Marshy
Well-known member
I assume that is very low?
Its been a pretty low number for a while, certainly as low as I can recall though especially for those in Critical Care
I assume that is very low?
Another big drop in new infections today- UK Figures. 653 new infections 154 New reported deaths
The feared spike in infections from BLM Protests seems simply not to have happened.
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New cases drop a further 35% approx in the last week, according to the King's College COVID app - last week 3,600.
I am hesitant, because this is the good news thread, but it is still important that information here is accurate.
If you read the detail, the drop is actually down to a change in methodology (they have excluded antibody tests from positive cases, as they can't be sure how 'new' they are). That's obviously still good insofar as the number of genuine cases is lower than previously estimated. But they are now saying that for UK overall, number of new cases have stabilised over last two weeks. Neither increasing nor dropping.
But it's a low enough level to live with long term, and the challenge now is to keep it at that level, or below that level as we continue to ease up the lockdown.
Put into graph form it's fascinating:
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If this trend continues then it's really going to make a huge difference to how we cope with this disease.
This must surely make the fatality rate as low as, or lower than seasonal flu?!
Figure I have in my mind for flu is about 0.5% so some way to go before it's as low as that, if I am right, but it's possible we could be at that sort of level in the coming weeks.
Worth remembering too that this is hospital deaths of course. A lot of fatalities have occurred outside of hospital.
But nonetheless this really is an important trend, whatever the reasons behind it. If it continues to drop then soon we will be in the territory of asking if we really need radical measures to control it's spread.
This must surely make the fatality rate as low as, or lower than seasonal flu?!
Figure I have in my mind for flu is about 0.5% so some way to go before it's as low as that, if I am right, but it's possible we could be at that sort of level in the coming weeks.
Worth remembering too that this is hospital deaths of course. A lot of fatalities have occurred outside of hospital.
But nonetheless this really is an important trend, whatever the reasons behind it. If it continues to drop then soon we will be in the territory of asking if we really need radical measures to control it's spread.
No. That graph shows the fatality rate amongst hospitalised patients. A massive % of people infected with seasonal flu, would never need hospitalisation, so you'd need to understand what % of Covid patients are, to begin to make that comparison.