a little disappointed really.


131 predicted for Tories. With Shy Tory syndrome it will be 160, Hopefully taking the 13 off Farage and his scum gang.
Shy Tories are a 'thing' in the pre-election polls, but not the exit polls surely? Hopefully all the Tories were out earlier than normal, and the other voted later in the day and skew the results a bit to lower the Tory count. I mentioned earlier that this is based on the marginals - and the exit polls might miss the bigger swings in the non-marginals. So, still hope that they might get under 100. Can't really see 13 for Reform, be interested to see where they are.
 




Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,146
Faversham
WTF???

Who is the ‘emperor off star wars’ character on C4? It can hardly breath!!
I wanted to see Stewart and Campbell, but sod the gimmicks (and ads). I'm sticking with BBC1.
 








Yoda

English & European
Holy cow, Tory strongholds of Worthing East & Shoreham and Worthing West exit polls:

2024 exit poll forecast​

Likelihood
LIKELY LAB GAIN 99%+



2024 exit poll forecast​

Likelihood
TOO CLOSE TO CALL
POSSIBLE LAB GAIN 71%
POSSIBLE CON HOLD 29%
 






ROSM

Well-known member
Dec 26, 2005
6,776
Just far enough away from LDC
The shy Tories have, based on the exit poll, doubled the 65 predicted by all and sundry.

It’s be a shame now to see the right wingers such as Truss re-elected.
I wasn't predicting that. I thought less than 150 and more than 100 so this is a mid point. Reform will have prevented 190
 








Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,146
Faversham
Yes - I feel a little disappointed really.



Shy Tories are a 'thing' in the pre-election polls, but not the exit polls surely? Hopefully all the Tories were out earlier than normal, and the other voted later in the day and skew the results a bit to lower the Tory count. I mentioned earlier that this is based on the marginals - and the exit polls might miss the bigger swings in the non-marginals. So, still hope that they might get under 100. Can't really see 13 for Reform, be interested to see where they are.
It depends. If they cease to be shy (and declare their support) after voting I'd be surprised.
 


Harry Wilson's tackle

Harry Wilson's Tackle
NSC Patron
Oct 8, 2003
56,146
Faversham


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