for us to drop out of an automatic promotion place we need to drop at least 8 points (allowing for goal difference) to the third placed side over the second half of the season
big ask for the other contenders
This probably happended in 1971 (trhe book is not handy) and then there was two points for a win.
Also, Millwall made the play-offs from mid-table last year, lots of points behind. The division is so naff that any team could put a run together.