The Wizard
Well-known member
- Jul 2, 2009
- 18,399
I consider it good news that it looks very, very unlikely we will see a further national lockdown.
Without wishing to dampen the "Good news" thread can we please get through the coming weekend before we start making too many blase predictions?
Without wishing to dampen the "Good news" thread can we please get through the coming weekend before we start making too many blase predictions?
Without wishing to dampen the "Good news" thread can we please get through the coming weekend before we start making too many blase predictions?
over the past couple of months there have been lots of dire predictions following very widely publicised events that were going to cause a second wave. VE Day, Bank Holidays, BLM Protests, Beach Days , First Relaxation of Lockdown, the list goes on. However 2-3 weeks after each of these, the infection rate,hospitalisation and then the death rate continued the downward trend with barely a blip. As time has gone on the estimated number of people currently with the disease in the community has gone from something like 1 in 400 to 1 in several thousand, meaning the likelihood of coming into close enough contact with someone for long enough to catch the disease has shrunk by a huge amount. Other countries in Europe that have relaxed lockdowns have followed the same trend. The expectation has always been that there will be isolated outbreaks and these would be contained with localised restrictions.
In light of the above, I don't think predictions that things are slowly returning to normal are "blase" at all, but reasonable based on everything we have seen before. Plenty off polls nationwide (and on here) show something like 80% are not going to be rushing out and packing into local pubs.
Of course there is a danger that there will be a resurgence, however that would be true at anytime until we have a vaccine that has been given to the vast majority of the population. That isn't likely for many many months, possibly years or even not at all. We can not remain in lockdown forever. So far the relaxing of lockdown has been successful and has not resulted in a second wave, or even a spike in new cases. This all indicates the governments timetable of relaxation is working and correct.
Slight increase in deaths 136 compared to 100 last Saturday but the downward trend continues, 64 less deaths over the last 7 days compared to the previous 7. New infections continuing to drop, 519 compared to 890 a week ago from 50,000 more tests. Nearly a 2000 drop in total over the last 7 days compared to the previous 7.
136 is yesterday’s number mate Today’s full figures haven’t been released yet.