[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread

[The Wizard]

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

Cases/Deaths down 33 percent on last week

Any ideas why it’s coming down much quicker than the summer

 

[The Wizard]

Cases/Deaths down 33 percent on last week

Any ideas why it’s coming down much quicker than the summer

Testing levels are one explanation as they were inadequate when we had our first peak so the decline looks slower, if you look at hospitalisation decrease they are coming down at a similar rate.

On the flip side I have a suspicion there is more going on, if you think how many people have had COVID since last spring, it’s got to be in the tens of millions real cases + vaccinated numbers now adding to this there has to be a fairly high level of immunity in the general population. That’s what I suspect, but of course nobody in any high place will dare say that for fear of stoking rule flouters.

 

[crodonilson]

Cases/Deaths down 33 percent on last week

Any ideas why it’s coming down much quicker than the summer

We weren't in lockdown over the summer for one?? Lockdown is the key driver in driving down rates but also hopefully by now some signs the vaccinations are doing their part and quite a large percentage of people have now had the virus, partiularly since November and have natural antibodies so combined there is some good coverage of immunity now in the population.

 

[Kinky Gerbil]

Testing levels are one explanation as they were inadequate when we had our first peak so the decline looks slower, if you look at hospitalisation decrease they are coming down at a similar rate.

On the flip side I have a suspicion there is more going on, if you think how many people have had COVID since last spring, it’s got to be in the tens of millions real cases + vaccinated numbers now adding to this there has to be a fairly high level of immunity in the general population. That’s what I suspect, but of course nobody in any high place will dare say that for fear of stoking rule flouters.

Valid point on the testing, what ever the reason it is good news.

The vaccinations should be kicking in with bigger numbers shortly

 

[dsr-burnley]

Cases/Deaths down 33 percent on last week

Any ideas why it’s coming down much quicker than the summer

It might be just the natural recession of the wave. Waves, by their nature, must recede at some point. The Spanish Flu of 1919 did, and I don't think it could be specified why.

And before anyone jumps in, I am not saying that lockdown makes no difference. Even if the wave is receding naturally, other factors are in play as well. I doubt that any sort of statistical or medical modelling can ever work out exactly why the virus rises and falls as it does, and allocate the numbers between the various affecting factors. But I think we should bear in mind that one of the factors behind the rise or the fall is because that is what viruses do.

 

[dazzer6666]

Official daily numbers - some notable drops, along with the consistent downward trends, continue :

Infections - 12,364, down 26.6% rolling 7 days
Deaths - down 25.7% rolling 7 days
Admissions - 1,987, down 22.2% rolling 7 days
Vaccinations - 352,480 first jabs (slightly up on last Tuesday's number, despite the weather problems). 12.646 million first jabs now administered.

 

[spoonie]

9th January we were averaging 59,660 cases a day , One Month later we are now averaging 17,075 ...everything heading in the right way now

 

[dazzer6666]

9th January we were averaging 59,660 cases a day , One Month later we are now averaging 17,075 ...everything heading in the right way now

Even better news is that the hospital admissions and deaths are now dropping at the same rate.

 

[Mellotron]

[TWEET]1359162350151081996[/TWEET]

 

[Green Cross Code Man]

[TWEET]1359162350151081996[/TWEET]

Fantastic! Very similar results to the Israeli ones!

 

[The Wizard]

 

[crodonilson]

According to Sky Breaking News the Prince of Wales and Duchess of Cornwall have had their first covid vaccinations.

 

[Marshy]

BSUH now have 92 Covid patients

Under 100

 

[A1X]

I like this, and I think it's pitched perfectly

[TWEET]1359397987345121284[/TWEET]

 

[essbee1]

I like this, and I think it's pitched perfectly

[TWEET]1359397987345121284[/TWEET]

Great humour at a time when we could all use some.

 

[blue-shifted]

I like this, and I think it's pitched perfectly

[TWEET]1359397987345121284[/TWEET]

Yeh. It just shows. This stuff doesn't have to be dry and dull

 

[LamieRobertson]

Another big drop in estimated daily new cases is showing on the @Join_ZOE COVID Symptom Study app.

Today’s figure of 14,967 compares with 15,925 yesterday - a 6% reduction.

https://twitter.com/fact_covid/status/1359450960968491010?s=21

 

[The Wizard]

Another big drop in estimated daily new cases is showing on the @Join_ZOE COVID Symptom Study app.

Today’s figure of 14,967 compares with 15,925 yesterday - a 6% reduction.

https://twitter.com/fact_covid/status/1359450960968491010?s=21

Call me crazy but...

Actual chart:

Herd immunity representation chart:

 

[dsr-burnley]

You need to remember that the top chart is misleading- it doesn't show cases, it shows positive tests. The first bulge should be a much bigger spike.