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[News] The Coronavirus Good News thread









Bakero

Languidly clinical
Oct 9, 2010
14,886
Almería
Latest report from Imperial: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/

Guardian article on said report: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...accine-ready-suggests-report-imperial-college

China’s tough lockdown and physical distancing measures in Wuhan and other provinces appear to have successfully ended new locally transmitted coronavirus infections and may chart a route back to normal life, according to a report from Imperial College London.

The report, from Prof Neil Ferguson and his team, who have been the main modellers of the epidemic for the UK and other governments, suggests it is possible to lift the physical distancing restrictions, as China has begun to do, without a resurgence of the epidemic.

“At this difficult time, these results suggest that, after containment, a carefully managed and monitored relaxation of effective large-scale lockdowns may be possible even before an effective vaccine is available,” said Prof Chris Donnelly, of Imperial and Oxford Universities, one of the team.
 


Mr Bridger

Sound of the suburbs
Feb 25, 2013
4,753
Earth
I have just completed Pornhub.

204E995E-71C8-4519-9D1D-EBBEF01A894F.jpeg
 








Herr Tubthumper

Well-known member
NSC Patron
Jul 11, 2003
62,693
The Fatherland
Charles has the virus and he met his mum yesterday.
 










dingodan

New member
Feb 16, 2011
10,080
Latest report from Imperial: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/

Guardian article on said report: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...accine-ready-suggests-report-imperial-college

China’s tough lockdown and physical distancing measures in Wuhan and other provinces appear to have successfully ended new locally transmitted coronavirus infections and may chart a route back to normal life, according to a report from Imperial College London.

The report, from Prof Neil Ferguson and his team, who have been the main modellers of the epidemic for the UK and other governments, suggests it is possible to lift the physical distancing restrictions, as China has begun to do, without a resurgence of the epidemic.

“At this difficult time, these results suggest that, after containment, a carefully managed and monitored relaxation of effective large-scale lockdowns may be possible even before an effective vaccine is available,” said Prof Chris Donnelly, of Imperial and Oxford Universities, one of the team.

In theory, if people were disciplined about isolation, it should only take 5 weeks to get rid of the problem.

(I don't mean to sound blunt in what I am about to say, but...)

The virus incubates for up to 14 days. Then it takes 3 weeks to kill it's host if it is going to. If not, then the host's body will kill the virus. Perhaps that takes longer (I'm not sure) but those people will be in isolation in hospital until they recover anyway.

The virus cannot live very long, it dies or it's host dies (and then it dies), it can only last by spreading. Stop it spreading and it doesn't have a long lifespan whichever way it goes for an individual host.
 












abc

Well-known member
Jan 6, 2007
1,389
Along with Leeds doing the same, it points to Championship clubs getting closer to the brink.

When you think that those earning over £6000/week (£300K+ p.a.) are being 'asked' to take a 50% pay cut in order to stop a big football club going bust, you once again realise how footballers are totally and utterly divorced from the rest of the population.
 






vegster

Sanity Clause
May 5, 2008
28,272
In theory, if people were disciplined about isolation, it should only take 5 weeks to get rid of the problem.

(I don't mean to sound blunt in what I am about to say, but...)

The virus incubates for up to 14 days. Then it takes 3 weeks to kill it's host if it is going to. If not, then the host's body will kill the virus. Perhaps that takes longer (I'm not sure) but those people will be in isolation in hospital until they recover anyway.

The virus cannot live very long, it dies or it's host dies (and then it dies), it can only last by spreading. Stop it spreading and it doesn't have a long lifespan whichever way it goes for an individual host.

This is the science at the heart of the matter, it exists only to replicate itself and if it can't do that by dint of killing its host, or it being unable to move to a next host it only has days to live.
 




Postman Pat

Well-known member
Jul 24, 2007
6,973
Coldean

The public will soon be able to conduct coronavirus antibody tests at home, the director of the national infection service at Public Health England says.

Prof Sharon Peacock told the science and technology MPs' committee that 3.5 million tests had been bought and would be available in the "near future".

She said the tests would allow key workers, such as doctors and nurses, to return to work if they have developed antibodies.

"Once we are assured that they do work, they will be rolled out into the community. Testing the test is a small matter, and I anticipate that it will be done by the end of this week," Prof Peacock said.

"In the near future, people will be able to order a test that they can test themselves, or go to Boots, or somewhere similar to have their finger prick test done."

Asked if tests would be available in days, rather than weeks or months, she added: "Absolutely."

Antibodies are produced by the body to fight off infection, and tests could indicate whether someone has had the disease in the past.

These tests could also help work out how widespread the disease has been.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-52026908

Would give a really clear idea of what percentage of people have had the virus and had no idea.
 




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